Page 2 - (کیهان لندن - سال سى و دوم ـ شماره ۵۳ (دوره جديد

‫ﺻﻔﺤﻪ ‪ - Page 2 - 2‬ﺷﻤﺎﺭﻩ ‪53‬‬
‫ﺟﻤﻌﻪ ‪ 13‬ﺗﺎ ﭘﻨﺠﺸﻨﺒﻪ‪ 19‬ﻓﺮﻭﺭﺩﻳﻦﻣﺎﻩ ‪1395‬ﺧﻮﺭﺷﻴﺪﻯ‬

‫ﭼﻪ ﻛﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺳﻮﺩ ﻣﻰﺑﺮﻧﺪ؟ ﻋﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺩﻩﻫﺎ‬

‫ﻧﻴﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺟﺮﻳﻤﻪ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﺍﺻﻼﺣﺎﺕ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﺟﺪﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ«‬ ‫‪‬ﺣﺎﻻ ﻛﻪ ﻧﻪ ﺟﻨﮕﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢﻫﺎﻯ ﻛﻤﺮﺷﻜﻦ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎﺯﻯ‬
‫ﻓﺸﺎﺭ ﻭ ﺗﺒﻌﻴﺾ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‬ ‫)»ﭼﺸﻢﺍﻧﺪﺍﺯ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪«1395‬‬ ‫ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎﺯﻯ ﺑﺎ ُﺩ ِﻡ ﺷﻴﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ‬
‫ﻣﻴﺰﮔﺮﺩ ﻛﻴﻬﺎﻥ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﺑﺎ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﺣﺴﻦ ﻣﻨﺼﻮﺭ‬
‫ﺯﻧﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﻣﺤﺮﻭﻡ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺩﻩﻫﺎ ﻧﻴﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻧﻚ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ‪ ،‬ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺷﺪ ﺣﺪﻭﺩﻯ ‪6/5‬‬ ‫ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰﻛﻪ ﻭﻟﻰ ﻓﻘﻴﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻭﺝ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢﻫﺎﻯ‬
‫ﺟﺮﻳﻤﻪ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﻳﻚ ﻓﺸﺎﺭ ﻭ ﺗﺒﻌﻴﺾ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺑﺎﺑﻚ ﺍﻣﺎﻣﻴﺎﻥ(‪.‬‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺭﺍ ﺗﺠﺮﺑﻪ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﺭﻗﻤﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺣﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪﻯ ﻫﺴﺘﻪﺍﻯ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ‬
‫ﻧﻬﺎﺩ ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻣﻠﻞ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺭﺻﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻌﺎﻭﻥ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺁﻭﺯﺵ ﻭ ﭘﺮﻭﺭﺵ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻛﺮﺩ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺎﻝ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﺭﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺁﻥ ﺧﻮﺷﺒﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺣﺮﻑ ﺍﺯ »ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ« ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ )‪ (UNDP‬ﺳﻪ ﺷﺎﺧﺺ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺭﺷﺪ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻠﻰ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﻭﺍﻟﺪﻳﻨﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺎﻧﻊ ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﻓﺮﺯﻧﺪﺍﻧﺸﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻫﻢ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻠﻪ‪ ،‬ﻫﻢ ﻣﻮﺷﻚ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺭﻗﻤﻰ ﺑﻴﻦ ‪ 3‬ﺗﺎ ‪ 4‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺭﺍ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻰﺗﺮ‬ ‫ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ‪ ،‬ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻛﺎﺭﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﻥ ﺁﻥ ﺭﺍ‬
‫ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﻭ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺑﺮﺭﺳﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﺸﻮﻧﺪ ﺑﺎ ﻣﺠﺎﺯﺍﺗﻰ ﭼﻮﻥ ﺳﻪ ﻣﺎﻩ ﺣﺒﺲ ﺗﻌﺰﻳﺮﻯ ﻭ ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﺮﺭﻭﻯ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺑﺎ ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ ‪ 3‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ‬ ‫»ﻛﺮﻩ ﺷﻤﺎﻟﻰﺳﺎﺯﻯ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ« ﻧﺎﻣﻴﺪﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺑﺎﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﺮ‬ ‫ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻥ ﺟﺮﻳﻤﻪ ﻣﻮﺍﺟﻪ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺮ ﻃﺒﻖ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺴﻦ ﺭﺿﺎﻳﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻓﺮﻣﺎﻧﺪﻫﺎﻥ ﺳﭙﺎﻩ ﭘﺎﺳﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻭﺍﺭ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺿﺪ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻭﺭ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺩﻳﻮﺍﺭ ﻛﺸﻴﺪﻩ ﻭ‬
‫ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﺁﺧﺮﻳﻦ ﺁﻣﺎﺭﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻬﺎﺩ ﺩﺭﺑﺎﺭﻩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﮔﻔﺘﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺑﺎﻗﺮﺯﺍﺩﻩ‪ ،‬ﻭﺯﺍﺭﺕ ﺁﻣﻮﺯﺵ ﻭ ﭘﺮﻭﺭﺵ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﭘﺴﺘﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻨﺴﺘﺎﮔﺮﺍﻡ ﺧﻮﺩ ﻧﻮﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪:‬‬ ‫ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺟﻮﺍﺑﻰ ﻣﺜﺒﺖ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﻭ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻮﺷﻜﻰ ﻭ ﺍﺗﻤﻰ‬
‫ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ 15 ،‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺍﺯ ﺟﻤﻌﻴﺖ ‪ 77‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﺷﺎﻛﻰ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﭘﺮﻭﻧﺪﻩﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺩﺍﺩﮔﺎﻩﻫﺎ ﻧﻴﺰ‬ ‫»ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺍﺟﺎﺯﻩ ﺩﻫﻨﺪ ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻭﺍﺭﺩ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺭﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ‬
‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩ ﻣﻄﻠﻖ ﺑﻪ ﺣﺴﺎﺏ ﻣﻰﺁﻳﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻧﺮﺥ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺷﻜﺎﻳﺎﺕ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﻧﻮﺑﺖ ﺭﺳﻴﺪﮔﻰ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻠﻰ ﺷﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﮔﺮ ﻫﻢ ﺧﻮﺩﺷﺎﻥ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺗﻜﺎﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻫﻤﺮﺍﻩ ﺷﻮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 92‬ﻭ ﺭﻭﻳﻜﺮﺩ »ﻧﺮﻣﺶ ﻗﻬﺮﻣﺎﻧﺎﻧﻪ« ﻧﺸﺎﻥ‬
‫ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﻣﺮﺩﺍﻥ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﺑﺎ ‪ 10.7‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ‬ ‫ﻫﻴﺎﺕ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺑﺎﻗﺮﺯﺍﺩﻩ‪ ،‬ﻃﺮﺣﻰ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺍﺟﺎﺯﻩ ﺩﻫﻨﺪ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﻃﻮﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ ﺭﺷﺪ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻯ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻫﻢ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ‬
‫ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺯﻧﺎﻥ ‪ 19.3‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺎﻩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺰ ﺭﻭﺍﻧﻪ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺷﺎﻩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻴﺮﻭﻥ ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﺻﺪﺍﻡ ﺣﺴﻴﻦ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﺍﺷﺘﻐﺎﻝ ﻭ ﻣﺒﺎﺭﺯﻩ ﺑﺎ ﻏﻮﻝ ﺑﻴﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻠﻪ )ﻛﻪ ﺯﻣﺎﻣﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺍﺯ ﻛﻠﻤﻪ »ﺗﻌﺎﻣﻞ«‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﻳﻮﻧﺴﻜﻮ ﻳﺎ ﺻﻨﺪﻭﻕ ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮕﻰ‬ ‫ﻣﺒﻨﺎﻯ ﺁﻥ ﺍﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩ ﺍﺯ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺣﻘﻮﻕ ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻙ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻓﺮﺍﺭﻯ ﺩﺍﺩﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻓﻘﺮ‪ ،‬ﺑﻴﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺟﺎﻯ ﺁﻥ ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ( ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺑﺎ‬
‫ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻣﻠﻞ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ‪87‬ﺍﻡ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ‪ 130‬ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﺜﻞ ﺩﺭﻳﺎﻓﺖ ﮔﻮﺍﻫﻴﻨﺎﻣﻪ ﺭﺍﻧﻨﺪﮔﻰ‪ ،‬ﻣﺤﺮﻭﻡ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺗﺒﻌﻴﺾ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺑﻴﺮﻭﻥ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬
‫ﺍﮔﺮ ﻧﮕﺎﻫﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺎﻩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﺪﺍﺯﻳﻢ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﻛﻪ ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﻛﻨﻮﻧﻰ ﺑﺎ ﺁﻥ ﻣﻮﺍﻓﻘﺖ ﻧﻜﺮﺩﻩ‬ ‫»ﺩﺷﻤﻦ« ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﻧﺎﻡ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺑﻴﻦ ‪ 24‬ﻛﺸﻮﺭ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺗﺤﺖ ﭘﻮﺷﺶ ﻛﻤﻴﺘﻪ ﺍﻣﺪﺍﻡ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺼﻮﺭ ﻭﺍﻫﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻛﻪ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ‬
‫ﺭﺗﺒﻪ ‪ 17‬ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻴﻢ ﻛﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺭﺩﻩﺑﻨﺪﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺎﻡ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ ﻧﻴﺰ‪ ،‬ﺑﺮﭘﺎﻳﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻃﺮﺡ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻣﺸﻜﻞ‬ ‫ﮔﻔﺘﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﺿﺎﻳﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺍﮔﺮ ﺩﺭ ﻛﻨﺎﺭ ﺳﺨﻨﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﻰ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ »ﻣﻮﺍﺯﻧﻪ ﻣﻨﻔﻰ« ﺍﺳﺖ! ﺷﺎﻳﺪ‬
‫ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻫﻤﺠﻮﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻣﻰﺁﻳﺪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺼﻮﻳﺐ‬ ‫ﻋﺰﻳﺰ ﺟﻌﻔﺮﻯ‪ ،‬ﻓﺮﻣﺎﻧﺪﻩ ﻛﻞ ﺳﭙﺎﻩ ﭘﺎﺳﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻫﻢ ﮔﻤﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻭﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺭﺃﺱ ﺁﻥ‬
‫ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺩﻫﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﺑﻮﺩ »ﺍﮔﺮ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻗﺼﺪ‬ ‫ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﻗﻌﻴﺘﻰ ﻫﺴﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺭﺍﺑﻄﻪ‬
‫ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﭼﻮﻥ ﺗﺮﻛﻤﻨﺴﺘﺎﻥ‪ ،‬ﺗﺎﺟﻴﻜﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺁﺫﺭﺑﺎﻳﺠﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺳﺪ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﺻﻮﺭﺗﻰ ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ ﺩﺭﻳﺎﻓﺖ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﺗﺎ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺖ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﻣﺒﺘﻨﻰ ﺑﺮ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ »ﭼﻤﺎﻕ ﻭ ﻫﻮﻳﺞ« ﺭﺍ ﭘﻴﺶ‬
‫ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﺑﺎ ﺻﻔﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﻳﺴﻪ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻛﻼﺱﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻬﻀﺖ ﺳﻮﺍﺩﺁﻣﻮﺯﻯ ﺷﺮﻛﺖ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﻭ ﺍﺟﺮﺍﻳﻰ ﻛﻨﺪ ﻗﻄﻌﺎً‬ ‫ﺑﺒﺮﺩ! ﺍﻣﺎ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺯ ﻋﺪﻡ ﺗﻮﺍﺯﻥ ﻗﻮﺍﻯ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻰ‬
‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﺣﻮﺯﻩ ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰ ﺧﻠﻴﺞ ﻓﺎﺭﺱ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﭙﺎﻩ ﻭ ﺑﺴﻴﺞ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﻛﻤﻚ‬ ‫ﻭ ﻋﻤﻼ ﻣﻮﺟﻮﺩ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ‬
‫ﻣﻮﻗﻌﻴﺖ ﭘﺎﻳﻴﻦﺗﺮﻯ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ‪،‬‬ ‫ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﻣﺤﺮﻭﻡ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﻦ ﻗﺸﺮﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ‬ ‫ﺷﺎﻳﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻛﻨﺪ« ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﺍﮔﺮ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻗﺪﺭﺗﻤﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﺍﺳﺎﺳﺎ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﺑﻴﻦﺍﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻗﺮﻥ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻫﺮ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺤﺮﻭﻣﻴﺖ ﻭ ﻣﺤﺪﻭﻳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺯﻳﺎﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺷﺪ »ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ« ﺳﻮﺩﻯ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺧﺮﻳﺪﺍﺭ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻄﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺭژﻳﻤﻰ‬
‫ﻗﻄﺮ ﻭ ﺑﺤﺮﻳﻦ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺧﺎﻃﺮ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﻛﻢﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﺭﻧﺞ ﻣﻰﺑﺮﺩ ﺗﺎ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ .‬ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﮔﺮﻭﻩ ﺳﻨﻰ ‪10‬‬ ‫ﭼﻪ ﺍﻧﺪﺍﺯﻩ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺩﺭﺳﺖ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﭘﺮﺳﺶ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺟﻴﺐ ﭼﻪ ﻛﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺭﻓﺖ!‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﻳﻚ ﺳﻮ ﺷﺮﻛﺖﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﺩﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﺭﺍ‬
‫ﺗﺎ ‪ 49‬ﺳﺎﻝ ﻣﺮﺑﻮﻁ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺳﺘﺎﻥ ﺳﻴﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺑﻠﻮﭼﺴﺘﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﻣﻄﺮﺡ ﺳﺎﺧﺖ ﭼﺮﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻫﺰﺍﺭﻩ ﺳﻮﻡ ﻣﻴﻼﺩﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﮔﻔﺘﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺪ ﻣﺴﻌﻮﺩ ﺟﺰﺍﻳﺮﻯ‪ ،‬ﻣﻌﺎﻭﻥ‬ ‫ﺩﻋﻮﺕ ﻭ ﺗﺸﻮﻳﻖ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﮔﺬﺍﺭﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻛﺮﺩ‬
‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻟﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺳﺘﺎﻥﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺎﺯﻧﺪﺭﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺳﻤﻨﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺳﺘﺎﺩ ﻛﻞ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺴﻠﺢ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺟﻨﺒﻪﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺧﻂ ﻭ‬
‫ﺑﻬﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻣﺎﺭﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﻧﺘﻮﺍﻧﺴﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻌﻀﻞ ﺭﺍ ﺣﻞ ﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻭ ﻧﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻛﺸﻴﺪ ﻭ ﻣﻮﺷﻚﭘﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻭ ﻧﺎﻡ ﺁﻥ ﺭﺍ‬
‫ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﻣﺮﺯ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﻭ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ﺗﻜﺮﺍﺭ »ﺁﻣﺎﺩﮔﻰ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬
‫ﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﻭ ﺑﺎ ﭼﻪ ﻣﻌﻴﺎﺭﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﺧﺘﻼﻑ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻧﻘﺶﺁﻓﺮﻳﻨﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ« ﺍﺿﺎﻓﻪ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ‬ ‫»ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ« ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻣﻮﺍﺭﺩ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﻧﻮﺷﺘﻦ ﻧﺎﻡ ﻭ ﻧﺎﻡ ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺩﮔﻰ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪» :‬ﻋﺮﺻﻪ ﻣﻮﺷﻜﻰ ﻭ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ﻇﺮﻓﻴﺖﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﺷﺶ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺍﺯ ﺍﺩﻋﺎﻯ »ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬
‫ﻓﺮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﺑﺎﺳﻮﺍﺩﺍﻥ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻟﻰ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺑﺮ ﺳﺮ ﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﻭ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﻓﺎﻉ ﺳﺮﺯﻣﻴﻨﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺟﺒﻬﻪ ﺩﺷﻤﻦ ﺭﺍ ﻣﺎﺕ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ« ﻧﮕﺬﺷﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢﻫﺎ ﭼﻨﺎﻥ ﻛﻤﺮ‬
‫ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﻣﻌﻴﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﺍﻳﺞ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻄﺢ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺎﺳﻮﺍﺩ‬ ‫ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﺍﻥ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺗﻮﺍﻓﻖ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ‪ ،‬ﭼﻪ ﺭﺳﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﺒﻬﻮﺕ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﻣﺪﻝ‬ ‫ﺭژﻳﻢ ﻣﺬﻫﺒﻰ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ‬
‫ﺑﻪ ﻛﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﻣﻰ ﺷﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺣﺪﺍﻗﻞ ﭘﻨﺞ ﺳﺎﻝ‬ ‫ﺭﺍﻫﻜﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﺎﺳﺐ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﻞ ﺁﻥ‪ .‬ﻣﺤﻤﺪ ﻣﻬﺪﻯ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﻳﺮ ﺑﺨﺶﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ‬ ‫»ﻧﺮﻣﺶ ﻗﻬﺮﻣﺎﻧﺎﻧﻪ« ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪﻯ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ ﺍﺗﻤﻰ‬
‫ﺭﻭﻯ ﻧﻴﻤﻜﺖ ﻣﺪﺭﺳﻪ ﻧﺸﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﮔﺮﭼﻪ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ‬ ‫ﺯﺍﺩﻩ‪ ،‬ﻣﻌﺎﻭﻥ ﺁﻣﻮﺯﺷﻰ ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﺳﻮﺍﺩﺁﻣﻮﺯﻯ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺗﺮﺟﻴﺢ ﺩﺍﺩ‪ .‬ﺣﺎﻻ ﻛﻪ ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸﻴﻨﻰ ﺍﺗﻤﻰ ﻳﺎ‬
‫ﺍﺯ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﻗﻢ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ‪ 8‬ﺳﺎﻝ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺩﺍﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﮔﻔﺘﮕﻮ ﺑﺎ ﺭﻭﺯﻧﺎﻣﻪ ﻫﺎﻣﻮﻥ ﻣﺪﻋﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ‬ ‫ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﻴﺮﺩ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﻫﻤﺎﻥ »ﺑﺮﺟﺎﻡ« ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪﻯ ﺍﺟﺮﺍﻳﻰ ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻩ‪،‬‬
‫ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﺯﻧﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺭﺳﻤﻰ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻭﺧﻴﻢﺗﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﻭ ﺁﺧﺮﻳﻦ ﺳﺮﺷﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 1390‬ﺻﻮﺭﺕ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺭﺍﺳﺘﻰ ﺁﻳﺎ ﻭﻗﺘﻰ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺩﻭﺑﺎﺭﻩ ﻓﻴﻠﺶ ﻳﺎﺩ ﻫﻨﺪﻭﺳﺘﺎﻥ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﻭ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﺍﻃﻠﺲ ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﺯﻧﺎﻥ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻌﺎﻭﻧﺖ ﺯﻧﺎﻥ ﻭ‬ ‫ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ‪ 9‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻭ ‪700‬‬ ‫ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ ﺩﺭﺑﺎﺭﻩ »ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ« ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 95‬ﺭﺍ ﺳﺎﻝ »ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ‪ ،‬ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻡ ﻭ‬
‫ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺩﻩ ﺭﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﻣﻨﺘﺸﺮ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺩﺭ ‪40‬‬ ‫ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪ ،‬ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺷﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺩ ﺳﺨﻦ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﭼﻪ ﺗﺼﻮﺭﻯ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﺍﺯ‬
‫ﺷﻬﺮ ﻋﻤﺪﻩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺯﻧﺎﻥ ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻛﻮﺩﻛﺎﻥ ﺑﺎﺯﻣﺎﻧﺪﻩ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﺭﺍ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﻓﺰﻭﺩ‪ .‬ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺳﺮﻧﻮﺷﺖ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ؟! ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻤﻞ« ﻧﺎﻣﻴﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﻛﻨﻨﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻃﻠﺲ‪ ،‬ﻧﺮﺥ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺘﺎﻥ ﺳﻴﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺑﻠﻮﭼﺴﺘﺎﻥ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﻣﻬﺪﻯ ﺯﺍﺩﻩ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﻣﻮﺷﻚ ﻭ ﻣﻮﺷﻚﭘﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﭘﺸﺘﻮﺍﻧﻪ ﺁﻥ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪،‬‬
‫ﺩﺧﺘﺮﺍﻥ ‪ 6‬ﺳﺎﻝ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎﻻ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺳﺘﺎﻥﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﺫﺭﺑﺎﻳﺠﺎﻥ‬ ‫»ﺑﺎﻟﻎ ﺑﺮ ‪ 100‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻛﻮﺩﻙ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺪﺭﺳﻪ ﻧﻤﻰﺭﻭﻧﺪ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻣﺪﻥ ﺍﺯ ﭼﺎﻟﻪﻯ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ ﺍﺗﻤﻰ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺣﺘﻰ ﺍﮔﺮ ﻇﺮﻓﻴﺖ ﺷﺮﻛﺖﻫﺎ ﻭ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻻﺧﺮﻩ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻳﺎ ﺁﻥ؟!‬
‫ﺷﺮﻗﻰ ﻭ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﻭ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﺳﻴﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺑﻠﻮﭼﺴﺘﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻰ ﺑﺎﻗﺮﺯﺍﺩﻩ ‪ ،‬ﻣﻌﺎﻭﻥ ﻛﻨﻮﻧﻰ ﻭﺯﺍﺭﺕ ﺁﻣﻮﺯﺵ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ﺳﺮ ﺍﻓﺘﺎﺩﻥ ﺩﺭ ﭼﺎﻩ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪﻯ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻬﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺷﻜﻞ ﺗﺮﻣﻴﻢ ﺷﻮﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﺑﺎﻻﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﺗﻔﺴﻴﺮ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﻭ ﭘﺮﻭﺭﺵ‪ ،‬ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺭﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻧﻬﻀﺖ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺩﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺎﻓﻴﺎﻳﻰ ﻣﻼﻳﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﻨﺎﺑﺮﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎﻥ ﺑﺎ ﺭﺷﺪ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺧﺎﻣﻨﻪﺍﻯ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﻧﺮﺥ ﺑﺎﻻﻯ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﺯﻧﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﺳﻮﺍﺩﺁﻣﻮﺯﻯ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮ ﻋﻬﺪﻩ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ ﻣﻰﮔﻔﺖ ﺑﺮ ﭘﺎﻳﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻴﻢ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﺷﺪ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﻭ ﻣﺬﻫﺒﻰ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺑﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬
‫ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺑﺰﺭﮔﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﻣﺸﻜﻼﺕ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺩﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺳﺮﺷﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﺳﺎﻝ‬ ‫ﺁﻥ ﺷﻜﻢ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺻﺎﺑﻮﻥ ﺯﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﻤﻜﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻒ ﺷﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻥ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ ﻭ ﺩﻭﺭﻯ ﺟﺴﺘﻦ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﻩ ﻭ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻠﻪ ﺑﺎ‬
‫ﺟﺎﻟﺐ ﺍﻳﻨﺠﺎﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻃﻠﺲ ﻣﻌﺎﻭﻧﺖ ﺯﻧﺎﻥ ﻭ‬ ‫‪ 1390‬ﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﺍﻥ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ‪ 9‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻭ ‪860‬‬ ‫ﭼﻬﺮﻩﻯ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻰ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻻﺯﻡ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺖ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﮔﺬﺍﺭﻯ ﺧﺎﺭﺟﻰ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫»ﺩﺷﻤﻦ« ﺗﺎﻛﻴﺪ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺭﻭﻯ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻥ‬
‫ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺩﻩ ﺭﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻧﻔﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻣﺴﺌﻮﻝ ﺩﻭﻟﺘﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﺯﻣﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﭼﻬﺮﻩﻯ ﻛﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﺑﻬﺘﺮ ﺷﻨﺎﺧﺖ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻓﺮﺍﻫﻢ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ‪ .‬ﻧﻈﺮﻳﻪ »ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ« ﺍﻣﺎ ﻣﺎﻧﻊ‬ ‫ﺣﺠﺖﺍﻻﺳﻼﻡ ﺣﺴﻦ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﻭ ﺩﺍﺩﻥ ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﻭﺕ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻧﻬﺎﺩﻫﺎﺳﺖ ﻭ ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﺷﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﻣﻰﻛﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﭼﺎﻟﺶﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺻﻠﻰ ﻧﻬﻀﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺷﺪﺕ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺩﻓﺎﻉ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺩﻧﻴﺎﻯ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﻧﺎ ﺍﻣﻦ‪ ،‬ﺧﻄﺮﻧﺎﻙ ﻭ ﺑﻰﺛﺒﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻭﻯ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﺍﺗﻤﻰ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ‪،‬‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﻳﻚ ﺳﻮﻡ ﻣﺮﺩﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺩﻭﺳﻮﻡ ﺯﻧﺎﻥ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩ‬ ‫ﺳﻮﺍﺩﺁﻣﻮﺯﻯ ﻋﺪﻡ ﺍﻃﻼﻉ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺩﻗﻴﻖ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﺍﻥ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻭ ﻓﺮﺩﺍ ﺭﺍ ﻧﻪ »ﺩﻧﻴﺎﻯ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﻩ« ﺑﻠﻜﻪ ﺩﻧﻴﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻛﻨﻮﻧﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪ ﻭ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﮔﺬﺍﺭ ﻧﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ‬
‫ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﻧﺎﻡ ﻭ ﻫﻮﻳﺖ ﺁﻧﻬﺎﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﺍﺿﺎﻓﻪ ﻣﻰﻛﺮﺩ‬ ‫»ﻣﻮﺷﻚ« ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﺧﻼﻑ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺩﻋﺎﻫﺎ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﻣﻄﻠﻖ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﻧﻬﺎﺩ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻣﺪﻳﺮﻳﺖ ﺍﻭ ﺑﺎ ﻛﻤﺒﻮﺩ ﺑﻮﺩﺟﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﭘﻨﺪﺍﺭ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ »ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﺗﻤﻰ« ﺭﺍ ﭘﺸﺖ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﺭﺟﻰ ﺑﻠﻜﻪ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻫﺴﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺑُﻌﺪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺑﺮﺧﻼﻑ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺎﻛﻴﺪ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ‬
‫ﺳﺮ ﻧﻬﺎﺩﻩ ﻭ ﺣﺎﻻ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺑﺎ ﺧﻴﺎﻝ ﺭﺍﺣﺖ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ »ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﻓﻘﻂ ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻉ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺑﺤﺚ ﻭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ‬
‫ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﻛﻮﺩﻛﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺭﻳﺸﻪﻛﻦ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﻦ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﻣﻮﺍﺟﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫»ﻣﻮﺷﻚ« ﺑﭙﺮﺩﺍﺯﺩ‪ .‬ﺣﺎﻝ ﺁﻧﻜﻪ ﺩﻭ ﺟﺎﻡ ﺯﻫﺮ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺒﺴﺎﻃﻰ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ‬ ‫ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﻩ‪ ،‬ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﻫﺴﺘﻪﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﺖ«‪ ،‬ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﻩ ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﻣﺤﻤﺪ ﻣﻬﺪﻯﺯﺍﺩﻩ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﮔﻔﺘﮕﻮ ﺑﺎ ﺭﻭﺯﻧﺎﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺟﻨﮓ ﺑﺎ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻭ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ ﻫﺴﺘﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺁﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﺭﺷﺪ ﺣﺪﻭﺩ ‪ 2‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ ﺗﻮﺭﻡ‬ ‫ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‪ ،‬ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ ﺧﺎﻭﺭﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﻭ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺁﺯﺍﺩﻯ‬
‫ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﻫﻤﻪ ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻥ ﻛﻨﻨﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﻫﺎﻣﻮﻥ ﺻﺤﺒﺖ ﺍﺯ ‪ 9‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻭ ‪ 700‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﺭﺳﺎﻧﺪﻩ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﻛﻪ »ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ«‬ ‫ﻫﺴﺘﻴﻢ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺗﻴﻢ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺣﺴﻦ‬ ‫ﻣﻠﻮﺍﻧﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﭘﺎﺳﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﺑﺎﺯﺩﺍﺷﺖ ﺷﺪﻩ‬
‫ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﻛﻮﺩﻛﺎﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺭﺳﻤﻰ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﮔﻔﺘﮕﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﺴﻨﺎ ﻳﺎ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﻫﻢ ﻧﺎﭼﺎﺭ ﺑﻪ ﺟﺎﻡ ﺯﻫﺮ ﻣﻮﺷﻜﻰ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻣﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺁﺧﺮﻳﻦ ﺳﺎﻝ ﻛﺎﺭﻯ ﻭﻯ )ﭘﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﭘﻴﮕﻴﺮﻯ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 1385‬ﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﻛﻮﺩﻛﺎﻥ ﻣﺤﺮﻭﻡ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻞ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﻧﺸﺠﻮﻳﺎﻥ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻭ ﻳﻚ ﺑﺎﺭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ (1396‬ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ ﻣﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻫﻢ‪ ،‬ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺣﺮﻑ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻰﺯﻧﺪ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺳﻪ ﻭ ﻧﻴﻢ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﻨﺎﺭ ﺑﺮ‬ ‫ﺩﻭ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻧﻔﺮ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻭ ﮔﻔﺘﮕﻮ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺻﺮﻑ ﻣﻮﺷﻚﭘﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺑﺎﺩ ﻫﻮﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﻭ ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻋﻤﻞ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻭﻋﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺳﻌﻰ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﻭﺩ‪.‬‬
‫ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﻧﻬﻀﺖ ﺳﻮﺍﺩ ﺁﻣﻮﺯﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ ،1394‬ﺷﻤﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 1394‬ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ ﻭ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺁﻳﺎ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻳﻚ ﺭﻗﻤﻰ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﺗﻮﺭﻡ ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﺍﮔﺮﭼﻪ ﺣﺴﻦ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻳﺪﺍﺭ ﻧﻮﺭﻭﺯﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ‬
‫ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺣﺪﺍﻗﻞ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻘﺪﺍﺭ ﻳﻚ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻧﻔﺮ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻩ ﻓﺎﺻﻠﻪ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻻ ﻣﻌﺠﺰﻩﺍﻯ ﺭﺥ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﻛﻪ ﻃﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﻨﻴﻪﻯ ﺗﺤﻤﻞ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺧﻮﺩﺑﺰﺭگﺑﻴﻨﻰﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺳﻮﻯ ﻗﻀﻴﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺳﻮﻯ ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮ ﺁﻥ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺗﺄﺛﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ﺍﻋﻀﺎﻯ ﻫﻴﺎﺕ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺗﺎﻛﻴﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺳﺎﻝ‬
‫ﻳﺎﻓﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻛﺎﺭﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﻥ ﺩﻻﻳﻞ ﻣﺘﻌﺪﺩﻯ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻮﺟﺐ‬ ‫ﻓﻘﻂ ﺳﻪ ﻣﺎﻩ ﻧﻬﻀﺖ ﺳﻮﺍﺩﺁﻣﻮﺯﻯ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺘﻪ ‪ 7‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺟﺮﺍﺟﻮﻳﺎﻧﻪ ﻧﻈﺎﻡ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﺩﺭ ﺭﺍﺳﺘﺎﻯ »ﻫﺪﺍﻳﺖ ﻭ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ‬
‫ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﻛﻮﺩﻛﺎﻥ ﻣﺤﺮﻭﻡ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﻳﺎ ﺑﺎﺯﻣﺎﻧﺪﻩ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﻭ ‪ 700‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻧﻔﺮ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎﺳﻮﺍﺩ ﺳﺎﺯﺩ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﺩﻭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﻳﺎ ﻧﻪ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻣﻨﺘﻈﺮ ﻣﺎﻧﺪ ﻭ ﺩﻳﺪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻛﻨﻮﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺑﺮ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺧﺮﻳﺪ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﻌﻈﻢ ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏ« ﺣﺮﻛﺖ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﻨﺪ ﻭﻟﻰ ﺑﺮ ﺩﻭ ﻋﺎﻣﻞ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪:‬‬ ‫ﻣﺤﻤﺪ ﻣﻬﺪﻯﺯﺍﺩﻩ ﻣﻨﺒﻊ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺳﺮﺷﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﺳﺎﻝ‬ ‫ﺭﺍﻩ »ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ« ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﺭ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﻣﺰﺩﺑﮕﻴﺮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺁﺧﺮ ﺻﺤﺒﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺑﻪ »ﺗﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﺳﺎﺯﻧﺪﻩ ﺑﺎ‬
‫ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﻭﺍﻟﺪﻳﻦ ﻛﻮﺩﻛﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻣﺸﻜﻼﺕ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫‪ 1390‬ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺯﻯ ﺑﺎ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﻭ ﺩﺳﺘﻜﺎﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﮔﺮﻓﺖ ﻳﺎ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ »ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ« ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﺑﺮﺁﻭﺭﺩﻫﺎ ﺑﺎ ﺭﺷﺪ ‪12‬‬ ‫ﺟﻬﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺟﺬﺏ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪ ﻭ ﻓﻨﺎﻭﺭﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻮﻳﻦ ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻧﺪﻫﻰ ﺁﻣﻮﺯﺵ ﻭ ﭘﺮﻭﺭﺵ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺍﺳﺘﺎﻥﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﺍﺭﻗﺎﻡ ﺩﺭ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺗﺎﺯﮔﻰ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ ﺣﻘﻮﻕ‪ ،‬ﺳﺎﻝ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﺭﺍ ﺁﻏﺎﺯ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭ«ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﻛﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﺗﻌﺎﻣﻞ« ﻭ »ﺟﺬﺏ‬
‫ﻭ ﺑﻮﻳﮋﻩ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﺭﻭﺳﺘﺎﺋﻰ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﺩﻭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﻣﻮﺍﺭﺩ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮﺍﺕ‬ ‫»ﺗﻌﺎﻣﻞ« ﺑﺎ ﺟﻬﺎﻥ ﭘﻴﺎﺩﻩ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﺩﻭ ﺧﻄﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪ :‬ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪ ﻭ ﻓﻨﺎﻭﺭﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻮﻳﻦ« ﻫﺮ ﭼﻴﺰﻯ‬
‫ﻣﻘﺼﺮ ﺍﺻﻠﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﺑﺎ ﭘﻴﺸﻨﻬﺎﺩ ﺟﺮﻳﻤﻪ ﻭ ﻧﻘﺪﻯ‬ ‫ﺷﮕﻔﺖ ﺍﻧﮕﻴﺰﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻛﻮﺗﺎﻩﻣﺪﺕ ﺑﻮﺩﻩﺍﻳﻢ‪ .‬ﻛﺎﻓﻴﺴﺖ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺗﻮﺭﻡ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ‪ 12‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﺑﺮﺩﺍﺷﺖ ﻛﺮﺩ ﺟﺰ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ‬
‫ﻭﺍﻟﺪﻳﻦ ﮔﻮﻳﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻧﻈﺮ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﺷﺎﻧﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺯﻳﺮ ﻣﺴﺌﻮﻟﻴﺖﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺭﺷﺪ ﻧﺮﺥ ﺗﻮﺭﻡ ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﺑﻴﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﺩﺭ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺍﺧﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﻗﻮﻯ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺁﻧﻜﻪ ﺳﺒﺪ ﺧﺮﻳﺪ ﺍﻳﻦ‬
‫ﺧﻮﻳﺶ ﺧﺎﻟﻰ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺍﺭﺩﻯ ﻫﻢ ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺩﻩﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻣﺮﺍﺟﻌﻪ ﻛﻨﻴﻢ ﺗﺎ ﻣﺘﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﺸﻮﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺑﺨﺶ ﺍﺯ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﻃﻠﺐ ﻭ ﻣﻌﻮﻗﺎﺕ ﺯﻳﺎﺩﻯ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﻧﻈﺮ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ‪.‬‬
‫ﺑﻰﺗﻘﺼﻴﺮ ﻧﻴﺴﺘﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻭﻟﻰ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻛﻮﺩﻛﻰ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺁﺳﺎﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺨﻨﺎﻥ ﻣﺴﺌﻮﻟﻴﻦ ﺗﺎﺏ ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺭﻧﺪ ﻭ ﺑﻨﺎ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪ .‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﻧﻜﺘﻪﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﻛﻤﺘﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺁﻥ‬
‫ﭘﺎﻯ ﭘﻴﺎﺩﻩ ﻣﺴﺎﻓﺘﻰ ﺑﻴﻦ ‪ 10‬ﺗﺎ ‪ 20‬ﻛﻴﻠﻮﻣﺘﺮ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺍﮔﺮ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺍﻣﺴﺎﻝ ﻧﺘﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺣﺴﺎﺏ‬ ‫ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺘﻪ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺧﺎﻣﻨﻪﺍﻯ‬
‫ﺭﻓﺘﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺪﺭﺳﻪ ﻭ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺧﺎﻧﻪ ﻃﻰ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﻳﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻣﻮﻗﻌﻴﺖ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﻭ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﻣﻰﻳﺎﺑﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﺧﻴﻞ ﻣﺰﺩﺑﮕﻴﺮﺍﻥ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺗﺴﻮﻳﻪ ﻧﻜﻨﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺨﻨﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺗﺤﻘﻖ ﺍﻳﻦ‬
‫ﻫﺮ ﺳﺎﻝ ﻭﺍﻟﺪﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻣﺘﺤﻤﻞ ﺷﻮﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﺍﻥ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺒﻨﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻭ ﭼﻴﺰﻯ ﺑﺮ ﺳﺒﺪ ﺧﺮﻳﺪ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻧﻴﻔﺰﺍﻳﺪ‪ ،‬ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫»ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ« ﻧﻤﻰﮔﻮﻳﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻣﺜﺎﻝ‪ ،‬ﻳﻜﻰ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﻧﻤﻰ ﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﮔﻨﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﺳﺮﺷﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 1390‬ﺭﺍ ‪ 9‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻭ ‪ 719‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻧﺎﺭﺍﺿﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﺧﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﺭﺍﻩﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﻳﻚ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺻﻄﻼﺡ‬
‫ﻣﺤﺮﻭﻣﻴﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﮔﺮﺩﻥ ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺩﻩ ﻭ ﻭﺍﻟﺪﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻭ ‪ 712‬ﻧﻔﺮ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ‪ 3‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻭ ‪456‬‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ ﺭﺍ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺑﺮﺩ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺑﺮ ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ‬
‫ﺍﻧﺪﺍﺧﺖ‪ .‬ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺷﺪﺕ ﺗﻜﺎﻥﺩﻫﻨﺪﻩﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻭ ‪ 181‬ﻧﻔﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺩﺭ ﮔﺮﻭﻩ ﺳﻨﻰ ‪ 10‬ﺗﺎ ‪49‬‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺟﻤﻠﻪ ﻛﺴﺐ ﻣﺎﻟﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ ﺍﺳﺘﺎﻥ ﻣﺤﺮﻭﻣﻰ ﭼﻮﻥ ﺳﻴﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﻭﺑﻠﻮﭼﺴﺘﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﻝ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﺩﻛﺘﺮ ﺣﺴﻦ ﻣﻨﺼﻮﺭ‪ ،‬ﺍﺳﺘﺎﺩ ﺩﺍﻧﺸﮕﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﮔﺎﻫﻰ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﻫﺰﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﻛﻮﺩﻙ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺷﻨﺎﺳﻨﺎﻣﻪ ﻫﻢ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﺗﻘﺼﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻄﺢ ﺳﻮﺍﺩ ‪ 600‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻧﻔﺮ ﺩﻳﻜﺮ ﺍﻃﻼﻋﻰ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﻳﻰ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺎﺭﻳﺲ‪ ،‬ﻫﻔﺘﻪ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻉ ﻣﺎﻟﻴﺎﺕ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﻭ ﺗﻼﺵ ﻛﺮﺩ ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﺑﺎﺯﻣﺎﻧﺪﻥ ﻛﻮﺩﻛﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﮔﺮﺩﻥ ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺩﻩﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺩﺳﺖ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﻭ ﺣﺪﺱ ﺯﺩﻩ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺣﺪﺍﻗﻞ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﮔﻔﺘﮕﻮﻳﻰ ﺑﺎ ﻛﻴﻬﺎﻥ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺻﻼﺣﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢ ﻭ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪ ﻧﻔﺖ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪ‬
‫ﺍﻧﺪﺍﺧﺘﻦ ﺑﻪ ﺭﺍﺳﺘﻰ ﺑﻰﻣﺴﻮﻭﻟﻴﺘﻰ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺷﺪﺕ ﺩﻭﺭ‬ ‫‪15‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻛﺎﻣﻼ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩ ﺑﺎﺷﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻠﮕﺮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻭ ﮔﻔﺖ‪:‬‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺤﻞ ﻣﺎﻟﻴﺎﺕﻫﺎ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺩﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﺁﻳﺎ‬
‫ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﻨﺪ ﺍﮔﺮ ﻧﻬﻀﺖ‬ ‫»ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻳﺎﺯﺩﻫﻢ ﺍﺻﻼﺣﺎﺕ ﻣﻮﻓﻘﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻭﻟﻰ ﻓﻘﻴﻪ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻣﻮﺳﺴﺎﺕ ﻭ ﺑﻨﻴﺎﺩﻫﺎﻯ‬
‫ﺍﺯ ﺍﻧﺼﺎﻑ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺳﻮﺍﺩﺁﻣﻮﺯﻯ ﺑﺎ ﺳﺮﻋﺖ ﻛﻨﻮﻧﻰ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺭﻭﺩ‪ ،‬ﺭﻳﺸﻪﻛﻦ‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺎﻡ ﭘﻮﻟﻰ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻮﻋﻰ‬ ‫ﻋﻈﻴﻢ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ ﺁﺳﺘﺎﻥ ﻗﺪﺱ ﺭﺿﻮﻯ‪،‬‬
‫ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﺑﻰﺳﻮﺍﺩﻯ ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﻝ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻣﻴﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺩﺳﺖ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺭﻭﻥ ﺑﺎﻧﻚ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﺑﻴﺮﻭﻥ‬ ‫ﻗﺮﺍﺭﮔﺎﻩ ﺧﺎﺗﻢﺍﻻﻧﺒﻴﺎء ﻭ ﺳﺘﺎﺩ ﺍﺟﺮﺍﻳﻰ ﻓﺮﻣﺎﻥ‬
‫ﻛﺸﻴﺪﻩ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ؛ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦﺣﺎﻝ ﺑﺎﻧﻚ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺎﻡ ﻭ ﻧﻬﺎﺩﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺸﺎﺑﻪ ﻛﻪ ﺯﻳﺮ ﻧﻈﺎﺭﺕ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ‬
‫ﺁﻥ ﺍﺳﺘﻘﻼﻝ ﻻﺯﻡ ﺭﺍ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎﻥ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ ﻭ ﻳﻚ ﺭﻳﺎﻝ ﻣﺎﻟﻴﺎﺕ ﻧﻤﻰﭘﺮﺩﺍﺯﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﻣﻘﺎﻳﺴﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺩﻭﺭﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﮔﻔﺖ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻃﻮﺭ ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻧﻰ ﻭﺍﺩﺍﺭ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﻣﺎﻟﻴﺎﺕ ﺷﻮﻧﺪ ﺗﺎ‬
‫ﺑﻬﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺳﭙﺮﻯ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﺳﻮﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻧﺪ »ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ« ﺭﺍ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺑﺒﺮﺩ؟‬
‫ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻣﺎﺟﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻣﺴﺎﻟﻪ ﺗﻮﺭﻡ ﺍﺳﺖ؛‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﻣﻌﻠﻮﻡ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺘﻰ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ‬
‫ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ ﺗﻮﺭﻡ ﭘﺎﻳﻴﻦ ﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﻣﻦ ﺷﻌﺎﺭ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﻢ ﻭ‬
‫ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎﻥ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻭ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺷﻤﺎ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﻓﺸﺎﺭ ﺑﻴﺎﻭﺭﻳﺪ! ﺩﺭﺳﺖ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ‬
‫ﺷﻜﺴﺘﻦ ﺁﻥ ﺭﺍﻫﻰ ﺟﺰ ﺑﺴﻴﺞ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﻫﻢ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﺒﺮﺍﻥﻧﺎﭘﺬﻳﺮ‬
‫ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﻭ ﺧﺎﺭﺟﻰ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﺁﻥ ﻧﻴﺎﺯﻣﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﻠﻨﺪﭘﺮﻭﺍﺯﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﺎﻛﺎﻡ ﻧﻈﺎﻡ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‬

‫ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ ﺍﺗﻤﻰ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬

‫ﺳﺎﻝ‪،95‬ﺳﺎﻝﺍﺻﻼﺣﺎﺕﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ؟‬

‫ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎﻻﺭﻓﺘﻦ ﺁﻫﺴﺘﻪ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺗﺪﺭﻳﺠﻰ‬
‫ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ ﺻﺎﺩﺭﺍﺕ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﻭ‬
‫ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺍﻧﺪ ِﻙ ﻗﻴﻤﺖ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻰ‬