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‫ﺟﻤﻌﻪ ‪ 5‬ﺗﺎ ﭘﻨﺠﺸﻨﺒﻪ ‪ 11‬ژﻭﺋﻦ ‪2015‬‬

‫ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﺩﺍﻋﺶ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﻳﻚ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺷﻴﻌﻪ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ‪:‬‬

‫ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻭ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻧﺠﺎﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺩﻩ ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺍﻣﻴﺪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻑ ُﻛﺮﺩﻫﺎ ﻭ ﭼﭗﻫﺎ‬

‫ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎﻥ ﺻﺪﺍﻡ ﺣﺴﻴﻦ ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﺳﺮ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺩﻫﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻌﻀﻰ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺩﺧﺎﻟﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ‬ ‫‪ 2002‬ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺁﻣﺎﺩﮔﻰﺍﺵ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﮔﻔﺘﮕﻮ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺷﭙﻴﮕﻞ‬ ‫ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ‪:‬ﺻﻼﺡﺍﻟﺪﻳﻦ ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ‬
‫ﻛﺮﺩ ﻭ ﮔﻔﺖ‪» :‬ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺍﺯ ﻛﺮﺩﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻋﺮﺍﻗﻰﻫﺎ ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ ﺍﺣﻤﺪ ﭼﻠﺒﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ﻫﺪﻑ ﺷﻜﻞ ﻧﮕﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﻳﻚ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ‬ ‫ﺷﺮﻕ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺑﺮﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﻧﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﺣﺰﺏ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻛﺴﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬
‫ﻭ ﺷﻴﻌﻴﺎﻥ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻒ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﻈﻮﺭ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺍﺳﺘﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﺎﻟﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﻠﻮﻳﺰﻳﻮﻧﻰ ﻭ ﺗﺪﺭﻳﺲ ﺑﻪ ﺯﺑﺎﻥ ﻛﺮﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﻞ ﻣﺼﺎﺣﺒﻪ ﺩﻓﺘﺮﻯ ﻧﺎﺷﻨﺎﺱ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ‬ ‫ﻫﻔﺖ ژﻭﺋﻦ ﺭﻗﻴﺐ ﺧﻄﺮﻧﺎﻛﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬
‫ﻣﻄﻤﺌﻦ ﺷﺪﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺷﻜﻞ ﻧﮕﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ ﺧﻼء ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﻣﻰﺷﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﻜﻮﻻﺭ ﺁﻏﺎﺯ ﺷﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺁﺯﺍﺩ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﮔﺸﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻛﺴﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺟﺮﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺘﺎﻧﺒﻮﻝ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻭﺳﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﺁﻳﺎ ﺗﺮﻙﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻭ ﺭﺃﻯ‬
‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺳﻜﻮﻻﺭ ﻭ ﻣﻘﺘﺪﺭ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺑﻮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﺸﻜﻼﺕ ﻗﺒﻠﻰ ﻣﻰﺍﻓﺰﻭﺩ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎﻭﺭ ﻣﻦ‬ ‫ﻫﻔﺘﻪ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﻧﺴﺘﻴﺘﻮ ﺑﻴﻦﺍﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﮔﻮﺵ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻮﺳﻴﻘﻰ ﻛﺮﺩﻯ ﺭﺍﻫﻰ‬ ‫ﺗﻌﻠﻖ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻭ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻭﺭ ﺍﺯ ﺍﺯﺩﺣﺎﻡ‬
‫ﺗﻘﺴﻴﻢ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﻛﺮﺩﻫﺎ‪ ،‬ﺳﻨﻰﻫﺎ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺟﻨﮓ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺑﺮﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﻣﻄﺎﻟﻌﺎﺕ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺩﺭ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻣﻴﺰﺑﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺯﻧﺪﺍﻥ ﻧﻤﻰﺷﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺗﻤﺎﺷﺎﭼﻴﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻫﻮﺍﺩﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺩﺍﺩ؟‬
‫ﺷﻴﻌﻴﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺷﺪﺕ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﻋﻼﻗﻪ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ‬ ‫ﺍِﻣﺎ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﻯ ﺍﺳﺘﺎﺩ ﺍﻧﺴﺘﻴﺘﻮ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﻌﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﺪ‪» :‬ﺁﻏﺎﺯ ﺭﻭﻧﺪ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺟﻨﮓ«‬ ‫ﺩﻳﺪﺍﺭ ﻭ ﮔﻔﺘﮕﻮ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﺧﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﻪ ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺻﻼﺡﺍﻟﺪﻳﻦ‬
‫ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ ﭼﺮﺍﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺭﺍﺣﺘﻰ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺖ ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻚ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻯ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﺭﺟﻰ ﺟﻜﺴﻮﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺍﻧﺸﮕﺎﻩ ﻳﻞ ﺑﻮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2012‬ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺭﺳﻤﺄ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﺭﻭﻯ ﻣﺒﻞ ﭼﺮﻣﻰﻣﻰﺍﻧﺪﺍﺯﺩ ﻭ ﻧﻔﺴﻰ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺒﻴﻨﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻣﺮﺩﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﺗﺎ‬
‫ﻣﺘﻤﺮﻛﺰ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻰﺷﻜﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻫﺪﻑ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﻯ ﺑﺎ ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻰ ﻛﺘﺎﺏ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫پ ﻙ ﻙ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﻩ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﻤﻴﻖ ﻣﻰﻛﺸﺪ‪ .‬ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻣﻰﺭﺳﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺷ ّﺮ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺧﻼﺹ ﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﻣﺸﻜﻼﺕ ﺑﻴﻦ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﺮﺍﻗﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺣﻞ‬ ‫ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﻳﻚ ﺗﻮﻫﻢ؛ ﺍﻧﺘﻈﺎﺭﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻭﻟﻴﻦ ﺑﺎﺭ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻰ ﺳﺎﻝ ﻭ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺣﻤﻼﺕ ﺭﻗﺒﺎ ﺗﺄﺛﻴﺮ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺟﻤﻌﻴﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺍﻧﺸﺠﻮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺗﺎ ﻣﺮﺩﺍﻧﻰ‬
‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺰﺭگ ﻭ ﻓﺮﺻﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺭﻓﺘﻪ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺟﻨﮕﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ‪ 30000‬ﻛﺸﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﻛﻪ ﻛﻠﻤﺎﺗﺶ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺭﻳﺶﺷﺎﻥ ﺟﻮﮔﻨﺪﻣﻰﺷﺪﻩ‪،‬‬
‫ﺍﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺨﺸﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺨﻨﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﻛﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺁﺭﺍﻣﺶ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻛﻤﻚ ﻛﻨﺪ‪«.‬‬ ‫ﻋﺮﺍﻕ«‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﺍﺑﺘﺪﺍﻯ ﺟﻠﺴﻪ ﻧﻴﺖ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺟﺎ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ پ ﻙ ﻙ ﻫﻢ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺩﻗﺖ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﺪ »ﺣﺰﺏ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺳﺎﻟﻦ ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﺎﺕ ﺩﺍﻧﺸﮕﺎﻩ ﺑﺴﻔﺮ‬
‫ﺩﺭﺑﺎﺭﻩ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﮔﻔﺖ‪» :‬ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺮﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻭ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ »ﺩﺭ ﻓﺎﺻﻠﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﻮﺷﺘﻦ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺘﺎﺏ ﺭﺍ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺍﺳﺖ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺗﺸﻜﻴﻞ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺧﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﻋﺪﺍﻟﺖ ﻭ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺎ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺘﺎﻧﺒﻮﻝ ﻫﺠﻮﻡ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻫﻤﻪ‬
‫ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻥ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸﺖ ﺑﻪ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ‬ ‫‪ 2007‬ﺗﺎ ‪ 2009‬ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ ﺧﺸﻮﻧﺖﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻛﺮﺩ‪» :‬ﻭﻗﺘﻰ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺭﺍ ﺗﺮﻙ ﻛﺮﺩﻡ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺶ ﺭﺍ ﺍﻋﻄﺎ ﻧﻤﻮﺩﻩ‪ «.‬ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺻﻨﺪﻟﻰ ﻫﺎ ﺍﺷﻐﺎﻝ ﺷﺪﻩ‪ .‬ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﺭﻭﻯ‬
‫ﺭﺍ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ ﻭ ﻣﺎ ﺑﺎ ﭼﻬﺮﻩ ﺟﺪﻳﺪﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ‬ ‫ﺗﺎ ﺣﺪﻭﺩﻯ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﻛﺮﺩ« ﺁﻥ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﻋﺼﺒﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﻮﺩﻡ ﻭ ﻫﻤﻴﺸﻪ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺘﺎﺭ ﭼﺸﻢ ﭘﻮﺷﻴﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﻳﺎﻡ ﺭﻭﺯﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﺑﻪ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ‬ ‫ﺯﻣﻴﻦ ﻧﺸﺴﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻳﻮﺍﺭ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ‬
‫ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ ﻫﺴﺘﻴﻢ‪ ،‬ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺷﺒﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻻﻳﻞ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﻭﺗﻰ ﺩﺍﻧﺴﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺳﺦ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﭘﺮﺳﺶ ﺑﻮﺩﻡ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﺣﺎﻻ ﺩﻭﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻣﻄﻠﺒﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺭﻭﺯﻧﺎﻣﻪ »ﻓﺮﺍﻧﻜﻔﻮﺭﺗﺮ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﻭﺍﺭﺩ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﻭ‬
‫ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺣﻴﺪﺭ ﺍﻟﻌﺒﺎﺩﻯ ]ﻧﺨﺴﺖ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﻜﺎﻯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻻﻳﻞ ﺭﺍ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺗﺸﺮﻳﺢ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﭼﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﻛﺮﺩﻫﺎ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺩﺍﻣﻦ ﺯﺩﻥ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺁﻟﮕﻤﺎﻳﻨﻪ« ﭼﺎپ ﺁﻟﻤﺎﻥ ﻛﺸﻒ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﻭﻗﺘﻰ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﺭﺍ ﻛﻪ ﺟﻠﻮﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻭﺭﻭﺩﻯ‬
‫ﻛﺮﺩ‪» :‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺳﻨﻰﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﻮﺩﻡ؟ ﭼﻪ ﺩﺳﺘﺎﻭﺭﺩﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺗﺮﻙﻫﺎ ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﺍﺯ ﺑﻮﻓﻪ ﻫﺘﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﺯﺩﺣﺎﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﻣﻰﺑﻴﻨﺪ ﺑﺎ ﺻﺪﺍﻯ ﺑﻠﻨﺪ‬
‫ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﻋﺪﻩ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻢ؟ ﭼﺮﺍ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ‪ 100‬ﺗﺎ ‪ 150‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﺭﺋﻴﺲ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻛﻠﻦ » ﺳﻪ ﺑﺮﺵ ژﺍﻣﺒﻮﻥ ﺧﻮﻙ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﺪ‪ » :‬ﺑﻴﺎﻳﻴﺪ ﺭﻭﻯ ﺻﺤﻨﻪ! ﺍﻳﻨﺠﺎ‬
‫ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺷﺒﻪ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺷﻴﻌﻪ‬ ‫ﻋﺮﺍﻗﻰ‪ 4500 ،‬ﺳﺮﺑﺎﺯ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﻳﻰ ﻭ ‪179‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻰ ﻃﺮﻑ ﺑﻤﺎﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻫﻔﺘﻪ ﻫﺎﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﺸﻘﺎﺑﺶ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺖ‪ «.‬ﺣﺎﻻ ﺳﻪ ﺳﺎﻝ ﻭ‬
‫ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺳﺮﺑﺎﺯ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎﻳﻰ ﻛﺸﺘﻪ ﻣﻰﺷﺪﻧﺪ؟‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺒﺎﺭﺯﺍﺕ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺷﺮﻛﺖ‬ ‫ﭼﻨﺪ ﻣﺎﻩ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺑﺮﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻣﻄﻠﺐ‬ ‫ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﺟﺎ ﻫﺴﺖ‪«.‬‬
‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺗﺤﻘﻖ ﺁﺷﺘﻰ ﻣﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻣﻦ ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺍﺳﺘﻢ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﻫﻢ ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﻭ ﺗﻘﺎﺿﺎﻳﺶ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳﺖ‪:‬‬ ‫ﻣﻬﺮ ﻛﻔﺮ ﺑﺮ ﭘﻴﺸﺎﻧﻴﺶ ﺧﻮﺭﺩﻩ‪ .‬ﺍﻓﺮﺍﺩ‬ ‫ﺣﻀﺎﺭ ﻫﻮﺭﺍ ﻣﻰﻛﺸﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺷﺠﺎﻉﺗﺮﻫﺎ‬
‫ﻭ ﺧﺪﻣﺎﺕ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻣﺎﺗﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪﻫﺎ ﻭ ﻓﺪﺍﻛﺎﺭﻯﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻣﺎﺕ ﭼﻪ‬ ‫»ﺍﮔﺮ ﭼﻬﺎﺭﺻﺪ ﻛﺮﺳﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺁﻭﺭﻳﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﺎﺷﻨﺎﺱ ﺑﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭﻫﺎ ﻭ ﻣﺮﺍﻛﺰ ﺍچ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺳﻮﻳﺶ ﻣﻰﺭﻭﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﺑﺎ ﺻﺒﺮ‬
‫ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻟﻰ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ‪ «.‬ﺍﺯ ‪ 550‬ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺩ پ ﺣﻤﻠﻪﻭﺭ ﺷﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺦ ‪18‬‬ ‫ﻭ ﺣﻮﺻﻠﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ِﺳﻠﻔﻰ ﺍﻧﺪﺍﺧﺘﻦ ﺟﻠﻮﻯ‬
‫‪ 2010‬ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻥ ﻣﺎﻟﻜﻰ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻣﻌﻨﻰ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻥ ﺍﺳﺎﺳﻰ ﺣﺰﺏ »ﻋﺪﺍﻟﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻩ ﻣﻪ ﺩﻓﺎﺗﺮ ﺍچ پ ﺩ ﺩﺭ ﺷﻬﺮﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻣﻮﺑﺎﻳﻞﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺩﻭﺭﺑﻴﻦ ّﻫﺎ ﻣﻰﺍﻳﺴﺘﺪ‪ .‬ﻣﺮﺩﻯ‬
‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﻳﻚ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﻜﺎﻯ ﻛﺘﺎﺏ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺭﺍﻯ ﺳﻪ ﭘﻴﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ« ﺑﻪ ‪ 367‬ﻛﺮﺳﻰ ﻧﻴﺎﺯ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺁﺩﺍﻧﺎ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﺣﻤﻼﺕ ﺍﻧﻔﺠﺎﺭﻯ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺟﻮﺍﻥ ﻧﻮﺯﺍﺩﺵ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻏﻮﺵ ﺍﻭ ﻣﻰﮔﺬﺍﺭﺩ‬
‫ﺑﺰﺭگ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﺯ ﻳﻚ ﺳﻮ‬ ‫ﺟﺪﺍﮔﺎﻧﻪ ﺩﺍﻧﺴﺖ‪ .‬ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ‬ ‫ﺍچ ﺩ پ ﺑﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻛﻤﻴﺴﻴﻮﻥ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺿﺮﺑﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺩﮔﻤﻪ ﺩﻭﺭﺑﻴﻦ ﺭﺍ ﻓﺸﺎﺭ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻴﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﻭﺗﻰ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺑﺖ ﻇﺎﻫﺮ ﺷﺪﻥ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺻﺤﻨﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﺘﺴﺐ ﻧﻤﻮﺩﻥ ﺍﻭ ﺑﻪ پ ﻙ ﻙ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻴﻦ ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻥﺍﻧﺪ ﻭﻟﻰ ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ‬
‫ﻭ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻘﻮﻁ ﺻﺪﺍﻡ ﺣﺴﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺍﻋﺘﺮﺍﺽ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﻭ ﻛﻤﻴﺴﻴﻮﻥ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﭼﻄﻮﺭ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﺒﺨﻨﺪ ﻣﻰﺯﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺭﻭﻯ ﻣﻮﻧﻴﺘﻮﺭ ﺑﺰﺭگ‬
‫ﺣﻀﻮﺭﺷﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺿﺮﻭﺭﻯ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻓﺮﺻﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺳﻮﺧﺖ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻫﺮ ﺑﺎﺭ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻛﻪ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﺟﻮﺍﻧﻰ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﺭﻓﺘﺎﺭ ﺧﺸﻮﻧﺖﺑﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﭘﺸﺖ ﺳﺮ ﺍﻭ ﺟﻤﻠﻪ »ﺑﻴﻮﻙ ﺍﻳﻨﺴﺎﻥ‬
‫ﺁﻥ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻣﺎﺟﺮﺍﻯ ﺳﻔﻴﺮ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺭﻓﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻻﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻣﻘﺎﻡ ﻣﻤﻠﻜﺘﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻛﻨﺘﺮﻝ ﻛﻨﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻭ ﺧﻮﺩﺳﺮﺍﻧﻪ ﺳﺮﺑﺎﺯﺍﻥ ﺑﺎ ﻛﺮﺩﻫﺎ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻟﻴﻚ‪ ،‬ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻧﻴﺖ ﺑﺰﺭگ« ﺑﻪ ﭼﺸﻢ‬
‫ﻣﺘﺤﺪﻩ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻭ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ‬ ‫ﻋﺮﺍﻗﻰﻫﺎ ﻫﻢﭼﻨﺎﻥ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻭ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻭ ﭼﻄﻮﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺩﺭﺵ ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺗﻬﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺭﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺷﻌﺎﺭ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺗﻴﻚ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﺗﻤﺎﻳﻞ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻨﺪ ﻫﺮﭼﻪ ﺳﺮﻳﻊﺗﺮ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺧﺎﻃﺮ ﻭﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﺷﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺷﻜﺎﻳﺎﺕ ﺭﺍ ﺭﺩ ﻧﻤﻮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻋﻀﻮﻳﺖ ﺩﺭ پ ﻙ ﻙ ﺯﻧﺪﺍﻥ ﻛﺸﻴﺪﻩ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻣﺮﺩﻣﻰ»ﺍچ ﺩ پ« ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻓﻰ ﺍﺯ‬
‫ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺳﺮﺯﻧﺶ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻫﻴﭻ‬ ‫»ﻛﺴﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪﺟﻠﻮﻯ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻟﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺟﺮﻣﺶ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺷﺮﻛﺖ‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻛﺮﺩﻯ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺗﻴﻚ »ﺏ‬
‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ‬ ‫ﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻘﺶ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻪ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻳﻚ ﺗﻈﺎﻫﺮﺍﺕ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ‬ ‫ﺩ پ« ﻭ ﮔﺮﻭﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﭼﭗ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻛﻪ‬
‫ﺍﺯ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺷﻮﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺳﻔﻴﺮ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ[ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻣﺎﺕ ﻣﺜﺒﺘﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﻳﻚ ﺻﻠﺢ ﭘﺎﻳﺪﺍﺭ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺗﻤﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺑﮕﻴﺮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺍچ ﺩپ ﺭﺃﻯ ﺑﺪﻫﺪ«‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺩﻩﺍﺵ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺎﻳﻰ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﻭﻛﻴﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﻣﻌﺎﻭﻧﺖ ﺁﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻬﺪﻩ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪:‬‬
‫ﻣﺘﺤﺪﻩ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺍﺣﺖ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻠﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻉ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺍﻣﺎ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﺮﺍﻗﻰ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﻭ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺟﻤﻠﻪﺍﻯ ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﻣﺮﺗﺐ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻭ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺘﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺍﻭ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ ﻛﺮﺩ ‪ 42‬ﺳﺎﻟﻪ‪ ،‬ﻭﻛﻴﻞ ﺩﺍﺩﮔﺴﺘﺮﻯ‬
‫ﻣﺎﻟﻜﻰ ”ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺎ ﻧﻴﺎﺯ ﺩﺍﺭﻳﻢ“ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺎﻳﻰ ﻻﺯﻡ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﻞ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺗﻮﺍﺯﻥ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﭘﻮﻳﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﺠﺎﻣﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺗﻜﺮﺍﺭ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻭ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻥ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﺑﺎ ﮔﺮﻭﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﺣﻘﻮﻕ ﺑﺸﺮﻯ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻭ ﻓﻌﺎﻝ ﺣﻘﻮﻕ ﺑﺸﺮ‪ ،‬ﺍﻫﻞ ﺩﻳﺎﺭ ﺑﻜﺮ ﻛﻪ‬
‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻭ ﺷﺨﺺ ﺑﺎﻳﺪﻥ ]ﻣﻌﺎﻭﻥ ﺭﺋﻴﺲ ﻣﻌﻀﻞ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ ﻭ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﻣﺸﻜﻞ ﺍﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺍﻭ ﭘﻴﺎﻡ ﻧﻬﺎﻳﻰ ﻛﺘﺎﺏ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺁﺭﺍﻯ ﻫﻤﻪ ﻛﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺣﺰﺏ »ﻋﺪﺍﻟﺖ‬ ‫ﺩﻳﺎﺭ ﺑﻜﺮ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﻭ ﺷﻜﻨﺠﻪ ﻣﺎﻣﻮﺭﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺭﺋﻴﺲ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﭼﺎﻟﺶ ﻛﺸﻴﺪﻩ‬
‫ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭ[ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﻳﻚ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﻛﻪ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺮﺩﺍﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ ﻛﺮﺩ‪» :‬ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺷﻤﺎ ﺍﺯ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ« ﺭﺍ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﺧﻮﺩ ﻧﻤﻰﺩﺍﻧﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺍﻧﺘﻘﺎﺩ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﺩ‪ .‬ﺑﺎﺭﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻭ ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﻣﻄﻠﻘﻪ ﺣﺰﺏ‬
‫ﺩﺍﺩ ﺗﺎ ﻣﺎﻟﻜﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻛﺮﺩﺳﺘﺎﻥ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭ ﻳﻚ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻏﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻴﺪ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺴﺖ‬ ‫ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺧﺴﺘﻪ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﻧﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺍﺣﻀﺎﺭ ﻭ ﺑﺎﺯﺟﻮﻳﻰ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﭘﻨﺞ ﺳﺎﻝ ﭘﻴﺶ‬ ‫»ﻋﺪﺍﻟﺖ ﻭ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ« ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺩﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ‬
‫ﺑﻮﺩ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻥ ﺗﺸﻜﻴﻞ ﻗﺪﺭﺗﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﻣﺘﻤﺮﻛﺰ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻳﺮ ﻧﻘﺎﻁ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ ﺩﺳﺘﺎﻭﺭﺩ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺟﻨﮕﺪ‪ :‬ﻋﻠﻮﻯﻫﺎ‪ ،‬ﺳﻜﻮﻻﺭﻫﺎ‪ ،‬ﺯﻧﺎﻥ‪،‬‬ ‫ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻣﻤﻨﻮﻋﻴﺖ ﺣﺰﺏ »ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ‬ ‫ﻳﺎ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺍﻭ ﺳﺮﻧﻮﺷﺖ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺭﻗﻢ‬
‫ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺻﺪﺭﻯ ]ﺷﺒﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻦ ﻣﻰﺑﻴﻨﻢ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺷﻴﺪ ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺁﻥ ﺭﺍ ]ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﻫﺮ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺟﻮﺍﻧﺎﻥ ﺗﺮﻙ‪ .‬ﺣﺰﺏ ﺍﻭ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺗﻴﻚ« )ﺩ ﺕ پ( ﻛﻪ ﺍﻭ ﻫﻢ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺯﻧﺪ‪ :‬ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻳﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ‬
‫ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺷﻴﻌﻪ ﻫﻮﺍﺩﺍﺭ ﻣﻘﺘﺪﺍ ﺻﺪﺭ[ ﺭﺍ ﺍﻭ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺎﺳﺦ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺮﺳﺶ ﻛﻴﻬﺎﻥ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ‬ ‫ﻟﻴﺴﺖ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻧﺶ ﻫﻤﺠﻨﺲﮔﺮﺍ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻋﻀﺎﻳﺶ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺩﺳﺘﮕﻴﺮ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻩ ﻣﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﺑﺪﻝ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺳﻰ ﺷﺎﻧﺴﻰ‬
‫ﻧﻴﺰ ﭘﺸﺖ ﺳﺮﺵ ﺑﺎﺷﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺐ ﭘﻴﺮﺍﻣﻮﻥ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﺟﻨﮓﻫﺎﻯ ﻓﺮﻗﻪﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﺳﺘﺎﻭﺭﺩﻯ[ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺩﻫﻴﺪ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﺍﻗﻠﻴﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺬﻫﺒﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻫﻢ‬ ‫ﺯﻧﺪﺍﻥ ﻣﺤﻜﻮﻡ ﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﺍﻭ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎﺕ‬
‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺍﺯ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻭ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺎﻩ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﻭﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺨﺸﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺨﻨﺮﺍﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺭﺩ؛ ﺣﻘﻮﻕ ﺯﻧﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢ ﺩﺭﺑﺎﺭﻩ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﺑﺎﺭﻩ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻳﺎﻓﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺷﺪﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎﻭﺭ ﻣﻦ ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ )ﺩﺍﻋﺶ( ﻭ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻉ »ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ« ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﻛﺮﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ ﮔﺮﺍﻳﺶ ﺟﻨﺴﻰ ﺟﺰﻭ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺍﻯ پ ﻙ ﻙ ﻣﺘﻬﻢ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﻳﻚ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ‬
‫ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﺣﺎﺻﻞ ﺁﻥ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﮔﻔﺖ‪» :‬ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﺩﺷﻤﻦ ﻣﺸﺘﺮ ِﻙ‬ ‫ﻭ ﮔﻔﺖ‪» :‬ﺷﺨﺼﻴﺖ ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻥﻫﺎ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳﺮﮔﺬﺷﺖ ﺍﻭﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺳﺮﮔﺬﺷﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﻟﻴﺒﺮﺍﻝ ﻭ ﻣﺘﻤﺎﻳﻞ ﺑﻪ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﻧﺴﺨﻪ‬
‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺍﺷﺘﺒﺎﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻭﺍﺑﺴﺘﮕﻰﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻦ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺁﻧﻬﺎﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ ﭼﻪ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺳﺨﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﻋﻜﺲ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺧﻮﺩﻛﺎﻣﻪ ﻛﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ‬
‫ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪﻩ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ‪ ،‬ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﺗﻔﻜﺮﺍﺕ ﻭ ﺷﺨﺼﻴﺖ ﻣﻦ ﻫﻢ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﺪ‪» :‬ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﭘﺸﺖ ﺳﺮ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺘﻪ‪.‬ﺍﺯ ﺍﻋﻤﺎﻕ‬ ‫ﺗﺸﻨﺞ ﻭ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻚ ﺭﺍ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﺳﻜﺎﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻓﺮﻗﻪﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ )ﺩﺍﻋﺶ( ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﻛﻨﺪ ﻭ ﻣﻦ ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺍﺳﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺳﻰ ﻣﻌﻨﺎﻳﻰ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﻭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺁﻧﺎﺗﻮﻟﻰ ﺗﺎ ﻗﻠﺐ ﻣﺪﺭﻥ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻴﻦ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺭﺑﻄﻰ ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﮔﻔﺖ‪» :‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻉ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﺟﺎﺯﻩ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ”ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﻏﺮﺏ“ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﻫﻢ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺳﻨﻰﻫﺎ ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻋﺘﻘﺎﺩﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻭ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮ ﺻﺤﻨﻪ ﺁﻥ ﻗﺪﺭ ﺭﻳﺰ ﻭ ﺗﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﻛﻤﺎﻝ ﻗﻠﻴﭻ ﺩﺍﺭﺍﻭﻏﻠﻮ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﻛﺴﺎﻟﺖﺑﺎﺭ‬
‫ﺣﺴﺎﺱ ﻭ ﭘﻴﭽﻴﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺳﻨﻰﻫﺎ ﺗﺎ ﻣﺤﺴﻮﺳﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﻣﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﻨﻔﺮ ﻣﻮﺟﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺷﻴﻌﻴﺎﻥ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻣﺬﻫﺒﻰ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻔﻊ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻴﻦ ﺣﺎﻝ ﻛﺎﺭﻳﺰﻣﺎﺗﻴﻚ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﺳﻜﻮﻻﺭ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯﺧﻮﺍﻩ »ﺱ‬
‫ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2003‬ﻫﻴﭻ ﺗﺤﺮﻛﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻤﻰﺧﻮﺍﻫﻢ ﺑﮕﻮﻳﻢ ﺭﺍﺑﻄﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺭژﻳﻢ‬ ‫ﺳﻨﻰﻫﺎ ﺍﺯ ﻛﺠﺎ ﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﭼﺮﺍ ﭘﺲ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺑﺰﺭگ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﺩﺍﻣﻨﻪ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺧﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺮ ﻣﻰﺭﺳﻴﺪ‪ ،‬ﺳﺮﮔﺬﺷﺖ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺍچ پ« ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ‪ .‬ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﻴﻦ ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﺍﻣﺎ‬
‫ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻪ ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺘﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺷﻤﺎ ‪] 1991‬ﺟﻨﮓ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﺻﺪﻫﺎ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺭﻭﺵ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ﻟﺤﻨﻰ ﻳﻚﻧﻮﺍﺣﺖ ﻭ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻭ ﺗﺮﻭﺭﻳﺴﺖ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﻗﺼﺪ‬
‫ﺍﻭﻝ ﺧﻴﻠﺞ ﻓﺎﺭﺱ[ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻳﺎﺩ ﺑﻴﺎﻭﺭﻳﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻠﻜﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺗﺎﻛﻴﺪ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2007‬ﻭ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺩﺭ ﭘﻴﺶ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﺎ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺩﻥ ﺍﺣﺴﺎﺳﺎﺕ ﺑﻪ ﺯﺑﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺁﻭﺭﺩ‪.‬‬
‫ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺷﻤﺎﻝ ﻭ ﺟﻨﻮﺏ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺭﻭﺷﻨﻰ ﺳﻮﺩ ﻣﻰﺑﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﻨﺎ ﺷﺪ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﻻﺋﻴﺴﻴﺘﻪ ﻭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮﻯ ﻫﻤﻪ ﺍﺩﻳﺎﻥ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﻧﻤﻰﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ‪ ،‬ﺭﻳﺸﻪﻫﺎﻳﺶ‬ ‫ﺿﺮﺑﻪ ﺯﺩﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪.‬‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻥ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺻﺪﺍﻡ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﺷﻴﻌﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻳﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‬ ‫ﺍﻋﺰﺍﻡ ﺷﻮﺩ ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻭ ﮔﻔﺖ‪» :‬ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺑﮕﻴﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﻫﻢ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻭ ﻗﻄﺐ‬
‫ﺟﻨﻮﺏ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺑﺎﺯ ﻫﻢ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻉ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﻣﺸﻜﻞ ﺍﺻﻠﻰ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ‪ ،‬ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‬ ‫ﺁﻥ ﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻣﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻳﻚ ﻣﺸﺎﻭﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﻳﺪﮔﺎﻩﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ‪«.‬‬ ‫ﻣﺴﺎﻟﻪ ﻛﺮﺩﺳﺘﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﻣﻮﺟﺐ‬ ‫ﺣﺮﻛﺖ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﺩﻫﻪ ﻫﺸﺘﺎﺩ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬
‫ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﺷﻤﺎ ﻭﻗﺘﻰ ﺑﺎ ﻛﺮﺩﻫﺎ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ )ﺩﺍﻋﺶ( ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﺑﻠﻜﻪ ﺑﺮﻫﻢ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﭘﺮﺳﺶ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻄﺮﺡ ﻛﺮﺩﻡ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻨﻬﺎ ﺣﺮﻓﻬﺎﻯ ﺟﺪﻳﺪﻯ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﭘﺮﺍﻛﻨﺪﮔﻰ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎ ﺑﺸﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺍﻭ‬ ‫ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺭﺍﻩ ﻳﺎﻓﺘﻦ ﻛﺮﺩﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﺻﺤﺒﺖ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻴﺪ ﻛﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﺧﻮﺭﺩﻥ ﺗﻮﺍﺯﻥ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺩﺭ ﻳﻚ ﺩﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎ ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ؟‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﻫﻤﻪ ﭼﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻭ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﻛﺴﻰ ﻗﻠﻤﺪﺍﺩ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻃﺮﻓﺪﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻧﻰ ﻭﺿﻊ ﺷﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ‬
‫ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﺳﻼﺡﻫﺎﻯ ﺷﻴﻤﻴﺎﻳﻰ ﺻﺪﺍﻡ ﻭ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺩﻩﺗﺮﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎ ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﺨﺶ ﺭﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﭼﭗ‪ ،‬ﻟﻴﺒﺮﺍﻝ ﻭ ﻣﺬﻫﺒﻰ‬ ‫ﺗﺮﻭﺭﻳﺴﺖﻫﺎﺳﺖ ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 1999‬ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺩﻩ ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺁﺭﺍ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺧﻮﺩ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‬
‫ﻛﺸﺘﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﺳﺘﻪﺟﻤﻌﻰ ﺍﻭ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ ﺑﺎﺯﻫﻢ ﻣﻌﻀﻞ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﻣﻄﺮﺡ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﺗﺎ ﻗﺒﻞ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﻘﺴﻴﻢ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻭﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﺮﻭﺳﻜﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺩﺭﺑﻨﺪ پ‬ ‫ﺗﺎ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻧﻨﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﻨﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﭘﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ‪ 2003‬ﺑﺮﺩﺍﺷﺘﻰ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﻭﺕ ﺍﺯ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻥ ﺗﻮﺍﻓﻖ‬ ‫ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺁﻭﺭﻧﺪ؟ ﭼﺮﺍ ﺧﺸﻮﻧﺖﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺖ ﺍﻋﺘﻤﺎﺩ ﺗﺮﻙﻫﺎﻯ ﭼﭗ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻙ ﻙ ﻋﺒﺪﺍﷲ ﺍﻭﺟﺎﻻﻥ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺷﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﻪﭘﺮﺳﻰﻫﺎ ﺷﺎﻧﺲ ﺍچ ﺩ‪ .‬پ ﺭﺍ ﭼﻴﺰﻯ‬
‫ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﻫﺴﺘﻪﺍﻯ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺗﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﺪ ﺑﺎﻻ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ؟ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺍﺯ ﺧﺸﻮﻧﺖ‬ ‫ﺩﺳﺖ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ ﻭ ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻭﺍﺭ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﻌﺪﺍﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﺯﺑﺎﻥ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‪ :‬ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺗﺮﻙﻫﺎ ﻏﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﻦ ﻧﻪ ﺗﺎ ﻳﺎﺯﺩﻩ ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻰ‬
‫ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻘﻮﻁ ﺻﺪﺍﻡ ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻧﻪ ﺩﺳﺘﻴﺎﺑﻰ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺳﻼﺡ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚ ﻫﺪﻑ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﺳﻨﺘﻰﻫﺎﻯ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺣﺮﻑﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻭ‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﻗﺒﻮﻝ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺭﺍﻩ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﻳﻚ ﺑﺎﺭ ﻫﻢ ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﻣﺴﺎﻟﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻓﺮﻗﻪﺍﻯ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺗﻤﻰ ﺑﻠﻜﻪ ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﻣﻰﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺭﺍﻫﺶ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻭﺣﺸﺖ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺍﻓﺘﺎﺩ‪ ،‬ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻳﺎﻓﺘﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺭﺃﻯ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺗﺮﻙﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺗﺎﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﺭﺟﺐ ﻃﻴﺐ‬
‫]ﻣﺤﻠﻰ[ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺑﻪ ﻫﺴﺘﻪﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻔﻬﻤﻴﻢ ﻭ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺮﻭﻩ ﺩﻭﻡ ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﻭﺍﺭﺩ ﻣﻴﺪﺍﻥ ﺷﺪ ﻭ ‪ 9٫8‬ﺩﺭ ﺻﺪ‬
‫ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﻛﺸﺎﻧﺪﻩ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ«‪ .‬ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺷﺪﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ »ﻋﺪﺍﻟﺖ ﻭ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ« ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﻧﻘﺶ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺧﺸﻮﻧﺖﻫﺎ ﺑﺎ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﻩ ﻛﻨﻴﻢ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﮔﺰﻳﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﻟﺤﺎﻅ ﻣﺬﻫﺒﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻭ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ ﻓﻘﻂ‬ ‫ﺁﺭﺍ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺧﻮﺩ ﻛﺮﺩ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﮔﻔﺖ‪» :‬ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻓﺮﻗﻪﺍﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻥ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﺑﻠﻜﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺳﭙﺲ ﺑﺎ ﺗﺎﻛﻴﺪ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ »ﺍﮔﺮ‬ ‫ﺭﺃﻯ ﻛﺮﺩﻫﺎ ﻛﺎﻓﻰ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﺯﻯ ﺧﻴﻠﻰ‬
‫ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺿﻌﻒ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻴﺖ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻳﻚ ﺟﻨﮓ‬ ‫ﻣﺎ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺑﻮﺩﻳﻢ‪ ،‬ﻋﺮﺍﻕ‬ ‫ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚﺗﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺑﻌﻀﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺮﻙﻫﺎ ﺩﺭﺳﺖ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﭼﻴﺰﻫﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺑﺪﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﺍچ ﺩ پ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻥ ﻧﻔﻮﺫ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺭﺍ ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﺮﺏ‬ ‫ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﻭﺗﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺗﺠﺮﺑﻪ ﻣﻰﻛﺮﺩ« ﺍﻓﺰﻭﺩ‪:‬‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﺑﻌﻀﻰ ﺍﺯ ﭼﭗﻫﺎ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ ﺍﻭ‬ ‫ﻟﺤﻈﻪﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺭﺃﻳﺸﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻨﺪﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺭﻭﻳﺎﻯ ﺍﻭ ﺭﺍ ﻣﺨﺪﻭﺵ ﻛﻨﺪ‬
‫ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ]ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ[ ﻭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻣﻦ‬ ‫»ﺩﺭ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﻫﻢ ﻧﻤﻰﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﺮﺩﻳﺪ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻰﺗﺮﺳﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﺎﻧﺪﺍﺯﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢﺷﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺍﺟﺎﺯﻩ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻥ ﺍﺳﺎﺳﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻭ‬
‫ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﻫﻢﭼﻨﺎﻥ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮ ﺟﻨﮓﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﻬﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺭﺍﻩ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻠﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻉ ﻧﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺳﺘﻰ ﻣﺘﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﭼﻪ ﺍﺗﻔﺎﻗﻰ‬ ‫ﺍچ ﺩ پ ﺑﺎ ﺣﺰﺏ »ﻋﺪﺍﻟﺖ ﻭ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ«‬ ‫ﺍﻭ ﻋﻮﺽ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻨﺎ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺎﻩﻫﺎﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﻧﺪﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮﻯ ﻛﻪ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺭﺋﻴﺲ‬
‫]ﻓﺮﻗﻪﺍﻯ[ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﺗﺎ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺘﻴﺎﺑﻰ ﺗﻮﺍﻓﻖ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﺮ ﺳﺮ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺭﺥ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﻣﻮﻛﺮﺍﺕﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻣﺼﺎﻟﺤﻪ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﺍﺩﻥ ﺧﻮﺩﻣﺨﺘﺎﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺗﻼﺵ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺟﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﺩ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺭﺋﻴﺲ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ‬
‫ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻛﺎﺗﺎﻟﻴﺰﻭﺭﻯ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺗﻀﻤﻴﻦ ﺍﺗﻤﻰﺍﺵ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‬ ‫ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺧﺎﻃﺮ ﺣﻤﻠﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺮﺩﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﺑﺎﺯ‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻮﻳﺮ ﻳﻚ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﻤﺪﺍﺭ ﻛﺮﺩ‪ ،‬ﭼﻬﺮﻩﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺎ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺑﺮﺩﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻥ‬
‫ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ«‪ .‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺴﺖ ﺗﻼﺷﻰ ﺟﺪﻯ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺑﺮﻗﺮﺍﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺳﺮﺯﻧﺶ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺘﻦ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺎﺳﻰ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬
‫ﺍﻭ ﺑﺎ ﺗﺎﻛﻴﺪ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻓﻬﻢ ﻧﻘﺶ ﺗﻮﺍﺯﻥ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﺷﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﻭ ﻫﻢﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺎﻥ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻥ ﺍﺳﺎﺳﻰ‪ .‬ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻻﻳﻞ ﺗﺮﺩﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﺿﺪ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺶ ﺑﮕﺬﺍﺭﺩ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺴﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﺗﺎ ﻫﻤﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺗﻮﺯﻳﻊ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﻧﻘﺶ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻮﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺧﺎﻃﺮ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ‬ ‫ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻣﻴﺘﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺍﻭ ﻳﻚ ﺑﺎﺭ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﺄ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻳﺪﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﻩﻫﺎ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺑﺮ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺷﺮﻭﻉ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻭ ﺑﺎﺷﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺍﺧﺘﻼﻓﺎﺕ ﻓﺮﻗﻪﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺳﺮﺯﻧﺶ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻣﻦ ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺍﻫﻢ‬ ‫ﺍﻋﺘﺮﺍﺿﺎﺕ ﭘﺎﺭﻙ ﮔﻴﺰﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪2013‬‬ ‫ﺍﻭﺟﺎﻻﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺯﻧﺪﺍﻥ ﺟﺰﻳﺮﻩ ﺍﻳﻤﺎﺭﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﮔﺮ ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﻭ ﻣﺘﺤﺪﺍﻥﺍﺵ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺮﺯ‬
‫ﺣﺘﻰ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺣﺪﺍﻗﻞ ﻣﻤﻜﻦ ﺑﺮﺳﺪ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﮕﻮﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﻴﺪ! ﻫﺮ‬ ‫ﺍﻇﻬﺎﺭ ﻧﻈﺮﻯ ﻧﻜﺮﺩ ﺗﺎ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﺻﻠﺢ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺭﻓﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﻧﻄﻖﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺗﻮﻳﺘﺮﺵ ﻫﻢ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺩﻩ ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ ﺭﺍ ﭘﺸﺖ ﺳﺮ ﺑﮕﺬﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎ‬
‫ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻤﻰ ﺗﺒﻌﺎﺕ ﺧﻮﺩﺵ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻧﻜﺘﻪ ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ‪» :‬ﺑﻠﻪ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎ ﺍﻭ ﺣﺮﻑ ﺯﺩﻡ‪.‬‬ ‫ﭘﻨﺠﺎﻩ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﻣﻰﺭﻭﻧﺪ ﻭ‬
‫ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻤﺎﺕ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﻭﺕ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺗﺒﻌﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻛﺮﺩﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺧﻄﺮ ﻧﻴﻔﺘﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﻣﮕﺮ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﻫﻢ ﻧﻤﻰﺧﻮﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ »ﻋﺪﺍﻟﺖ ﻭ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ« ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺎﻝ‬
‫ﻣﺘﻔﺎﻭﺗﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻫﻤﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﺮﺍﻩ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﻭﺯﻫﺎ ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ‬ ‫ﺭﻭﻧﺪ ﺻﻠﺢ ﺑﻪ ﺟﺎﻳﻰ ﺑﺮﺳﺪ؟ ﺍچ ﺩ پ‬ ‫‪ 2002‬ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﺍﻛﺜﺮﻳﺖ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﻧﻄﻖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﺁﻥ ﻭﻗﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻭﺍﺳﻄﻪ ﻋﻤﻞ ﻛﺮﺩ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﺰﺏ‬
‫ﺑﺎﺷﺪ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪» :‬ﻣﺎ ﺁﻥ ﻛﺴﻰ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﻴﻢ ﺑﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﻭ ﻛﺎﺭﺵ ﺧﻴﻠﻰ ﻫﻢ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺗﻤﺠﻴﺪ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭـ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻌﻨﺎﻯ‬
‫ﺍﺳﻜﺎﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻥ ﺍﺳﺎﺳﻰ‬ ‫ﮔﺮﻓﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﻤﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺎ ﺑﻮﻕ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻭﺭﻕ ﺑﺮﮔﺸﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻣﻠﻞ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻜﺘﻪ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻫﻤﻴﺸﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ‬
‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﻛﻤﻚ ﻛﻨﻴﻢ‪«.‬‬ ‫ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎﺗﻰ ﺍﻭﺟﺎﻻﻥ ﺑﺎﺷﻴﻢ‪«.‬‬ ‫ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﻬﺘﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺑﺎﺭ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ‬
‫ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺭﺍ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﺩﻫﺪ ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﺪ‪» :‬ﺍﮔﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺭﺍﺳﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻴﻦ ﺣﺎﻝ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﺪ‪:‬‬ ‫ﺁﻭﺭﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﺭ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺑﻨﺎ ﺑﺮ ﻫﻤﻪﭘﺮﺳﻰﻫﺎ‬
‫ﺑﻪ ﻛﻤﺒﻮﺩ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﻯ ﺍچ ﺩ پ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺁﻧﻜﺎﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺳﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫»ﺍﺯ ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺗﺎ ﺣﺎﻝ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻣﺎ‬ ‫ﺁﻣﺎﺭﻯ ﺣﺪﻭﺩ ‪ 40‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻛﻪ‬
‫‪ 2003‬ﺗﺎ ‪ 2007‬ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻭ ﮔﻔﺖ‪:‬‬ ‫ﺟﻠﻮﻯ ﺭﺷﺪ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮﺍﺕ ﺯﻳﺎﺩﻯ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ« ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺷﻜﻞ‬
‫»ﺳﻪ ﺳﻨﺎﺭﻳﻮ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪ ،‬ﺍﻭﻝ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺍﮔﺮ ﻣﻮﻓﻖ ﻧﺸﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ‬ ‫ﻟﺤﻦ ﺗﺤﺴﻴﻦﺁﻣﻴﺰﺵ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‬
‫ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻚ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺭﺋﻴﺲ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﭘﺮﻗﺪﺭﺗﻰ‬ ‫»ﺍﻣﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﻫﻢ ﺧﻮﺩﻛﺎﻣﻪﺗﺮ‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺗﻮﺟﻬﻰ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﻳﺎﻓﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﺩﺭﺳﺖ ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ ﺁﻧﭽﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺭﻭﻧﺪ ﺻﻠﺢ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ‪ «.‬ﺍﺯ ﻳﻚ ﺳﻮ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻛﺲ ﻣﺜﻞ‬ ‫ﺣﻀﺎﺭ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻟﻦ ﺩﺳﺖ ﻣﻰﺯﻧﻨﺪ ﻭ‬
‫ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻣﻠﻞ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪ ،‬ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻳﻰ‬ ‫ﻫﻢ ﺗﻬﺪﻳﺪ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺍﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻔﻊ ﻛﺮﺩﻫﺎ ﻋﻤﻞ ﻧﻜﺮﺩﻩ ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﻌﻀﻰ ﻓﺮﻳﺎﺩ ﻣﻰﻛﺸﻨﺪ‪» :‬ﻧﺨﺴﺖ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ‬
‫ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺑﻌﻀﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺗﺎﻛﻴﺪ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺣﺎﻻ ﺭﺋﻴﺲ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺑﺰﺭگﺗﺮﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ«‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻨﺠﺎ ﺍﻛﺜﺮﻳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺍچ ﺩ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﺮﺍﻗﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻫﺮﭼﻪ ﺳﺮﻳﻊﺗﺮ‬ ‫ﺩﺷﻤﻦ ﺍﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺣﺴﺎﺏ ﻣﻰﺁﻳﺪ‪.‬ﺍﺯ ﺳﺎﻝ‬ ‫پ ﺭﺍﻯ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺩﺍﺩ‪ .‬ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﺗﺎﻛﻴﺪ‬
‫ﺩﺍﺩ‪«.‬‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪» :‬ﺩﻭﺳﺘﺎﻥ‪ ،‬ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﻣﻌﻠﻮﻡ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‬

‫*ﺗﺮﺟﻤﻪ ﺍﺯ ﮔﻠﻨﺎﺯ ﻏﺒﺮﺍﻳﻰ‬ ‫ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﭼﻪ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ‪«.‬‬
‫*ﻣﻨﺒﻊ‪ :‬ﺍﺷﭙﻴﮕﻞ؛ ‪30٫05٫2015‬‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻴﺮﺗﺎﺵ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ‬