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‫آﺧﺮﯾﻦ وﯾﺪﺋﻮﻫﺎی ﺧﱪی در ﻟﻨﺰ اﯾﺮان‬ ‫‪KAYHAN LONDON ONLINE‬‬

‫‪www.lenziran.com‬‬ ‫ﺷﻤﺎ ﺑﺎ ﺁﮔﻬﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻛﻴﻬﺎﻥ ﻓﻘﻂ‬
‫ﺍﻃﻼﻉﺭﺳﺎﻧﻰ ﻭ ﻛﺴﺐ ﻭ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺧﻮﺩ‬
‫ﺭﺍ ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻰ ﻧﻤﻰﻛﻨﻴﺪ ﺑﻠﻜﻪ ﻳﻚ ﻛﺎﺭ‬
‫ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮕﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﻴﺪ‪:‬‬

‫‪Page 16‬‬ ‫ﺳﺎﻝﺳﻰﻭﺩﻭﻡ)ﺩﻭﺭﺓﺟﺪﻳﺪ(ـﺷﻤﺎﺭﻩ‪59‬ـﺟﻤﻌﻪ‪ 24‬ﺍﺭﺩﻳﺒﻬﺸﺖﻣﺎﻩ‪1395‬ﺧﻮﺭﺷﻴﺪﻯ‬ ‫ﺻﻔﺤﻪ ‪16‬‬ ‫ﻛﻴﻬـﺎﻥ‪ ،‬ﻛﻴﻬـﺎ ِﻥ ﻟﻨـﺪﻥ‪ ،‬ﻛﻴﻬـﺎ ِﻥ‬

‫‪ 6‬ﺷﻌﺒﺎﻥ ‪ 1437‬ﻗﻤﺮﻯ ـ ‪ 13‬ﻣﻪ ‪ 2016‬ﻣﻴﻼﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺩﺗـﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺯﻧـﺪﻩ ﻧـﮕﺎﻩ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﺭﻳـﺪ‬

‫‪No.59 Friday 13 May 2016‬‬ ‫‪www.kayhan.london‬‬
‫‪P.O. Box 435,Old Brompton Road 2,London, SW7 3DQ‬‬ ‫‪[email protected]‬‬
‫‪Tel: +(44)-(0)20 3633 3684 Fax: +(44)-(0)20 3633 3685‬‬
‫‪e-mail: [email protected] - www.kayhanlondon.london‬‬

‫ﻃﺮﺡ‪ ،‬ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﻳﻚ ﺑﺮﻧﺪ ﻣﻮﻓﻖ ﺑﻪ ﻓﺮﻭﺵ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﺭﺕ ﺧﺮﻳﺪ ﻛﺎﻻ ؛ ﻗﺪﻡ ﻧﺎﻛﺎﺭﺁﻣﺪ‬ ‫ﺭﻭﺷﻨﻚ ﺁﺳﺘﺮﻛﻰ‪ -‬ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺗﻮﺭﻡ‬
‫ﺑﺨﺸﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻛﺎﻻﻫﺎﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺷﺪﻩ؛ ﺑﺮﻧﺪﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﺰﻣﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻃﻮﻻﻧﻰﻣﺪﺕ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‪،‬‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﺩﺍﺭﺍﻯ ﻣﺮﺍﻛﺰ ﻋﺮﺿﻪ ﻣﺘﻌﺪﺩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﻣﺸﻜﻼﺕ‬
‫ﺣﺪﻭﺩ ‪ 50‬ﻛﺎﺭﺧﺎﻧﻪ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﻟﻮﺍﺯﻡ ﺧﺎﻧﮕﻰ‬ ‫ﻳﻜﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺭﺍﻫﻜﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺰ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ‪ 31‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭ ﻭ ﺳﺎﻳﭙﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﺩﻭ‬ ‫ﺗﺴﻬﻴﻼﺕ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ‬ ‫ﺯﻳﺎﺩﻯ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‪ ،‬ﻣﺮﺍﻛﺰ ﻻﺯﻡ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻋﺮﺿﻪ‬ ‫ﻳﺎﺯﺩﻫﻢ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺗﻴﺒﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﺣﺪ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭﺳﺎﺯﻯ ﻛﺎﺷﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺷﺮﻛﺖ ﺍﺗﻮﻣﺒﻴﻞﺳﺎﺯﻯ ﺑﺰﺭگ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﻛﻤﻜﻰ ﻧﻜﺮﺩ‬ ‫ﺳﻪ ﺳﺎﻝ ﭘﻴﺶ ﻭ ﺑﺎ ﺭﻭﻯ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺁﻣﺪﻥ‬
‫ﺗﺴﻬﻴﻼﺕ ﺧﺮﻳﺪ ﻛﺎﻻ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻓﺮﻭﺭﺩﻳﻦ ﻣﺎﻩ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﻛﺎﺭﻧﺎﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻳﺎﺯﺩﻫﻢ‪ ،‬ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺷﺪﻥ ﺗﻴﻢ‬
‫ﻧﺪﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻛﺎﺭﺕ ﺧﺮﻳﺪ ﻛﺎﻻ ﻣﻌﺮﻭﻑ ﺷﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻳﺎﺯﺩﻫﻢ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺨﺶ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭ ﻣﺘﻤﺮﻛﺰ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﺎﺳﺒﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﺑﺮﻧﺪﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻃﺮﺡ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﺗﺴﻬﻴﻼﺕ ﺧﺮﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﻤﻮﺩ ﺍﺣﻤﺪﻯ ﻧﮋﺍﺩ ﺍﺯ ﺯﻣﺎﻣﺪﺍﺭﻯ‬
‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺣﺎﺷﻴﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺟﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻃﺮﺡ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻗﺼﺪ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻚ ﺗﻘﺎﺿﺎ ﻭ ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﺭﻭﻧﻖ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﺭﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﺳﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺷﺶ ﺭﻭﺯ ﺍﺯ ﺯﻣﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻣﻮﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺍﺯ ﻳﻚ ﺳﻮ ﻭ ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻭﺍﺭﻯ‬
‫ﻃﺮﺡ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ .‬ﺣﻤﻴﺪﺭﺿﺎ ﻏﺰﻧﻮﻯ ﺩﺑﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﻋﻤﻮﻣﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺷﻌﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﻭ ﻭﻋﺪﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﺣﺴﻦ‬
‫ﺍﻧﺠﻤﻦ ﻛﺎﺭﺁﻓﺮﻳﻨﺎﻥ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ‬ ‫ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺎﻋﺚ ﺷﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻧﺘﻈﺎﺭﻯ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬
‫ﻣﻨﻔﻌﺖ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻃﺮﺡ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪﻛﻨﻨﺪﻩ ﻳﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﻳﻚ ﺗﺤﻮﻝ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ‬
‫ﻣﺼﺮﻑﻛﻨﻨﺪﻩ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ ،‬ﺍﺿﺎﻓﻪ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪:‬‬
‫»ﺑﺎﻧﻚ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺟﺎﻯ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﺷﻮﺩ‪.‬‬
‫ﻳﻚ ﺑﺨﺶ ﺳﻮﺩ ﺑﮕﻴﺮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺣﺴﻦ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻧﺨﺴﺘﻴﻦ‬
‫ﺩﻭ ﻗﺴﻤﺖ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﺭﻯ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺨﻨﺎﻧﺶ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﺭﻳﻴﺲ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‬
‫‪ 12‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺳﻮﺩ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﺍﻗﺴﺎﻁ‬ ‫ﻳﺎﺯﺩﻫﻢ ﺧﻄﺎﺏ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﮔﻔﺖ ﻛﻪ‬
‫ﺍﺯ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﻭ ‪ 5‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺑﺘﺪﺍ ﻭ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺩﺭ ﻳﻚ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ ‪ 100‬ﺭﻭﺯﻩ‪،‬‬
‫ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﻳﻜﺠﺎ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪﻛﻨﻨﺪﻩ ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻬﺎﺭ ﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺁﻧﻜﻪ ﺑﺎﻧﻚ ﺳﻮﺩ ‪ 5‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ‬ ‫‪ 100‬ﺭﻭﺯﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﮔﺬﺷﺖ ﻣﺎﻩﻫﺎ‬
‫ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚﺑﺎﺭﻩ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪﻛﻨﻨﺪﻩ ﺩﺭﻳﺎﻓﺖ‬ ‫ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺞ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺪﻯ ﺍﻧﺪﻙ‬
‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﺑﻨﺎﺑﺮﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺳﻮﺩ ﻣﺆﺛﺮ‬ ‫ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻧﺪﺍﺩﻩ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻭﻋﺪﻩﺍﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺟﻨﺲ‬
‫ﺍﻳﻦ ‪ 5‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺣﺪﻭﺩ ‪ 9‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﻭﻋﺪﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺤﻤﻮﺩ ﺍﺣﻤﺪﻯ ﻧﮋﺍﺩ ﻭ‬
‫ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻉ ﻭ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺣﺘﺴﺎﺏ ‪12‬‬ ‫ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺩﻭﻟﺘﻤﺮﺩﺍﻥ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‬
‫ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺳﻮﺩﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎﻧﻚ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ‬ ‫ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺁﻥ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻣﺎﺗﻰ ﻫﻢ‬
‫ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﺩ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﮔﻔﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻛﻞ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﻈﻮﺭ‬
‫ﻃﺮﺡ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺑﺎﻧﻚ‪ ،‬ﺳﻮﺩﻯ ﻣﻌﺎﺩﻝ ‪21‬‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺒﻮﺩ ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ‬
‫ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﻗﻊ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ‬ ‫ﮔﺮﻓﺖ‪ ،‬ﺗﺎﻛﻨﻮﻥ ﻳﺎ ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺠﻰ ﻣﻨﻔﻰ‬
‫ﺑﺎﻧﻚ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺗﻀﻤﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﻳﺎ ﺑﻰﺛﻤﺮ ﺑﻮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬
‫ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﺍﻣﺎ ‪ 12‬ﻣﺎﻫﻪ ﺑﻮﺩﻥ ﺍﻗﺴﺎﻁ‬ ‫ﺗﺪﻭﻳﻦ ﺩﻭ ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ‬
‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﺍﻡ‪ ،‬ﻫﻴﭻﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﻣﺰﻳﺘﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‪ ،‬ﺑﺮﺧﻼﻑ ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎﺕ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﺎ‬
‫ﻣﺸﻜﻼﺕ ﻭ ﺣﻮﺍﺷﻰ ﺯﻳﺎﺩﻯ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ ﺷﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺍﻋﺘﻘﺎﺩ ﺗﻌﺪﺍﺩﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻛﺎﺭﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﻥ‬
‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ‪ ،‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﺴﺘﻪﻫﺎ ﺻﺮﻓﺎً ﺣﻜﻢ‬
‫ﻣﻨﺘﻈﺮ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺗﻮﺭﻡ ﺑﺎﺷﻴﻢ‬ ‫ﺗﺰﺭﻳﻖ ﻣﺴﻜﻦ ﺑﻪ ﭘﻴﻜﺮ ﺩﺭﺩﻣﻨﺪ ﻭ‬
‫ﻧﺎﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ ﻭ‬
‫ﻫﺸﺪﺍﺭ ﺟﺪﻯ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‪ ،‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎ‬
‫ﺗﻮﺭﻡ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﻃﺮﺡﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﻧﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﻛﻤﻜﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻬﺎﺭ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ ﻧﻜﺮﺩﻩ‬
‫ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﺩﺍﻧﺎﻥ ﻣﻄﺮﺡ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﻠﻜﻪ ﺍﺛﺮﺍﺕ ﻣﻨﻔﻰ ﻫﻢ ﺩﺭ ﭘﻰ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﻛﺎﺭﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﻥ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪﻧﺪ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺩﻭﻡ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺳﻘﻒ ﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﻣﻬﺮ ﻣﺎﻩ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 94‬ﺭﻭﻧﻤﺎﻳﻰ ﺷﺪ ﺑﺮ‬
‫ﻫﺮ ﻓﺮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺣﺪﺍﻛﺜﺮ ‪ 10‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻚ ﺗﻘﺎﺿﺎ ﻣﺘﻤﺮﻛﺰ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﻃﺮﺍﺣﺎﻥ‬
‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﻣﻴﺎﻧﮕﻴﻦ ﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﻛﻪ‬
‫ﻃﺮﺡ ﻛﺎﺭﺕ ﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭﻯ ﺩﺭ ﮔﺎﻡ ﺍﻭﻝ‬ ‫ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻣﺸﻜﻼﺕ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬
‫ﺗﺰﺭﻳﻖ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ ﺭﻗﻤﻰ ﺑﻴﻦ ﭘﻨﺞ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﻛﻤﺒﻮﺩ‬
‫ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﺗﺎ ‪ 10‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺗﻘﺎﺿﺎ ﻭ ﺗﻨﮕﻨﺎﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎ ﻫﺪﻑ‬
‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻌﻨﺎﻯ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﻧﻘﺪﻳﻨﮕﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻚ ﺗﻘﺎﺿﺎ ﻭ ﺑﺮﻭﻥﺭﻓﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻨﮕﻨﺎﻯ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪﺍﻯ ﺟﺰ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺗﻮﺭﻡ ﺩﺭ ﭘﻰ‬

‫ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪.‬‬

‫ﺍﺯ ﺁﻧﺠﺎ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻮﺭﻡ ﺑﺎ ﻧﻘﺪﻳﻨﮕﻰ ﺭﺍﺑﻄﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻚ ﺗﻘﺎﺿﺎﻯ ﺑﺎﺯﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ‪ ،‬ﺑﺨﺶ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻭ ﺷﺮﻛﺖ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭﺳﺎﺯﻯ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺍﻣﺎ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﺑﺎ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ‪26‬‬ ‫ﺁﻏﺎﺯ ﻃﺮﺡ‪ ،‬ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﺑﻪ ‪ 130‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻟﻰ‪ ،‬ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻪ ﺣﻮﺯﻩ‬
‫ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻤﻰ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪ ،‬ﺑﻨﺎﺑﺮﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﻛﺎﻻﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺎﺩﻭﺍﻡ ﺭﺍ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻚ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﺷﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻃﺮﺡ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻳﺎﺯﺩﻫﻢ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺪﺕ ﻣﺸﺎﺑﻪ ﺳﺎﻝ‬ ‫ﻣﺘﻘﺎﺿﻰ ﺛﺒﺖ ﻧﺎﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﭘﻮﻟﻰ‪ ،‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ‬
‫ﻧﻘﺪﻳﻨﮕﻰ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻣﻨﺘﻈﺮ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺷﺪﻥ‬ ‫ﺭﻭﻧﻖ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﺨﺶﻫﺎ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺮﺩﺍﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﻣﻮﺍﺟﻪ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﻃﺮﺡ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻧﻮﻉ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﺗﺴﻬﻴﻼﺕ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺁﺛﺎﺭ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺗﻮﺭﻡ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺴﻬﻴﻼﺕ ‪ 10‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺯﺩﻫﻰ ﻻﺯﻡ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﻧﺎ ﻭ ﺭﺍﻧﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻣﺘﻘﺎﺿﻴﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﺑﺎ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ‪ ،‬ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﺑﺎﺯﺍﺭ ﺑﺪﻫﻰ‬
‫ﺣﺎﻟﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻣﻰﺭﺳﺪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺎ ﺳﻮﺩ ﺑﺎﻧﻜﻰ ‪ 21‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﻭ ﺑﺮﻧﺪ ﻣﻠﻰ ﭘﺮﻃﺮﻓﺪﺍﺭ‪ 45٫5 ،‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ‬ ‫‪ 16‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺳﻮﺩ ﺑﺎﻧﻜﻰ‪ ،‬ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﻣﺨﺎﺭﺝ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺯ ﻛﺎﻧﺎﻝ‬
‫ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻛﻞ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺣﺠﻢ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻣﺘﻘﺎﺿﻴﺎﻥ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﺷﻮﺩ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻧﺎﻫﻤﺎﻫﻨﮕﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻃﺮﺡ ﻛﺎﺭﺕ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﺭﺍ ﺗﺠﺮﺑﻪ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺳﺎﻳﭙﺎ‬ ‫‪ 25‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﺭﺍ ‪ 33‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ‬ ‫ﺑﻮﺩﺟﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳﺘﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ‬
‫ﻧﻘﺪﻳﻨﮕﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺑﻰﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ‬ ‫ﻣﺘﻘﺎﺿﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺒﻠﻎ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺽ‬ ‫ﺧﺮﻳﺪ ﻛﺎﻻ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻥ ﺧﺮﻳﺪﺍﺭﻯ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﻃﺮﺡ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺟﺎﻯ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺨﺶ ﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ‬
‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﺮﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﺟﺪﻳﺪﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﺁﻣﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻳﻚﺳﺎﻝ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺮﺩﺍﻧﻨﺪ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﻛﻨﻮﻥ ﺑﺎ ﭼﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻋﻤﻞ ﺑﺎ ﺣﻮﺍﺷﻰ ﺯﻳﺎﺩﻯ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ ﺷﺪ ﺍﻣﺎ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻋﻄﺎﻯ ﻭﺍﻡ ﺍﺭﺯﺍﻥﻗﻴﻤﺖ ﻭ‬
‫ﺑﺨﺶ ﭘﻮﻟﻰ ﻭ ﺑﺎﻧﻜﻰ ﺑﺎﻧﻚ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻩ ﺗﺄﺧﻴﺮ‪ ،‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺎﺭﺕﻫﺎ ﺑﺎ ﻣﺒﻠﻎ ‪ 4‬ﺗﺎ‬ ‫ﺟﺪﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺣﻮﺍﺷﻰ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺁﻣﺪﻩ‪ ،‬ﺗﻌﺪﺍﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﺗﻨﺰﻳﻞ ﺍﺳﻨﺎﺩ ﺗﺠﺎﺭﻯ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﻫﺮﭼﻨﺪ‬
‫ﺣﺠﻢ ﻛﻞ ﻧﻘﺪﻳﻨﮕﻰ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺑﻬﻤﻦ‬ ‫‪ 6‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻥ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻣﺘﻘﺎﺿﻴﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﻛﺎﺭﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﻥ ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻭﺍﺭ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺍﻋﺘﻘﺎﺩ ﻛﺎﺭﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﻥ‪ ،‬ﻧﻜﺘﻪ ﻣﺜﺒﺖ‬
‫ﻣﺎﻩ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 94‬ﺑﺎ ‪ 24٫7‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺭﺷﺪ‬ ‫ﻃﺮﺡ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺑﺎ ﻫﻤﻪ ﻧﻘﺺﻫﺎﻳﺶ ﺧﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﺴﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﻳﻰ ﺩﺭﺳﺖ ﻣﺴﺌﻠﻪ‬
‫ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺳﻔﻨﺪ ‪ 93‬ﻭ ‪ 28٫7‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺷﺪﻥ ﺍﻧﺒﺎﺭ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭﺳﺎﺯﺍﻥ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻛﻮﺗﺎﻩﻣﺪﺕ ﻭ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺭﺍﻫﻜﺎﺭﻫﺎ‬
‫ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﻳﺴﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺑﻬﻤﻦ ‪ 93‬ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﺟﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻃﺮﺡ ﺍﺯ ﻫﻔﺘﻪ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﺭﻭﻧﻖ ﺩﺭ ﺻﻨﻌﺖ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭ ﺳﺎﺯﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺗﺄﻣﻴﻦ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻭ ﻣﺪﻳﺮﻳﺖ‬
‫‪ 975‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻭ ‪ 940‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﺎﺭﺩ ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺁﻏﺎﺯ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﻧﺨﺴﺘﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﺑﺎ ﮔﺬﺷﺖ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﭘﻮﻟﻰ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺗﻨﻈﻴﻢ ﺭﺍﻫﻜﺎﺭﻫﺎ‬
‫ﻧﻜﺘﻪﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺟﺮﺍﻯ ﺁﻥ ﺑﻪ ﭼﺸﻢ‬ ‫ﻛﻤﺘﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺷﺶ ﻣﺎﻩ‪ ،‬ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ ﺷﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﭼﻨﺪﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﻣﻮﺛﺮ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﻧﺸﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺭﺩ‪ ،‬ﻧﺎﻫﻤﺎﻫﻨﮕﻰ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻣﻴﺪ ﻫﻢ ﺑﺮ ﺑﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻋﻄﺎﻯ ﻭﺍﻡ ﺍﺭﺯﺍﻥ‬
‫ﺍﺯ ﻃﺮﻓﻰ‪ ،‬ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ ﺣﺠﻢ ﻧﻘﺪﻳﻨﮕﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻃﺮﺡ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺭﻓﺖ ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻃﺮﺡ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺑﺎﻋﺚ ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﻗﻴﻤﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻭ ﺑﺨﺶ ﻟﻮﺍﺯﻡ ﺧﺎﻧﮕﻰ ﻭ‬
‫ﻃﻰ ‪ 3‬ﺳﺎﻝ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺣﺪﻭﺩ ‪ 2‬ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ ﺭﺋﻴﺲ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩﻳﻪ ﻟﻮﺍﺯﻡ ﺧﺎﻧﮕﻰ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭ ﺗﺪﻭﻳﻦ ﺷﺪ ﻭ ﺑﻨﺎ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺯ‬
‫ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﺍﺯ ‪450‬‬ ‫ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﻧﺒﻮﺩﻥ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﺭﻡ ﺷﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﻛﺎﺭﺕ ﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭﻯ‪ ،‬ﺧﺮﻳﺪ ﻛﺎﻻ ﻭ‬
‫ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﺎﺭﺩ ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻋﺪﺩ ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﻰ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﻞﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﺮﺿﻪ ﻟﻮﺍﺯﻡ ﺧﺎﻧﮕﻰ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺟﺪﻳﺪﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﺁﻣﺎﺭﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﻭﺍﻡ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭ‪ ،‬ﻣﻮﺗﻮﺭ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ‬
‫‪ 1000‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﺎﺭﺩ ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻥ ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻩ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﻳﺎﻓﺖ ﻛﻨﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﻛﺎﺭﺕ ﺧﺮﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﺷﺮﻛﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺗﻮﻣﺒﻴﻞﺳﺎﺯﻯ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﺭﻭﺷﻦ ﻛﻨﺪ ﻭﻟﻰ ﺑﺎ ﮔﺬﺷﺖ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻣﺎﻩ‬
‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﻫﺸﺪﺍﺭﻯ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺪﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭﻯ ﻟﻮﺍﺯﻡ ﺧﺎﻧﮕﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺳﺮﮔﺮﺩﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻓﺮﻭﺭﺩﻳﻦ ﻣﺎﻩ ‪ 95‬ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﻭﺯﺍﺭﺕ‬ ‫ﻧﺘﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻪ ﻣﻮﻓﻖ ﻋﻤﻞ‬
‫ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪﻥ ﺯﻧﮓ ﺧﻄﺮ ﺗﻮﺭﻣﻰ ﺷﺪﻳﺪ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﻭ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺻﻨﻌﺖ‪ ،‬ﻣﻌﺪﻥ ﻭ ﺗﺠﺎﺭﺕ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﺨﺴﺖ ﺍﺟﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪.‬‬

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