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‫ﺟﻤﻌﻪ ‪ 27‬ﻓﺮﻭﺭﺩﻳﻦﻣﺎﻩ ﺗﺎ ﭘﻨﺠﺸﻨﺒﻪ‪ 2‬ﺍﺭﺩﻳﺒﻬﺸﺖﻣﺎﻩ ‪1395‬ﺧﻮﺭﺷﻴﺪﻯ‬

‫ﺭﺍﻯﻣﺠﻠﺲﺑﻪﺣﺬﻑﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪﻧﻘﺪﻯﺳﻪﺩﻫﻚﺑﺎﻻﻯﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﺳﻘﻮﻁ ﺩﻭ ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ ﻗﻴﻤﺖ ﻧﻔﺖ ﭼﻬﺎﺭ ﺭﻭﺯ ﻣﺎﻧﺪﻩ ﺑﻪ‬

‫ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻭﺍﺭﻯ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻃﺮﺡ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﺸﺴﺖ ﺩﻭﺣﻪ‬ ‫ﭼﻬﺎﺭ ﺭﻭﺯ ﻣﺎﻧﺪﻩ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺸﺴﺖ ﺍﻋﻀﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻥ ﻫﺪﻓﻤﻨﺪﺳﺎﺯﻯ‬ ‫ﻭﺯﺍﺭﺕ ﺗﻌﺎﻭﻥ‪ ،‬ﻛﺎﺭ ﻭ ﺭﻓﺎﻩ ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ ﺭﻗﻢ‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺟﻠﺴﻪ‬
‫ﺑﺮﺳﺪ‪-.‬ﺭﻳﺎﺽ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺍﮔﺮ‬ ‫ﺍﻭﭘﻚ ﻭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪﻛﻨﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﻋﻤﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪﻫﺎ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ ﻣﻮﺍﺩ ﺳﻮﺧﺘﻰ‪،‬‬ ‫‪ 24‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻧﻔﺮﻯ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻨﻰ ﺭﻭﺯ ﺳﻪﺷﻨﺒﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻟﻰ ﭘﻴﺸﻨﻬﺎﺩ‬
‫ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‪،‬ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ‪ ،‬ﻭﻧﺰﻭﺋﻼ ﻭ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﺭﻭﺯ ﺳﻪﺷﻨﺒﻪ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﺍﻧﺘﺸﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻧﻔﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻭﺣﻪ ﻗﻄﺮ ﻛﻪ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺑﺮ‬ ‫ﺁﺏ ﻭ ﺑﺮﻕ ﻭ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻛﺎﻻﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺪﺭﻳﺞ‬ ‫ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻣﺴﺘﺤﻖ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻛﻤﻴﺴﻴﻮﻥ ﺗﻠﻔﻴﻖ ﻣﺒﻨﻰ ﺑﺮ ﺣﺬﻑ ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ‬
‫ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪﻛﻨﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﻣﻬﻢ ﻧﻔﺖ‪ ،‬ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﺧﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺧﺼﻮﺹ ﺗﻮﺍﻓﻖﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺳﺮ ﺛﺎﺑﺖ ﻧﮕﺎﻩ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻦ ﺳﻄﺢ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﺣﺬﻑ ﺷﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺑﺨﺸﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪ ﺁﻥ‬ ‫ﺳﻪ ﺩﻫﻚ ﺑﺎﻻﻯ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﻭ ﺷﺶ ﮔﺮﻭﻩ‬
‫ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻄﺢ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﻧﮕﺎﻩ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺑﻴﻦ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﭼﺎﻧﻪﺯﻧﻰ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻗﻴﻤﺖ ﻧﻔﺖ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﻧﻘﺪﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺴﺘﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭﺳﺖ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪﻯ ﺑﺎﻻ ﺭﺍ ﺗﺼﻮﻳﺐ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‬
‫ﻭ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺛﺎﺑﺖ ﻧﮕﻪ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻦ‬ ‫ﺭﻭﺯ ﺳﻪﺷﻨﺒﻪ ﺣﺪﻭﺩ ﺩﻭ ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ‬ ‫ﻧﻮﺑﺨﺖ ﮔﻔﺖ‪» :‬ﺑﺎ ﺣﺬﻑ ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ ﺳﻪ‬
‫ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﭘﻴﻮﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺳﻄﺢ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﺁﻧﻜﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻉ‬ ‫ﺑﺨﺸﻰ ﻫﻢ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﮔﺬﺍﺭﻯ ﺷﻮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺩﻫﻚ ﺑﺎﻻﻯ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﻣﺼﻮﺑﻪ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻒ ﺁﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻠﮕﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻡ‬ ‫ﻣﺸﺮﻭﻁ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺸﺎﺭﻛﺖ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﺑﻬﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﻛﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻃﻮﻝ ﺍﺟﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻥ‬ ‫ﻫﻔﺖ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻭ ‪ 56‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻭ ‪ 52‬ﻧﻔﺮ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﻗﺼﺪ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻡ ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﺭﻳﺎﺽ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻌﻨﺎﻯ ﺑﻪ ﭼﺎﻟﺶ ﻛﺸﻴﺪﻥ‬ ‫ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺩﺭ ﻧﺸﺴﺖ ﺩﻭﺣﻪ ﻗﻄﺮ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻧﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪﺯﺍﻳﻰ ﻣﻨﺎﺳﺐ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﻳﺎﻓﺖ ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ ﻧﻘﺪﻯ ﻣﺤﺮﻭﻡ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻉ ‪ 24‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻧﻔﺮ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻌﺪﺍﺩ‬
‫ﻧﻔﺖ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﻛﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫‪ 17‬ﺁﻭﺭﻳﻞ‪ ،‬ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﻀﻮ ﺍﻭﭘﻚ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﮔﺬﺍﺭﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﻧﺸﺪ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪﺑﮕﻴﺮﻫﺎ ﺣﺬﻑ ﻛﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ‬
‫ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﺍﻳﻨﺘﺮﻓﺎﻛﺲ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ‪24‬‬ ‫ﭼﻨﺪ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻋﻤﺪﻩ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪﻛﻨﻨﺪﻩ ﻏﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﺗﺎﻣﻴﻦ ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺷﺪ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﻫﺮﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺍﺑﺘﺪﺍﻯ ﺗﻴﺮ‬
‫ﺍﺧﺘﻼﻓﺎﺕ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪﻛﻨﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﻋﻤﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﻓﺮﻭﺭﺩﻳﻦ ﻣﺎﻩ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﺩﺍﺩ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻭﭘﻚ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺛﺎﺑﺖ ﻧﮕﺎﻩ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻦ‬ ‫ﻧﻘﺪﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺸﻜﻼﺕ ﻣﻬﻢ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺳﺨﻨﮕﻮﻯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﻓﺰﻭﺩ‪» :‬ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻩ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺟﺎﺭﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺮﻭﻩﻫﺎ »ﺗﺼﺮﻑ‬
‫ﻧﻔﺖ ﺑﺮ ﺳﺮ ﻃﺮﺡ »ﻓﺮﻳﺰ ﻧﻔﺘﻰ« ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺭﻳﺎﺽ ﻭ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﻧﺸﺴﺖ ﺩﻭﺣﻪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺳﻄﺢ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﺑﺎ ﻫﺪﻑ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺑﻬﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺷﺪ‪.‬ﺑﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﻛﺎﺭﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻣﺼﻤﻢ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻓﺮﺍﺩﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭﻳﺎﻓﺖ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺍﻣﻮﺍﻝ ﻋﻤﻮﻣﻰ ﻭ ﺟﺮﻡ« ﺗﻠﻘﻰ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ‬
‫ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﮔﺬﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﺑﻴﻦﺍﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﺳﺮ ﺛﺎﺑﺖ ﻧﮕﻪ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻦ ﻣﻘﺪﺍﺭ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﻧﻔﺖ ﺧﺎﻡ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺎﺯﺍﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﻩ‬ ‫ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻮﺍﻧﻊ ﻣﻬﻢ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺴﻴﺮ ﺍﺟﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ ﻧﻘﺪﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺯﻧﺪﮔﻰ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻣﻮﺛﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ‬
‫ﮔﻮﺵ ﺑﻪ ﺯﻧﮓ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﻧﺸﺴﺖ ﻳﻚﺷﻨﺒﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﻔﺖ ﺧﺎﻡ ﺗﻮﺍﻓﻘﻰ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻥ‪ ،‬ﻧﺤﻮﻩ ﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﻳﻰ ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﻛﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢ‬ ‫ﺷﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻣﻨﺒﻊ ﺧﺒﺮﻯ‬ ‫ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻗﺸﺎﺭ ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻧﻰﻫﺎﻳﻰ‬ ‫ﺗﺎﻣﻴﻦ ﺑﻮﺩﺟﻪ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﻧﻴﺎﺯ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ‬
‫ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻭﺣﻪ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﺭﻭﻳﺘﺮﺯ ﻧﻔﺖ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪ ﺍﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺸﺎﻏﻞ ﺁﺯﺍﺩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ ﻧﻘﺪﻯ ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﭼﺎﻟﺶﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻬﻢ‬
‫ﺍﺩﺍﺭﻩ ﺍﻃﻼﻋﺎﺕ ﺍﻧﺮژﻯ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺭﻭﺯ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺍﻓﺸﺎ ﻧﻜﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻡ ﺑﺮﻧﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺯ ﭼﻬﺎﺭﺷﻨﺒﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻗﻴﻤﺖ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻥ ﺑﻮﺩﺟﻪ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 94‬ﻣﺠﻠﺲ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻭ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻟﻬﺎﻯ ﺍﺧﻴﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﺳﻪﺷﻨﺒﻪ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺍﺟﺮﺍﻯ ﺗﻮﺍﻓﻖ‬ ‫‪ 43.90‬ﺩﻻﺭ ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﺑﺸﻜﻪ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻠﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﻌﻴﻴﻦ ﻣﺼﺪﺍﻕ ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﭘﺮﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﺍﻭ ﺗﺎﻛﻨﻮﻥ ﺳﻪ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻧﻔﺮ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﻣﺼﻮﺑﻪ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ‪ ،‬ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ ﻛﻠﻴﻪ‬
‫ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﺗﻘﺎﺿﺎﻯ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﻧﻔﺖ ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﻫﺴﺘﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﺎ ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩﻳﺖ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ‬ ‫ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﻗﻢ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ‪ 1.7‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻬﺪﻩ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪﺑﮕﻴﺮﺍﻥ ﺣﺬﻑ ﺷﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﻭ ﺑﻘﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﺠﺎﺭ ﻭ ﺻﺎﺣﺒﺎﻥ ﻣﺸﺎﻏﻞ ﺁﺯﺍﺩ ﺑﺎ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪ‬
‫ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻭ ‪ 160‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﺑﺸﻜﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺯ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﻣﺼﻤﻢ ﺍﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺭﻭﺯ ﺳﻪﺷﻨﺒﻪ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﺣﺪﻭﺩ ﺩﻭ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻧﻔﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻌﺪﺍﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻉ ﺗﺠﺎﺭ ﻭ ﺻﺎﺣﺒﺎﻥ ﻣﺸﺎﻏﻞ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﻻﻧﻪ ﺣﺪﺍﻗﻞ ‪ 35‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻥ‪،‬‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺟﺎﺭﻯ ﺭﺷﺪ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺳﻬﻤﻴﻪ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺎﺯﺍﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ‪ ،‬ﻧﻔﺖ ﺷﻞ‬ ‫ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺣﺪﻭﺩ ‪ 38‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻭ ‪562‬‬ ‫ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ‪ ،‬ﻗﻀﺎﺕ‪ ،‬ﺍﻋﻀﺎﻯ‬
‫ﺗﺨﻤﻴﻦ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻰ ﻗﺒﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻧﻔﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻃﺮﺡ »ﻓﺮﻳﺰ‬ ‫ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﺎ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ‪ 1.97‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ‬ ‫ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪﺑﮕﻴﺮﻫﺎ ﺣﺬﻑ ﺷﺪﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻧﻔﺮ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻭ ﭘﺰﺷﻜﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻫﻴﺎﺕ ﻋﻠﻤﻰ ﺩﺍﻧﺸﮕﺎﻩﻫﺎ ﻭ ﻣﻮﺳﺴﺎﺕ‬
‫ﺭﺷﺪﻯ ﻣﻌﺎﺩﻝ ‪ 10‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﺑﺸﻜﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺯ‬ ‫ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺭﻭﺯ ﺳﻪﺷﻨﺒﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺒﻠﻎ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻛﺎﺭﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﻥ ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺣﺪﻭﺩ ‪ 15‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻭ ‪ 822‬ﻧﻔﺮ‬ ‫ﺁﻣﻮﺯﺷﻰ ﻭ ﭘﮋﻭﻫﺸﻰ ﻭ ﺩﻭﻟﺘﻰ ﻭ ﻏﻴﺮ‬
‫ﻧﻔﺘﻰ« ﻣﺸﺎﺭﻛﺖ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫‪ 41.34‬ﺩﻻﺭ ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﺑﺸﻜﻪ ﻓﺮﻭﺵ ﺭﻓﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺣﺬﻑ ﻳﻚﺑﺎﺭﻩ ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ ﺍﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺘﻰ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎﺯﻧﺸﺴﺘﮕﺎﻥ ﺑﺨﺶ ﺩﻭﻟﺘﻰ ﻭ‬
‫ﺑﺮﺍ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﻴﮋﻥ ﺯﻧﮕﻨﻪ ﺳﻪ ﺭﻭﺯ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺨﻨﺎﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﻗﻴﻤﺖ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺧﺎﻡ ﺭﻭﺯ ﺳﻪﺷﻨﺒﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺵ ﻧﺎﺭﺿﺎﻳﺘﻰ ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ ﻣﻨﺠﺮ‬ ‫ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻏﻴﺮﺩﻭﻟﺘﻰ ﻭ ﻫﻤﻪ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻴﺎﻥ ﻣﻘﻴﻢ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ‬
‫ﺍﺯ ﻃﺮﺡ »ﻓﺮﻳﺰ ﻧﻔﺘﻰ« ﺍﺳﺘﻘﺒﺎﻝ ﻭ ﺍﺑﺮﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺑﺎﺯﺍﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﻳﺎﻓﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ ﻧﻘﺪﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪1389‬‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻭ ﻛﻠﻴﻪ ﺍﺷﺨﺎﺻﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻪ‬
‫ﺑﻮﺩ ﺍﻣﺎ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻧﺘﺸﺎﺭ ﺍﻇﻬﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺷﻮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻭ ﺑﺎ ﻫﺪﻑ ﺍﺻﻼﺡ ﺍﻟﮕﻮﻯ ﻣﺼﺮﻑ ﺍﺟﺮﺍ‬ ‫ﺩﻫﻚ ﺑﺎﻻﻯ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪ‪،‬‬
‫ﺍﻟﻨﻌﻴﻤﻰ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﻧﻔﺖ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺯﻧﺎﻣﻪ ﺍﻟﺤﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ‪ ،‬ﻣﺠﺪﺩ‬ ‫ﻗﻄﻊ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻟﻰ‬
‫ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﻛﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ‪ 125‬ﺭﺍﻯ ﻣﻮﺍﻓﻖ‪ 67 ،‬ﺭﺍﻯ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻒ ﻭ‬
‫ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﻧﻔﺖ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫‪ 4‬ﺭﺍﻯ ﻣﻤﺘﻨﻊ ﻣﻬﺮ ﺗﺎﺋﻴﺪ ﺑﺮ ﭘﻴﺸﻨﻬﺎﺩ‬
‫ﭘﺎﺳﺦ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﻫﺮﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ‬ ‫ﻛﻤﻴﺴﻴﻮﻥ ﺗﻠﻔﻴﻖ ﺩﺭ ﺧﺼﻮﺹ ﻧﺤﻮﻩ‬
‫ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﮔﻔﺖ‪» :‬ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﺗﻌﺪﺍﺩ ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪﺑﮕﻴﺮﻫﺎ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺘﻨﺪ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﺳﺨﻨﮕﻮﻯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺖ ﺑﺎ ﺁﻥ‬
‫ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻉ ﺭﺍ ﻓﺮﺍﻣﻮﺵ ﻛﻨﻴﺪ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﺳﺨﻦ ﮔﻔﺖ ﻭ ﺗﺎﻛﻴﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺼﻮﺑﻪ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺣﺎﻝ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺍﺳﺖ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﻴﮋﻥ ﺯﻧﮕﻨﻪ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻧﻴﺰ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﻧﺸﺴﺖ ﺭﻭﺯ ﻳﻚﺷﻨﺒﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻭﺣﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﻘﺪﻯ ﺑﺮﺁﻭﺭﺩﻩ ﻧﻤﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺷﺮﻛﺖ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻭ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﻩﺍﻯ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﭘﺎﻳﮕﺎﻩ ﺍﻃﻼﻉﺭﺳﺎﻧﻰ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‪،‬‬
‫ﻣﺤﻤﺪ ﺑﺎﻗﺮ ﻧﻮﺑﺨﺖ ﮔﻔﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ‬
‫ﺟﺎﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺑﻪ ﻗﻄﺮ ﻣﻰﻓﺮﺳﺘﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﻣﺼﻮﺑﻪ »ﻗﺎﺑﻠﻴﺖ ﺍﺟﺮﺍﻳﻰ« ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ‪.‬‬
‫ﺑﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﺍﻭ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺮﺁﻭﺭﺩﻫﺎﻯ‬

‫ﺯﻳﺮﺯﻣﻴﻨﻰ ﻣﻨﺘﻘﻞ ﺷﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻧﻘﺶ ﺍﺳﻼﻡ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻭ ﺳﭙﺎﻩ ﺩﺭ ﻓﺴﺎﺩ ﻭ ﺳﻴﺎﻩﺗﺮ ﺷﺪﻥ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻣﻬﺪﻯ ﺩﻫﻘﺎﻥ – ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﻳﺎ‬
‫ﻋﺮﺏ ﻣﺎﺯﺍﺭ ﻛﺎﺭﺷﻨﺎﺱ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺯﻳﺮﺯﻣﻴﻨﻰ‪ ،‬ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬
‫ﺻﻔﺤﻪ ‪ 150‬ﻛﺘﺎﺏ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﺧﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻴﻦ ‪5‬‬ ‫ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ ،94‬ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺑﺎ ﻧﻔﺖ ‪ 40‬ﺩﻻﺭﻯ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﻣﻮﺍﺯﻯ‪ ،‬ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﺎﻳﻪ ﻭ ﭘﻨﻬﺎﻥ‪ ،‬ﺭﻭﺯﮔﺎﺭ‬
‫ﻭ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﺣﺴﻴﻦ ﺭﺍﻏﻔﺮ ﻋﻀﻮ ﻫﻴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺗﺎ ‪ 25‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺩﺭ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﺣﻘﻮﻕ ﻛﺎﺭﻣﻨﺪﺍﻥ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ‬
‫ﻋﻠﻤﻰﺩﺍﻧﺸﮕﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺰﻫﺮﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺨﻨﺮﺍﻧﻰﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺯﻧﺸﺴﺘﮕﺎﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﻗﻴﻤﺖ ﻧﻔﺖ‪ ،‬ﺭﺍﻧﺖﺧﻮﺍﺭﻯ ﺳﭙﺎﻩ‬
‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﻳﮋﮔﻰ ﺍﺳﻼﻡ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻌﻀﻞ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﺍﺳﺘﺎﻥﻫﺎ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺳﺮﻛﻮﺏ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺭﺋﻴﺲ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭ ﺍﺩﻋﺎﻯ ﺍﺩﺍﺭﻩ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻭ ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩﻳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﻰﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﺍﺳﻼﻡ ﺳﺒﺐ‬
‫ﻣﻨﺘﻘﺪﺍﻥ ﻭ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﻧﻔﺖ ‪ 25‬ﺩﻻﺭﻯ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻋﻠﺖ ﻭ‬
‫ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻘﻖ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺩﻋﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺴﺐ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﻩﺗﺮ ﺷﺪﻥ ﺁﻥ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﺣﺴﻴﻦ ﺭﺍﻏﻔﺮ ﻋﻀﻮ ﻫﻴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﻣﻨﺒﻊ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻏﻴﺮﻗﺎﻧﻮﻧﻰ ﻭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺯﻳﺮﺯﻣﻴﻨﻰ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺳﭙﺎﻩ ﭘﺎﺳﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ ‪95‬ﻗﺎﭼﺎﻕ ﻭ ﻓﺮﻭﺵ‬
‫ﻋﻠﻤﻰﺩﺍﻧﺸﮕﺎﻩ ﺍﻟﺰﻫﺮﺍ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪:‬‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻡﻓﺮﻭﺷﻰ ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﻃﺒﻴﻌﻰ‪ ،‬ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﻛﻴﻔﻴﺖ ﺯﻧﺪﮔﻰ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﺟﺴﺘﺠﻮ‬ ‫ﻣﻮﺍﺩ ﻣﺨﺪﺭ‪ ،‬ﺍﺳﺘﺜﻤﺎﺭ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻯ ﻛﺎﺭ‪،‬‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ ﻣﻨﺤﻨﻰ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺳﻨﮓﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻌﺪﻧﻰ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺗﺎ ﮔﺎﺯ ﻭ ﻧﻔﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﺼﺮﻑ ‪ 200‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻟﻴﺘﺮﻯ ﻣﺸﺮﻭﺑﺎﺕ‬
‫ﻛﻤﺘﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺯﻳﺮﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺖ ﺑﻨﺎﺑﺮﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﺎ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﻗﻴﻤﺖ ﻧﻔﺖ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻛﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻰ‪ ،‬ﺗﺠﺎﺭﺕ ﺍﻋﻀﺎﻯ ﺑﺪﻥ ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻥ‪،‬‬
‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎ ﺍﻗﺘﺪﺍﺭﺷﺎﻥ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻣﺪﻳﺮﻳﺖ‬ ‫ﻓﺮﺁﻭﺭﺩﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻔﺘﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﭘﺮﺳﺶ ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ‬ ‫»ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﻧﻔﺖ ‪25‬‬ ‫ﻗﺎﭼﺎﻕ ﺳﻼﺡ ﮔﺮﻡ‪ ،‬ﺗﺠﺎﺭﺕ ﺳﻜﺲ‪،‬‬
‫ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺍﻣﺮﻯ ﭘﺮ ﺭﻧﮕﺘﺮ ﻭ ﻗﻮﻳﺘﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﺩﻻﺭﻯ ﻣﺪﻳﺮﻳﺖ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ‬ ‫ﻗﺎﭼﺎﻕ ﺍﺯ ﺭﺍﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﺳﻤﻰ‪ ،‬ﭘﻮﻝﺷﻮﻳﻰ‪،‬‬
‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻟﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﻧﻔﺖ ‪ 25‬ﺩﻻﺭﻯ ﺍﺩﺍﺭﻩ‬ ‫ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺣﻘﻮﻕ ﺑﺎﺯﻧﺸﺴﺘﮕﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺭﺷﻮﻩﺧﻮﺍﺭﻯ‪ ،‬ﻛﻼﻫﺒﺮﺩﺍﺭﻯﻫﺎﻯ‬
‫ﺟﻬﺎﻥ ﺳﻮﻣﻰﻓﺴﺎﺩ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺩﻩﺍﻯ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻛﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺣﻘﻮﻕ ﺑﺎﺯﻧﺸﺴﺘﮕﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ‪65‬‬ ‫ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﺭﺍ ﺣﺪﻭﺩ ‪ 65‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ‬ ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ‪ ،‬ﺍﺧﺘﻼﺱ‪ ،‬ﻓﺮﺍﺭ ﻣﺎﻟﻴﺎﺗﻰ‪،‬‬
‫ﻃﺒﻘﺎﺕ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺩﻫﺪ؟ ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ«‪ ،‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺗﻘﻠﺐ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﻋﻮﺍﺭﺽ ﮔﻤﺮﻛﻰ‪،‬‬
‫ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﻧﺸﺎﻧﻪﺍﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻫﺎﻧﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻫﺮ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻰ ‪ 45‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻭ ‪500‬‬ ‫ﮔﺮﺩﻫﻤﺎﻳﻰ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﺑﻬﺮﻩﻭﺭﻯ ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪﺍﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺧﺮﻭﺟﻰ‬
‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺨﺶ ﻋﻤﻮﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻥ ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻧﻪ ﻧﻴﺰ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﻛﻨﺪ؟‪ .‬ﺑﺎﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻧﺎﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﻧﻤﺎﻧﺪ ﻃﻴﺐﻧﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪ‬
‫ﻋﻠﺖ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ‪ ،‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﺘﻈﺮ ﻣﺎﻧﺪ ﺗﺎ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺑﻌﺪﻯ ﺗﺨﻠﻔﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺩﺭ ﻧﺨﺴﺘﻴﻦ ﻧﺸﺴﺖ‬ ‫ﻭ ﮔﺮﺩﺵ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﺁﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻴﺐ ﺳﭙﺎﻩ ﻭ‬
‫ﺭﺍﻩ ﺣﻞ ﺁﻥ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺍﻓﺸﺎ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻛﺎﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺧﺒﺮﻯ ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﮔﻔﺖ ﻭﮔﻮﻯ ﺑﺨﺶ‬ ‫ﺳﺮﺩﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﺁﻥ ﻣﻰﺭﻭﺩ‪ .‬ﭼﻨﺪﻯ ﭘﻴﺶ‬
‫ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺧﻮﺑﻰ ﺑﺮ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﻳﻜﺪﻳﮕﺮ‬ ‫ﺧﺼﻮﺻﻰ ﻭ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺟﺎﺭﻯ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺣﺴﻴﻦ ﺭﺍﻏﻔﺮ ﻛﺎﺭﺷﻨﺎﺱ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ‬
‫ﺁﻣﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﺳﻤﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ ﻣﺮﺍﻛﺰ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﻨﺪ ﺗﺎ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻧﻨﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻳﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺳﺦ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺌﻮﺍﻟﻰ ﻣﺒﻨﻰ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺍﮔﺮ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺰ ﺗﺎﻛﻴﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺭﺍﻩ ﻧﺠﺎﺕ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬
‫ﺁﻣﺎﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﻛﻴﻔﻴﺖ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺎﺭ‪ ،‬ﺍﻫﺪﺍﻑ ﻓﺴﺎﺩﺁﻟﻮﺩ ﺑﻴﺰﻳﻨﺴﻰ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻗﻴﻤﺖ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻛﻤﺘﺮ ﺍﺯ ‪ 40‬ﺩﻻﺭ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺍﺯ ﻓﺴﺎﺩ‪ ،‬ﺭﺍﻧﺖ ﻭ ﺗﺨﻠﻒ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ‬
‫ﺻﺤﺖ ﺯﻳﺎﺩﻯ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻨﺎﺑﺮﺍﻳﻦ ﺁﻣﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺣﻘﻮﻕ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺍﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰﻭ ﺍﻧﺘﻈﺎﻣﻰﺩﺳﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺮ‬
‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‪ ،‬ﺯﻳﺎﺩ ﺩﻗﻴﻖ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺯﻧﺸﺴﺘﮕﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻛﺎﺭﻛﻨﺎﻥ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺩﻫﺪ‪،‬‬
‫ﻧﻴﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻭ ﻣﺤﺎﺳﺒﺎﺕ ﺁﻥ ﻣﺸﻜﻞ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺍﺳﻼﻡ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻋﺎﻣﻞ ﺳﻴﺎﻩﺗﺮ‬ ‫ﺍﻇﻬﺎﺭ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﻧﻔﺖ‬ ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺑﺮ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺯﻳﺮﺍ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﻏﻴﺮﺭﺳﻤﻰ‬ ‫ﺭﺍﻫﻜﺎﺭﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﻏﻠﻈﺖ‬
‫ﺷﺪﻥ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ‬ ‫‪ 25‬ﺩﻻﺭﻯ ﻫﻢ ﺍﺩﺍﺭﻩ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺎﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‬
‫ﻭ ﺛﺒﺖ ﻧﺸﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻭﻳﮋﮔﻰﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻡ ﻭ ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩﻳﺖﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﭘﺮﺳﺶ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﺯ ﺷﺎﭘﻮﺭ ﻣﺤﻤﺪﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﻛﺎﺭﺳﺎﺯ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ﺑﺎﻧﻚ‬
‫ﻭﻳﮋﮔﻰﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻡ ﻭ ﻣﻤﻨﻮﻋﻴﺖ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﺯﻳﺎﺩ ﺁﻥ‪ ،‬ﺍﺯ ﻣﻤﻨﻮﻋﻴﺖ ﻣﺼﺮﻑ‬ ‫ﻣﻌﺎﻭﻥ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﭘﺮﺳﻴﺪﻩ ﺷﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺍﺯ ﭘﻮﻝﺷﻮﻳﻰ‪،‬‬
‫ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩﻳﺖ ﻭ ﻗﺎﭼﺎﻕ ﻛﺎﻻ ﻭ ﻣﺸﺮﻭﺑﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻣﺸﺮﻭﺑﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻰ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺗﺎ ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩﻳﺖ‬ ‫ﺧﺼﻮﺹ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﻗﻴﻤﺖ ﻧﻔﺖ ﻭ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ‬ ‫ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻡ ﺑﻪ ﺷﻨﺎﺳﻨﺎﻣﻪﺩﺍﺭ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﺍﻧﺘﻘﺎﻝ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻜﻠﻰ ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪ ﺩﺳﺘﺮﺳﻰ ﻭ ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﺟﻨﺴﻰ ﻭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻣﻮﺍﺭﺩ ﺳﺒﺐ‬ ‫ﻏﻠﻈﺖ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﮔﻔﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻝ‬ ‫ﻭﺟﻪ ﻭ ﺗﻌﻴﻴﻦ ﺳﻘﻒ ﺍﻧﺘﻘﺎﻝ ﻭﺟﻪ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ‬
‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻮﻉ ﻛﺎﻻﻫﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺷﺪﻩ ﺗﺎ ﮔﺮﺩﺵ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻣﺎﺗﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺖ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﮔﻔﺖ ﻛﻪ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻣﺎﺗﻰ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻉ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺑﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﭘﻨﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﻧﻬﺎﺩﻫﺎﻳﻰ‬
‫ﻛﻴﻔﻴﺖ ﺑﻮﺩﻥ ﻛﺎﻻﻫﺎ ﺳﻼﻣﺖ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ ﺳﭙﺎﻩ ﻭ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻯ ﺍﻧﺘﻈﺎﻣﻰﻛﻪ‬
‫ﭘﻮﻝﺷﻮﻳﻰ ﻫﻨﮕﻔﺖ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﻨﺪ‪،‬‬
‫ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﺧﻄﺮ ﻣﻰﺍﻓﺘﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻧﻚ ﻭ ﻣﻮﺳﺴﻪ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﻣﺨﺘﺺ‬
‫ﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﺮﺏ ﻣﺎﺯﺍﺭ ﻳﺰﺩﻯ ﻛﺎﺭﺷﻨﺎﺱ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﺗﺎﺳﻴﺲ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺭﺍﺣﺘﻰ‬
‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﻰﻧﻮﻳﺴﺪ‪ :‬ﻃﺒﻖ‬
‫ﺗﺤﻘﻴﻘﺎﺕ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﺗﺎ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪2005‬‬ ‫ﭘﻮﻝﺷﻮﻳﻰ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺷﺪﺕ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ‪19٫7‬‬ ‫ﺍﺩﻋﺎﻯﺍﺩﺍﺭﻩﻛﺸﻮﺭﺑﺎﻧﻔﺖ‪25‬ﺩﻻﺭﻯ‬
‫ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﺗﺤﻘﻴﻘﻰ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻃﻮﻝ ‪ 35‬ﺳﺎﻝ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﻭﺯﺭﺍﻯ‬
‫ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﺍﺷﻨﺎﻳﺪﺭ ﻣﺤﻘﻖ ﺍﺗﺮﻳﺸﻰﺍﻻﺻﻞ‬ ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﻳﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺗﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻭﺯﺭﺍﻯ‬
‫ﺑﻴﻦ ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ‪ 1999‬ﺗﺎ ‪ 2005‬ﺻﻮﺭﺕ‬ ‫»ﺑﻴﺰﻳﻨﺴﻤﻦ« ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺍﺩﻋﺎﻯ ﺑﻬﺒﻮﺩ‬
‫ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﻛﻪ ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ ﻭ‬
‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻛﻨﺎﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻣﺮ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺗﻮﺟﻴﻪ ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮﺩ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻭﺭﻩ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﺷﺪﺕ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺿﻌﻴﻔﺸﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻣﺎﺕ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻗﺒﻠﻰ‬
‫ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ‪19٫7‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﻘﺎﺩ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﻭ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﺑﺎ ﭼﺮﺥ‬
‫ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪2001‬‬ ‫ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﺳﻌﻰ ﺑﺮ ﺯﻳﺒﺎ ﻭ ﻣﺜﺒﺖ ﺟﻠﻮﻩ‬
‫ﺣﺪﻭﺩ ‪ ،19٫4‬ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2004‬ﺣﺪﻭﺩ‬
‫‪20٫3‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ‪2005‬‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺩﻥ ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮﺩ ﺩﻭﻟﺘﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻓﺮﻳﻘﺎ ‪ 42٫8‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻣﺘﺎﺳﻔﺎﻧﻪ ﻧﺒﻮﺩ ﺁﮔﺎﻫﻰ ﻛﺎﻓﻰ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ‬
‫ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﻯ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﻭ ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰ ‪ 42‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﺳﺒﺐ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺗﺎ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﺎﻥ ﻭ‬
‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻛﻤﻮﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ 22‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺎﻡ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻉ‬
‫ﺁﺳﻴﺎ ‪ 29‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﮕﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺳﻮء ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻬﻨﺪﺳﻰ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ‬
‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﻩ ‪ 142‬ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺣﺪﻭﺩ ‪34٫3‬‬ ‫ﻭ ﺍﺭﻗﺎﻡ ﻭ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﺍﺩﻋﺎﻯ ﺍﺩﺍﺭﻩ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ‬
‫ﺑﺎ ﻧﻔﺖ ‪ 25‬ﺩﻻﺭﻯ ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ ﺑﺎﺭﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻃﺒﻖ ﻣﺤﺎﺳﺒﺎﺕ‪ ،‬ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﻭ ﺍﺭﻗﺎﻡ ﺑﻮﺩﺟﻪ‬

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