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‫آﺧﺮﯾﻦ وﯾﺪﺋﻮﻫﺎی ﺧﱪی در ﻟﻨﺰ اﯾﺮان‬                                                               ‫‪KAYHAN LONDON ONLINE‬‬

   ‫‪www.lenziran.com‬‬                                                                                                                                         ‫ﺷﻤﺎ ﺑﺎ ﺁﮔﻬﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻛﻴﻬﺎﻥ ﻓﻘﻂ‬
                                                                                                                                                         ‫ﺍﻃﻼﻉﺭﺳﺎﻧﻰ ﻭ ﻛﺴﺐ ﻭ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺧﻮﺩ‬
                                               ‫‪Page 18‬‬   ‫ﺳﺎﻝ ﺳﻰ ﻭ ﺩﻭﻡ )ﺩﻭﺭﺓ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ( ـ ﺷﻤﺎﺭﻩ ‪ 34‬ـ ﺟﻤﻌﻪ ‪ 22‬ﺁﺑﺎﻥ ﻣﺎﻩ ‪ 1394‬ﺧﻮﺭﺷﻴﺪﻯ‬                ‫ﺻﻔﺤﻪ ‪18‬‬    ‫ﺭﺍ ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻰ ﻧﻤﻰﻛﻨﻴﺪ ﺑﻠﻜﻪ ﻳﻚ ﻛﺎﺭ‬
                                                                                                                                                          ‫ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮕﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﻴﺪ‪:‬‬
                                                                                       ‫‪ 1‬ﺻﻔﺮ ‪ 1437‬ﻗﻤﺮﻯ ـ ‪ 13‬ﻧﻮﺍﻣﺒﺮ ‪ 2015‬ﻣﻴﻼﺩﻯ‬
                                                                                                                                                       ‫ﻛﻴﻬـﺎﻥ‪ ،‬ﻛﻴﻬـﺎ ِﻥ ﻟﻨـﺪﻥ‪ ،‬ﻛﻴﻬـﺎ ِﻥ‬
                                                            ‫‪No.34 Friday 13 November 2015‬‬                                                              ‫ﺧﻮﺩﺗـﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺯﻧـﺪﻩ ﻧـﮕﺎﻩ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﺭﻳـﺪ‬
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                                                            ‫‪e-mail: [email protected] - www.kayhanlondon.london‬‬                                   ‫‪[email protected]‬‬

‫ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﺁﻣﻮﺯﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﺷﻴﻌﻰ ﺷﻜﻞ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺑﻮﺩ‬            ‫ﭼﻠﺒﻰ؛ ﺧﻴﺎﻟﻰ ﺧﺎﻡ‪ ،‬ﺗﺎﻛﺘﻴﻜﻰ‬                                                                                                                   ‫ﻣﺤﺴﻦ ﺑﻬﺰﺍﺩ ﻛﺮﻳﻤﻰ ‪ -‬ﺩﺭ ﻫﻔﺘﻪ ﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ‬
‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﻭ ﺗﻌﺎﺭﻳﻒ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﻭﺗﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺭﻙ ﻣﺬﻫﺒﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬          ‫ﺧﻮﻧﻴﻦ‪ ،‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﻰ ﻧﺎﻛﺎﻡ‬                                                                                                                      ‫ﮔﺬﺷﺖﺍﺣﻤﺪﭼﻠﺒﻰﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻣﺪﺍﺭﻣﺘﻨﻔﺬﻋﺮﺍﻗﻰ‬
‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﺭﻛﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎﻋﺚ ﺷﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺯﻧﺪﮔﻰ‬                                                                                                                                                        ‫ﺩﺭ ﺑﻐﺪﺍﺩ ﺑﺮ ﺍﺛﺮ ﺳﻜﺘﻪ ﻗﻠﺒﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻦ ‪ 71‬ﺳﺎﻟﮕﻰ‬
‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰﺍﺵ ﺭﺍﺑﻄﻪ ﺧﻮﺑﻰ ﺑﺎ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺑﺮﺍﺩﺭﺍﻥ‬            ‫ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﻣﻰﺭﻓﺘﻨﺪ ﺗﺎ ﺳﺮﻧﻮﺷﺖ ﺷﻴﻌﻴﺎﻥ‪،‬‬           ‫ﺟﻤﻊ ﺯﻳﺎﺩﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻭ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻧﺨﺒﮕﺎﻥ‬                        ‫ﮔﺎﻫﻰ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺮﺧﺎﺵ ﺷﺒﻴﻪ ﺑﻮﺩ‪.‬‬      ‫ﺩﺭ ﮔﺬﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﻧﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺧﻮﺩﺵ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﻳﺪﺍﻫﺎﻯ‬
‫ﺍﻳﻤﺎﻧﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ ﭼﻪ ﺳﻨﻰ ﻭ ﭼﻪ ﺷﻴﻌﻪ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‬         ‫ﺳ ّﻨﻰﻫﺎ‪ ،‬ﺗﺮﻛﻤﻦﻫﺎ‪ ،‬ﻛﺮﺩﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺁﺳﻮﺭﻯﻫﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ‬    ‫ﻟﻴﺒﺮﺍﻝ ﺩﺭ ﻧﻴﻮﻳﻮﺭﻙ ﺑﺮ ﺁﺗﺶ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻓﺘﻀﺎﺡ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺍﻣﻦ‬   ‫ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻻﻳﻠﻰ ﻛﻪ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ‬        ‫ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻭ ﺧﺎﻭﺭ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﻧﻘﺶ ﺑﺎﺯﻯ ﻛﺮﺩ ﺑﻠﻜﻪ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ‬
‫ﻭ ﻣﺤﻜﻮﻡ ﺑﻪ ﻓﺮﻗﻪﮔﺮﺍﻳﻰ ﻧﺸﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ‬       ‫ﺑﮕﻴﺮﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﻤﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﻳﻰ ﻫﻢ ﺍﻳﻦ‬    ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻭﻗﺖﺭﺍﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪﺑﻮﺩﻣﻰﺩﻣﻴﺪﻧﺪ‪.‬ﺟ ّﻮﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ‬         ‫ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻣﺎﻧﺪﮔﺎﺭ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮ ﻭﻯ ﺑﺮ ﺷﺮﻭﻉ‬     ‫ﻭ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺭﺍ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﻄﻌﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎﺯﻯ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ ﻭ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ‬
‫ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺭﺍﺑﻄﻪ ﺧﻮﺑﻰ ﺑﺎ ﻋﻠﻤﺎﻯ ﺩﻳﻨﻰ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪.‬‬       ‫ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﻣﻰﺍﻧﺪﻳﺸﻴﺪﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﻳﻚﺳﺮﻩ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﻛﺎﺭ‬       ‫ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﭘﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺗﺌﻮﺭﻯﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﻋﻠﻨ ٌﺎ‬  ‫ﺟﻨﮓ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2003‬ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﺑﻌﺎﺩ‬      ‫ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ ﺍﻃﻼﻋﺎﺕ ﻏﻠﻂ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻭ‬
‫ﺩﻳﺪﮔﺎﻩ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻫﻤﻮﺍﺭﻩ‬         ‫ﺻﺪﺍﻡ‪ ،‬ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﻣﻰﺳﭙﺎﺭﻧﺪ ﻭ‬         ‫ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﺭﺍ ﮔﺮﺩﺍﻧﻨﺪﻩ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﺧﺎﺭﺟﻰ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺩﺭ‬        ‫ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮﮔﺬﺍﺭﻯ ﻭﻯ ﺩﺭ ﮔﻔﺘﮕﻮﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺭﺍﻳﺰﻧﻰﻫﺎﻯ ﭘﺸﺖ‬
‫ﺑﺎ ﺍﺣﺘﺮﺍﻡ ﻭ ﺑﺎﻟﻨﺪﮔﻰ ﺧﺎﺻﻰ ﻫﻤﺮﺍﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﻭ ﺭﺍﺑﻄﻪ‬    ‫ﻏﺎﺋﻠﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺧﺘﻢ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺍﺯ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ‬       ‫ﺭﺍﺑﻄﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﺴﺖ‪ .‬ﮔﻮﻳﻰ ﺳﺨﻨﺎﻥ‬         ‫ﭘﺮﺩﻩ ﻭ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻏﺎﺯ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﻣﺸﺨﺺﺗﺮ ﺷﺪ‬                   ‫ﺍﻧﮕﻠﻴﺲ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻛﺸﺎﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﺍﻭ ﺑﺎ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ﮔﺎﻫﻰ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻋﻠﻤﺎﻯ‬         ‫ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2003‬ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻫﻤﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺧﻮﺵﺑﺎﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺟﻤﻠﻪ‬        ‫ﺑﺮژﻳﻨﺴﻜﻰ ﺩﺭ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺩﻫﻪ ﻗﺒﻞ ﻛﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﺑﻮﺩ‪» :‬ﺍﻳﻦ‬     ‫ﻛﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺑﺎ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻌﻀﻞ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‬        ‫ﺍﺣﻤﺪ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 1958‬ﺩﺭ ﺗﺒﻌﻴﺪ ﺑﻮﺩ‪.‬‬
‫ﺷﻴﻌﻪ ﻭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﻤﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻒ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ‬           ‫ﺭﺍﻣﺴﻔﻠﺪ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﺷﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺗﻮﺍﻥ‬             ‫ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺑﺎ ﻳﻚ ﺳﻴﺎﻩﻛﺎﺭﻯ‬    ‫ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻄﺢ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺪﻝ ﮔﺸﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﺖ‬         ‫ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﻃﻮﻝ ﺗﺒﻌﻴﺪ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻭ ﺟﻮﺭﺝ‬
‫ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺁﺯﺭﺩﻩ ﻣﻰﻛﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﻃﻊ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻔﻰ‬       ‫ﺧﻮﺩﮔﺮﺩﺍﻧﻰ ﻭ ﺍﺩﺍﺭﻩ ﻭ ﺗﺄﻣﻴﻦ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺖ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ‬   ‫ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﻋﻴﺎﺭ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﻴﺲ ﻭ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺑﺎ ﺻﺪﺍﻡ‬   ‫ﺩﺭ ﻓﻀﺎﻯ ﺁﺷﻔﺘﻪ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺍﺷﻐﺎﻝ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ‪ ،‬ﻣﻘﺎﻣﺎﺕ‬        ‫ﺗﺎﻭﻥ ﮔﺬﺭﺍﻧﺪ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻃﻮﻝ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺪﺕ ﻫﻤﻮﺍﺭﻩ‬
‫ﺍﺯ ﺍﺑﺮﺍﺯ ﻧﻈﺮ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻘﺎﻣﺎﺕ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﻳﻰ ﻣﺒﻨﻰ‬                                                     ‫ﺑﻜﺸﺎﻧﺪ« ﻏﻠﻂ ﺍﺯ ﺁﺏ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ‬    ‫ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﻳﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺗﺎﺯﻩ ﺍﺯ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻴﺖﻫﺎ ﺁﮔﺎﻩ ﺷﺪﻩ‬  ‫ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﻧﺎﭘﺎﻳﺪﺍﺭﻯ ﺑﺎ ﺳﺮﻭﻳﺲﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻃﻼﻋﺎﺗﻰ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ‬
‫ﺑﺮ ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﻭ ﻭ ﺟﺎﺳﻮﺳﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‬              ‫ﻭ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪﺍﻯ ﺷﻜﻨﻨﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺍﻧﻔﺠﺎﺭ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬                                                                                                  ‫ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪ ،‬ﺭﺍﺑﻄﻪﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻮﺍﻡ ﺑﺎ ﻗﻬﺮ ﻭ ﺁﺷﺘﻰ ﻭ ﺍﻋﺘﻤﺎﺩ‬
‫ﺍﺑﺮﺍﺯ ﺗﻌﺠﺐ ﻣﻰﻛﺮﺩ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﺍﻭ‬                                                                                                                                                    ‫ﻭ ﺑﻰ ﺍﻋﺘﻤﺎﺩﻯ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺩﻭﺳﺘﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻜﺎﻧﺶ ﻭﻯ‬
‫ﺑﺎ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻘﺎﻣﺎﺕ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻭ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‬                                                                                                                                                   ‫ﺭﺍ ﺷﺨﺼﻴﺘﻰ ﻛﻨﺠﻜﺎﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻌﺎﺩﻻﺕ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻭ‬
‫ﺑﺮ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻛﺲ ﭘﻮﺷﻴﺪﻩ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﻭ ﺍﻭ ﺧﻮﺩ ﻫﺮﮔﺰ‬                                                                                                                                                       ‫ﺻﺎﺣﺐ ﺫﻫﻨﻴﺘﻰ ﺯﻳﺮﻙ ﻭ ﺣﺴﺎﺱ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻭﻯ‬
‫ﻣﻨﻜﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺭﺗﺒﺎﻃﺎﺕ ﻧﺸﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻭﺝ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﻣﻘﺎﻣﺎﺕ‬                                                                                                                                                    ‫ﺟﺪﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻛﺘﺮﺍﻯ ﺭﻳﺎﺿﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺍﻧﺸﮕﺎﻩ ﺷﻴﻜﺎﮔﻮ‬
‫ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﻳﻰ ﻭ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻘﺎﻣﺎﺕ ﻋﺮﺍﻗﻰ ﺑﺮ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ‬                                                                                                                                                  ‫ﮔﺮﻓﺖﺩﺭﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯﺍﺯﺯﻣﻴﻨﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﻠﻤﻰﻧﻴﺰﺗﺴﻠﻂ‬
‫ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻧﻴﺮﻭ‬                                                                                                                                                 ‫ﻭ ﺁﮔﺎﻫﻰ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﺁﮔﺎﻫﻰ ﻭ ﺯﻳﺮﻛﻰﺍﺵ‬
‫ﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﻳﻰ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺷﺒﻪﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‬                                                                                                                                                        ‫ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﺩﺭﺱ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺩﻭﻡ‬
‫ﺷﻴﻌﻪ ﻭﺍﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺳﭙﺎﻩ ﭘﺎﺳﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻗﺘﻞ‬                                                                                                                                                       ‫ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻧﻴﺎﻣﻮﺧﺖ‪ ،‬ﺍﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻬﻢ ﺭﺍ ﻓﺮﺍﻣﻮﺵ ﻛﺮﺩ‬
‫ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻳﺪ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ‬                                                                                                                                                    ‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺷﺨﺎﺻﻰ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺍﻭ ﺿﺮﻭﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ‬
‫ﻭ ﻓﻴﺰﻳﻜﻰ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺷﻴﻌﻰ ﺍﻣﺮﻯ‬                                                                                                                                                 ‫ﺍﺯ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺩﺍﺋﻤﻰ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﻳﻰﻫﺎ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﺟﺘﻨﺎﺏﻧﺎﭘﺬﻳﺮ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺭﻭﺯ ﻧﺨﺴﺖ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﺑﻮﺩ‬                                                                                                                                                   ‫ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯﻩ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﻭ ﭼﻠﺒﻰﺳﺎﺯﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮓ ﻋﻠﻮﻡ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺧﻼء ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﭘﺴﺎ ﺻﺪﺍﻡ ﻃﺒﻴﻌﺘﺎ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‬                                                                                                                                                     ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﮕﺮ ﻣﻌﻨﺎﻯ ﺧﺎﺻﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﺯ ﺟﻤﻠﻪ‬
‫ﻭﺍﺭﺩ ﻣﻴﺪﺍﻥ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ ﻭ ﻛﻢ ﻛﻢ ﺑﺎ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﻫﺮ‬                                                                                                                                                    ‫ﺩﺭﺱﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻬﻤﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﻭ ﺯﻭﺍﻝ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ‬
‫ﭼﻪ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﻧﻴﺮﻭ ﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﭘﺮ ﺭﻧﮓﺗﺮ‬                                                                                                                                                  ‫ﻭﻯ ﻣﻰ ﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺍﻫﻤﻴﺖ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻡ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮ‬
‫ﻭ ﻣﺴﺘﺤﻜﻢﺗﺮ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻣﺮ‬                                                                                                                                                      ‫ﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻗﺪﺭﺕﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺰﺭگ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ‬
‫ﺁﮔﺎﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺍﺑﺘﺪﺍ ﺗﻼﺵ ﻛﺮﺩ ﺗﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻉ‬                                                                                                                                                  ‫ﺩﺭ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺧﺎﺹ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ ﻣﻰﺁﻳﺪ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﺁﻧﻜﻪ‬
‫ﻣﻬﻢ ﭼﻨﺪﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﮔﺬﺍﺭﻯﻫﺎ‬                                                                                                                                                       ‫ﺗﻀﻤﻴﻨﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪ ﻭ ﺑﻘﺎﻯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖﻫﺎ‬
‫ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﻧﮕﻴﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺭﻓﺘﺎﺭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﮕﺮ‬
‫ﺁﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻭﻯ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻘﻮﻁ ﺻﺪﺍﻡ ﺍﺷﺘﻴﺎﻕ‬                                                                                                                                                                             ‫ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻧﺘﻘﺎﻡﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺣﺎﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﻳﻰ‬                                                                                                                                                   ‫ﺑﻰ ﺷﻚ ﺍﮔﺮ ﻛﺴﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺯﻭﺍﻝ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻭﻯ ﻣﻘﺼﺮ‬
                                                                                                                                                                                          ‫ﺷﻨﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﺷﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺳﻬﻢ ﺧﻮﺩ ﻭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻫﺮ ﻛﺲ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‬
                ‫ﺩﻳﺮﻭﺯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ‪.‬‬                                                                                                                                                  ‫ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﺭﺳﺖ ﻳﺎ ﻏﻠﻂ ﺍﻭ ﺑﺎ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ‬
‫ﺭﺍﺋﻮﻝ ﻣﺎﺭﻙ ﮔﺮﺷﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺧﺎﻃﺮﻩﺍﻯ ﺍﺯ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ‬                                                                                                                                                        ‫ﺑﻪ ﻣﻴﺪﺍﻥ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺭﻭﻯ ﮔﺮﺩﺍﻧﺪﻥ‬
‫ﻣﻰﻧﻮﻳﺴﺪ‪» :‬ﺭﻭﺯﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺑﻐﺪﺍﺩ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﺰﻝ ﻣﺠﻠﻞ‬                                                                                                                                                      ‫ﻭ ﺿﺪﻳﺖ ﻭﻯ ﺑﺎ ﻣﻬﺘﺮ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰﺍﺵ ﺑﺰﺭﮔﺘﺮﻳﻦ‬
‫ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺒﻚ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﺩﻛﻮﺭ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻧﺸﺴﺘﻪ‬
‫ﺑﻮﺩﻳﻢ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻮﺯﻳﻚ ﮔﻮﺵ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﺩﻳﻢ‪ ،‬ﻣﻦ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻭ‬                                                                                                                                                                               ‫ﺍﺷﺘﺒﺎﻩ ﺍﻭ ﺑﻮﺩ‪.‬‬
‫ﭘﺮﺳﻴﺪﻡ ﺁﻳﺎ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺩﻭﺍﻡ ﺑﻴﺎﻭﺭﻯ؟‬                                                                                                                                                   ‫ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺯ ﻫﻤﻪ ﺍﻳﻨﻬﺎ‪ ،‬ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺴﺖ ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﻭﺷﻨﻔﻜ ِﺮ ﭘﻴ ِﺮ ﻏﺮﺏﺯﺩﻩﻯ ﺧﺎﻭﺭ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ‬                                                                                                                                              ‫ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻛﺴﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﻛﺎﻧﺎﻝ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻭ ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ‬
‫ﺳﺎﻳﻪﻯ ﻣﺤﻮ ﺷﺪﻩﻯ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻣﭙﺮﺍﺗﻮﺭﻯ ﻋﺜﻤﺎﻧﻰ‬                                                                                                                                                     ‫ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻴﺪﺍﻥ ﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﺣﻘﻴﻘﺖﻫﺎﻯ‬
‫ﻭ ﻗﺎﺟﺎﺭ ﺯﻳﺴﺘﻪ ﻭ ﺯﻳﺮ ﺑﺎﺭ ﺩﻳﻜﺘﺎﺗﻮﺭﻯ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺭﺷﺪ‬                                                                                                                                               ‫ﻛﺴﺐ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺍﺯ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﺗﻠﺨﻰﻫﺎﻳﺶ‬
‫ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺣﺎﻻ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﻣﻰﺯﻳﺴﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺭﻭ‬                                                                                                                                                    ‫ﻣﻰﭘﺬﻳﺮﻓﺖ‪.‬ﻫﺮﭼﻨﺪﻭﻯﺑﺮﺍﻯﺍﻛﺜﺮﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﻤﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ‬
‫ﺑﻪ ﺑﻨﻴﺎﺩﮔﺮﺍﻳﻰ ﻣﺬﻫﺒﻰ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﻭ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻓﺮﻗﻪﺍﻯ‬                                                                                                                                                   ‫ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﻳﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﭘﺬﻳﺮﺵ ﻧﺒﻮﺩ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻋﻤﺪﺗﺎ‬
‫ﺩﺍﻣﻦﮔﻴﺮﺵ ﺷﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺛﻨﺎ ﺍﻭ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﻣﺎﻧﺪﻩ‪ ،‬ﺁﻳﺎ‬                                                                                                                                             ‫ﺍﻭ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺭﻭﻯ ﮔﺮﺩﺍﻧﺪ ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﺑﺮﻋﻜﺲ‪.‬‬
‫ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺩﻭﺍﻡ ﺑﻴﺎﻭﺭﺩ؟ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﺍﻳﻦ‬                                                                                                                                                 ‫ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺦ ﻣﻤﻠﻮ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﻓﺮﺍﺯ ﻭ ﻓﺮﻭﺩ ﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﺗﻔﺎﺻﻴﻞ ﻭ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻴﺖﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻢ ﻣﻦ ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﺍﻭ ﺑﺮ‬                                                                                                                                                   ‫ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﺍﻃﻼﻋﺎﺗﻰ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﺎﺳﻮﺳﻰ‬
‫ﺁﻥ ﻭﺍﻗﻒ ﺑﻮﺩﻳﻢ‪ ،‬ﻧﮕﺎﻫﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻧﺪﺍﺧﺖ ﻭ ﮔﻔﺖ‪:‬‬                                                                                                                                                  ‫ﻭ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﭘﻮﺯﻳﺴﻴﻮﻥ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﻭ‬
                                                                                                                                                                                          ‫ﮔﺎﻫﻰ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭﻯ‬
                                                                                                                                                                                          ‫ﺍﺯ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺘﻰ‬

                                               ‫‪©Reuters‬‬                                       ‫‪©Reuters‬‬                                                                                    ‫‪©Reuters‬‬

‫ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ‪ 10‬ﺍﻭﺕ ‪ 2004‬ﺩﺭ ﺍﺗﺎﻕ ﻫﺘﻠﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ‬                   ‫ﺍﺣﻤﺪ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺮﻧﮕﻮﻧﻰ ﺻﺪﺍﻡ ﺣﺴﻴﻦ ‪ 1‬ﻣﺎﻩ ﻣﻪ‪ 2003‬ﻓﺮﻭﺩﮔﺎﻩ ﺑﻐﺪﺍﺩ ﭼﻠﺒﻰﭘﻴﺶﺍﺯﺟﻨﮓﻋﺮﺍﻕﺩﺭﭘﻨﺎﻩﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﻭﺭژﻳﻢﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‪،‬ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ‪9‬ﺩﺳﺎﻣﺒﺮ‪2002‬‬

  ‫»ﺍﻳﻨﺠﺎ ﺧﺎﻧﻪ ﻣﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﻣﻦ ﺍﻳﻨﺠﺎ ﻣﻰﻣﻴﺮﻡ«‪.‬‬       ‫ﺷﺎﻳﺪﭼﻠﺒﻰﺩﺭﺗﺼﻤﻴﻤﺎﺕﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚﺍﺵﭼﻨﺪﺍﻥ‬              ‫ﺑﺎ ﺍﻃﻼﻋﺎﺕ ﻏﻠﻄﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺧﻮﺭﺩ ﺳﻨﺎﺗﻮﺭ ﻫﺎ ﻭ‬         ‫ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ ﭼﻨﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻣﺎﺕ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﻣﻮﻗﻊ ﻋﻀﻮ‬  ‫ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺯﺍﻯ‬
‫ﺍﻭﺍﺧﺮ ﻗﺮﻥ ﺑﻴﺴﺘﻢ ﻭ ﺍﻭﺍﻳﻞ ﻗﺮﻥ ﺑﻴﺴﺖ ﻭ ﻳﻜﻢ‬         ‫ﻣﻮﻓﻖ ﻧﺒﻮﺩ ﺍﻣﺎ ﮔﺎﻫﻰ ﺗﺎﻛﺘﻴﻚﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻭ ﻓﻮﻕﺍﻟﻌﺎﺩﻩ‬      ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻣﺮﺩﺍﻥ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺻﺪﺍﻡ ﺭﺍ ﻳﻚ ﺗﻨﻪ‬  ‫ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖﻋﺮﺍﻕﺑﻮﺩﺧﺸﻤﮕﻴﻦﺷﺪﻧﺪﻛﻪﺩﺭ‬              ‫ﺗﺎﻣﻴﻦ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﻣﺸﺘﺮﻙ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻛﺜﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺍﺭﺩ‬
‫ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺑﺪﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺦ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺛﺒﺖ‬    ‫ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻜﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﺍﻥ ﻭﻯ ﻗﺎﺑﻠﻴﺖ ﻫﻢﺧﻮﺍﻧﻰ‬                                                     ‫ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2004‬ﺩﺳﺘﻮﺭ ﺑﺎﺯﺩﺍﺷﺖ ﻭﻯ ﺭﺍ ﺻﺎﺩﺭ ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ‪.‬‬      ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﻤﺪﺍﺭﺍﻧﻰ ﻧﻈﻴﺮ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﻭ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺍﺯ‬
‫ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ ﻭ ﻧﻘﺶ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﻫﻴﭻ ﮔﺎﻩ ﺍﺯ‬           ‫ﻭ ﺍﻧﻌﻄﺎﻑ ﺍﻭ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺩﺷﻮﺍﺭ ﻭ ﺧﻄﺮﻧﺎﻙ‬                                     ‫ﻳﻚﺳﺮﻩﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬         ‫ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ‪ 2005‬ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﺭ ﺍﻋﻢ ﻛﻠﻴﻪ ﺍﺭﺗﺶ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻭ‬      ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﻤﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﺧﺎﻭﺭﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ‬
‫ﺻﻔﺤﻪﺗﺎﺭﻳﺦﺧﻮﻧﻴﻦﻋﺮﺍﻕﻣﻌﺎﺻﺮﺯﺩﻭﺩﻩﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ‬             ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺑﺎﺭﺯﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻧﻜﺎﺕ ﻣﺜﺒﺖ ﺷﺨﺼﻴﺖ ﻭﻯ‬           ‫ﺳﻨﺎﺗﻮﺭ ﻫﻴﻼﺭﻯ ﻛﻠﻴﻨﺘﻮﻥ ﻛﻪ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ‪8‬‬            ‫ﺑﻪ ﻭﻳﮋﻩ ﻣﻘﺎﻣﺎﺕ ﺑﺎﻻﻯ ﭘﻨﺘﺎﮔﻮﻥ ﻭ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺩﻓﺎﻉ ﻭﻗﺖ‬   ‫ﻣﻘﻄﻌﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻮﻋﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻣﺪﻳﻮﻥ‬
‫ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺷﺨﺼﻴﺘﻰ ﭘﻴﭽﺪﻩ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎﻥ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬             ‫ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻄﻰ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﻓﺮﻭ ﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‬        ‫ﺳﺎﻝ ﺗﻼﺵ ﻫﻤﺴﺮﺵ‪ ،‬ﺑﻴﻞ ﻛﻠﻴﻨﺘﻮﻥ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﻣﻬﺎﺭ‬           ‫ﺭﺍﻣﺴﻔﻠﺪ ﻭ ﻣﻌﺎﻭﻧﺶ ﭘﺎﺋﻮﻝ ﻭﻭﻟﻔﻮﻳﺘﺰ ﺳﺮ ﺩﺭ ﮔﻢ‬      ‫ﻭ ﻣﻘﺮﻭﺽ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖﻛﻨﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﺧﻮﺩ ﻧﻤﻰﺩﺍﻧﻨﺪ ﻭ‬
‫ﺗﺤﻘﻖ ﺍﻫﺪﺍﻑﺍﺵ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺖ ﻣﻰﻛﺮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺑﻬﺎﻯ ﮔﺰﺍﻓﻰ‬          ‫ﭼﻨﺎﻥ ﺁﺷﻔﺘﮕﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ‬       ‫ﺩﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺗﻴﻚ ﺩﻳﻜﺘﺎﺗﻮﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺣﺘﻰ ﻳﻚ ﻟﺤﻈﻪ‬       ‫ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﭼﻪ ﺭﺍﻫﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺗﺨﺎﺫ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ ﻭ ﭼﻄﻮﺭ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ‬    ‫ﻳﺎ ﺩﺳﺖ ﻛﻢ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﻄﻌﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺷﺘﺒﺎﻩ ﺗﻜﺮﺍﺭﻯ‬
                                               ‫ﻛﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻧﺨﺒﮕﺎﻥ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺗﺮﺟﻴﺢ ﺩﺍﺩﻧﺪ ﺍﺯ‬    ‫ﻫﻢ ﺩﺭ ﺻﺤﺖ ﺍﻃﻼﻋﺎﺗﻰ ﻛﻪ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻛﻤﻴﺘﻪ‬            ‫ﺑﺎ ﺷﺒﻪﻧﻈﺎﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﻧﺘﻘﺎﻡﺟﻮﻯ ﺳ ّﻨﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺭﻭﺯ ﺑﻪ ﺭﻭﺯ‬   ‫ﺩﺳﺖ ﻣﻰﺯﻧﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﭘﺲ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻧﻴﺎﺯﻯ ﺑﻪ‬
      ‫ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻣﺤﺎﺳﺒﺎﺕ ﻏﻠﻂ ﺧﻮﺩ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ‪.‬‬         ‫ﺻﺤﻨﻪ ﺁﺷﻔﺘﻪ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺻﺪﺍﻡ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺷﻮﻧﺪ‬           ‫ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻡ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﺻﺪﺍﻡ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ‬    ‫ﺍﻓﺮﺍﻃﻰﺗﺮﻣﻰﺷﺪﻧﺪﻣﻘﺎﺑﻠﻪﻛﺮﺩ‪.‬ﻭﺍﺯﺳﻮﻯﺩﻳﮕﺮﭼﻪ‬          ‫ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﺭﺳﺖ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺍﺷﺘﺒﺎﻩ ﺑﺰﺭگ‬
‫ﺭﺍﺋﻮﻝ ﮔﺮﺷﺖ ﺍﺯ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﭘﺮﺳﻴﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ :‬ﺁﻳﺎ ﻣﻌﺎﺩﻟﻪ‬      ‫ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺯﻧﺪﮔﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻏﺮﺑﺖ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪ ﺩﻫﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﺩﺭ‬     ‫ﻛﺮﺩ ﺷﻚ ﻧﻜﺮﺩ ﻭ ﺭﺍﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺩﺍﺩ‪.‬‬        ‫ﺗﻤﻬﻴﺪﻯﺑﺎﻳﺪﺍﻧﺪﻳﺸﻴﺪﻩﺷﻮﺩﺗﺎﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪﻭﺣﺸﺖﺯﺩﻩ‬           ‫ﻭﻣﻌﺎﺩﻟﻪﻏﻠﻄﻰﺍﺳﺖﻛﻪﮔﺮﻳﺒﺎﻥﺷﺎﻥﺭﺍﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﺩ‪.‬‬
‫ﺭﻳﺎﺿﻰ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬        ‫ﻣﻴﺪﺍﻥ ﻣﺎﻧﺪ ﻭ ﺑﺎ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﭼﻬﺮﻩﺍﻯﻏﻴﺮ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ‬  ‫ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﺧﺎﻧﻢ ﻛﻠﻴﻨﺘﻮﻥ ﺭﺍ ﻗﺎﻧﻊ ﻛﺮﺩ ﺑﻰ ﺷﻚ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‬      ‫ﺷﻴﻌﻪ ﻛﻪ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺧﻄﺮ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﻓﺮﻗﻪﺍﻯ‬        ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﻳﻚ ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻥ ﻓﻴﺰﻳﻚ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺗﺎ ﺍﺻﻮﻝ ﻭ‬
‫ﻛﻨﺪ؟ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﺧﻨﺪﻳﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺟﻮﺍﺑﻰ ﻧﺪﺍﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ‬        ‫ﺑﺨﺸﺎﻳﺶ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎﻥ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ‬         ‫ﺍﻋﻀﺎﻯ ﻛﺎﺑﻴﻨﻪ ﻭ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻡ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‬   ‫ﻣﻰﺩﻳﺪ ﻭ ﺩﻳﺮ ﻳﺎ ﺯﻭﺩ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻠﻪ ﻣﻰﺯﺩ ﺁﺭﺍﻡ‬    ‫ﭘﺮﻧﺴﻴﭙﻞ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ‪ :‬ﺍﮔﺮ ﺑﺎ ﭘﺸﺘﻮﺍﻧﻪ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺧﺎﺭﺟﻰ‬
‫ﺭﺍﺋﻮﻝ ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﻣﻌﺎﺩﻟﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬          ‫ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻧﻰ ﻋﻤﺮ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ‬                                                  ‫ﻧﮕﺎﻩ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺁﺷﻮﺏﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ‬     ‫ﺑﻪ ﻣﻴﺪﺍﻥ ﺁﻣﺪﻯ ﺑﺎﻳﺴﺘﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺗﺎ ﺁﺧﺮ ﺑﺎﺯﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ‬
‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺮ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪ ،‬ﭼﻴﺰﻯ ﺑﺮ ﭘﺎﻳﻪ ﻛﻮﺍﻧﺘﻮﻡ‬           ‫ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﺵ ﮔﺬﺭﺍﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻓﻀﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﻭﺗﻰ‬                          ‫ﺭﺍ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﺘﻘﺎﻋﺪ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ‪.‬‬   ‫ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺑﺎﺯﻳﭽﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺟﻨﺎﺡ ﭼﭗ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺑﻪ‬        ‫ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭ ﺑﺎﺷﻰ‪ .‬ﺍﮔﺮ ﺭﻭﻯ ﺑﺮﮔﺮﺩﺍﻧﻰ ﻭ‬
‫ﻣﻜﺎﻧﻴﻚ‪ :‬ﻫﻤﻪ ﭼﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚ ﻭﺣﺪﺕ ﻣﻰﺭﺳﺪ ﻭ‬             ‫ﺍﺯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻫﻤﺘﺎﻳﺎﻥﺍﺵ ﺳﻴﺮ ﻣﻰﻛﺮﺩ‪ ،‬ﻓﻀﺎﻳﻰ ﻛﻪ‬          ‫ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2003‬ﺑﻪ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸﺖ‪ ،‬ﻭ‬            ‫ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﺍﻫﺮﻡ ﻓﺸﺎﺭ ﺑﺮ ﺿﺪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻭﻗﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺎﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ‬   ‫ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖﺁﻧﻬﺎﺍﺯﺗﻮﻗﻄﻊﺷﻮﺩ‪،‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﺭﺍﺑﺎﺧﺘﻪﺍﻯ!‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻳﺖ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻭ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬      ‫ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻧﺨﺒﮕﺎﻥ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻗﺎﺑﻠﻴﺖ ﻫﻀﻢ‬         ‫ﺳﺮﻧﻮﺷﺖ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻛﻨﺎﺭ ﺩﺟﻠﻪ ﺩﻳﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻪ‬       ‫ﻣﻰﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺟﻨﮓﻃﻠﺒﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻏﺮﻭﺭ ﺩﺭ ﺑﻮﻕ ﻭ ﻛﺮﻧﺎ‬      ‫ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻳﺪ ﻣﻨﺘﻘﺪﺍﻧﺶ ﺷﺨﺼﻰ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﺧﻮﺩﺵ ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺍﻭﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻳﺖ‬                                                            ‫ﺳﺮﻋﺖ ﺍﻧﺘﻘﺎﻝ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺍﺗﻔﺎﻕ ﻣﻰﺍﻓﺘﺎﺩ‪ .‬ﭼﻠﺒﻰ‬          ‫ﺩﻣﻴﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻧﺪﺍﺯﻯ ﻗﺼﺎﺏ ﺑﻐﺪﺍﺩ ﻣﻰﺭﻭﻧﺪ‬  ‫ﺭﺍﺑﻄﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻴﺰ ﻫﻮﺷﻰﺍﺵ ﻣﺒﺎﻟﻐﻪ ﻣﻰﺷﺪ ﻭ ﺧﻮﺩﺵ‬
‫ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﺧﻴﺎﻝ ﺧﺎﻣﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻃﺒﻴﻌﺘﺎ ﻫﻴﭻ‬                                       ‫ﺁﻥ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺘﻨﺪ‪.‬‬      ‫ﺑﺮﺧﻼﻑ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﻤﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ‬         ‫ﺣﺎﻻ ﺑﺎ ﺟﻨﮕﻰ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪﺩﺍﺭ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺑﻪ‬  ‫ﻫﻢ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺗﻤﻠﻖ ﻭ ﻣﺒﺎﻟﻐﻪ ﺑﺪﺵ ﻧﻤﻰﺁﻣﺪ‪،‬‬
                                               ‫ﺑﻪ ﻋﻘﻴﺪﻩ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻭﺳﺘﺎﻧﺶ‪ ،‬ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﻳﻚ‬            ‫ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺻﺪﺍﻡ ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﻛﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺮﻋﺖ‬                                                  ‫ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﻨﺪ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﺑﻰ ﺻﺒﺮ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺭﻙ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺶ‬
                     ‫ﻭﻗﺖ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻴﺖ ﻧﻴﺎﻓﺖ‪.‬‬         ‫ﺷﻴﻌﻪ ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪ ﻧﺒﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﻓﻠﺴﻔﻪ ﺍﻋﺘﻘﺎﺩﻯ ﺍﻭ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ‬       ‫ﺑﻪ ﻋﺮﺍﻗﻰﻫﺎ ﺳﭙﺮﺩﻩ ﺷﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﻤﺪﺍﺭﺍﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻫﺮ‬              ‫ﻳﻚ ﺍﻓﺘﻀﺎﺡ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺨﻰﺷﺒﻴﻪﺑﻮﺩ‪.‬‬
‫*ﺑﺎﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩﺍﺯﺧﺎﻃﺮﺍﺕ‪ReuelMarcGerecht‬‬                                                            ‫ﻛﺪﺍﻡ ﺑﻪ ﻃﺮﻳﻘﻰ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ‬
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