Page 2 - (کیهان لندن - سال سى و سوم ـ شماره ۴۷ (دوره جديد

‫ﺻﻔﺤﻪ ‪ - Page 2 - 2‬ﺷﻤﺎﺭﻩ ‪47‬‬
‫ﺟﻤﻌﻪ ‪ 30‬ﺑﻬﻤﻦﻣﺎﻩ ﺗﺎ ﭘﻨﺠﺸﻨﺒﻪ‪ 6‬ﺍﺳﻔﻨﺪﻣﺎﻩ ‪1394‬ﺧﻮﺭﺷﻴﺪﻯ‬

‫ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪﭘﻴﺶﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪﺟﻨﮓﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰﺳﻮﻡ؟ ﻫﻔﺘﻢ ﺍﺳﻔﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺭﻓﺘﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ‬

‫ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺖ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻛﻤﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻔﻊ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺗﻠﻄﻴﻒ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﺻﻔﺤﻪ ‪1‬‬ ‫ﺻﻮﺭﺗﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺣﻤﻼﺕ ﺟﻨﮕﻨﺪﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫‪‬ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻧﻴﺎﺑﺘﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‬
‫ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺻﺮﻑ ﻧﻈﺮ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﻃﻴﻒ ﻣﺪﺍﻓﻊ ﺑﺎﺯﺗﺮ ﺷﺪﻥ ﻓﻀﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﻣﻌﻤﻮﻻ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ ﻣﺸﺎﺭﻛﺖ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻰ ﻣﺘﺤﺪﻳﻦ ﻏﺮﺏ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻠﻪ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﻭ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﺠﺎﻣﺪ‬
‫ﺍﺯ ﺁﺭﺍﻳﺶﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺟﻨﺎﺡﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻔﺎﻫﻢ ﺑﺎ ﻏﺮﺏ ﻭ ﺣﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩﻥ ﻣﺸﺮﻭﻋﻴﺖ ﺧﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﭼﻮﻥ ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺭﺍ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﻫﻴﭻ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻈﺎﻡ ﺷﺮﻛﺖ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﻫﺪﻑ ﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪ ﺑﺎﻋﺚ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻰ ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﺍﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﺻﻔﺤﻪ ‪1‬‬
‫ﻧﻤﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻃﻴﻔﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﺳﺘﻪ ﺭﺍ ﻫﻢ‬ ‫ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻳﻚ ﻣﺎﻩ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻣﺎﻧﺪﻩ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺍﺑﻌﺎﺩﻯ ﺑﻴﻦﺍﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ ﭘﻴﺪﺍ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺣﺴﻴﻦ ﺳﻼﻣﻰ‪ ،‬ﺟﺎﻧﺸﻴﻦ ﻓﺮﻣﺎﻧﺪﻩ‬
‫ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﻣﻮﻛﺮﺍﺗﻴﻜﻰ ﺗﺸﻜﻴﻞ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺟﻨﺎﺡ ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻓﻰ ﺗﻼﺵ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﺗﺎ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﭼﻨﺪﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﺭ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﻛﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺭﻭﺩﺭﺭﻭﺋﻰ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻛﻞ ﺳﭙﺎﻩ ﭘﺎﺳﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ‪ ،‬ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﺪﺍﺧﻠﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‬
‫ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪﻧﺪ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻓﺮﺳﺘﺎﺩﻥ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ‬ ‫ﻣﺸﺎﺭﻛﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺩﻋﻮﺕ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ‬ ‫ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﺠﺎﻣﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﺯ ﻫﻢ ﺍﻛﻨﻮﻥ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ »ﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﻔﻆ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‬
‫ﭼﺎﺭﭼﻮﺏ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺯﻣﻴﻦ ﺑﺎﺯﻯ‬ ‫ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺍﺯﻧﻪ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺑﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺁﻳﺖﺍﷲ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺧﺎﻣﻨﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﺎ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺧﻰﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞﮔﺮﺍﻥﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ‪،‬ﺟﻨﮓﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﺩﺭ ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﻛﻨﻮﻧﻰ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺭﺍ‬
‫ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎﻥ ﻧﻈﺎﻡ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻏﻴﺮﺁﺯﺍﺩ‬ ‫ﺳﻪ ﻗﻮﻩ‪ ،‬ﻛﻔﻪ ﺗﺮﺍﺯﻭ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻔﻊ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‬ ‫ﺭﺩ ﺻﻼﺣﻴﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺩﻩ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺳﻮﻡ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ«‪ .‬ﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻳﻚ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ ﺗﻠﻮﻳﺰﻳﻮﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﺣﺠﺖﺍﻻﺳﻼﻡ ﺣﺴﻦ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ‪ ،‬ﺭﺋﻴﺲ‬
‫ﺩﺍﻧﺴﺘﻦ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﻛﻪ ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻥ ﻧﻔﻮﺫ ﻏﻴﺮﺧﻮﺩﻯﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻭ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ‬ ‫ﺍﺑﻌﺎﺩﻯﻭﻳﺮﺍﻧﮕﺮﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﺭﻫﻤﻴﻦﺭﺍﺑﻄﻪ‬ ‫ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﺳﭙﺎﻩ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‬ ‫ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﻛﻨﺎﺭ ﻣﻮﺍﺿﻊ‬
‫ﺩﻭ ﺟﻨﺎﺡ »ﺧﻮﺩﻯ« ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﺳﻨﮕﻴﻦﺗﺮ ﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺧﺼﻮﺹ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎﻥ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻓﻌﻼ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺭﺍ »ﺑﺨﺸﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺻﻠﺢﺟﻮﻳﺎﻧﻪﻯ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺍﻣﻮﺭ ﺧﺎﺭﺟﻪﺍﺵ‪،‬‬
‫ﺷﺪﻩ‪ ،‬ﻧﺒﺎﻳﺪ ﺷﺮﻛﺖ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﻫﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﻃﻴﻒ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺻﻪ ﺭﻗﺎﺑﺖﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮﺩ ﺣﺬﻓﻰ ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﻧﮕﻬﺒﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺑﺎﺯﻳﮕﺮ ﻣﻬﻢ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‪ ،‬ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ‬ ‫ﺭﺍﻫﺒﺮﺩﻯ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ« ﺩﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﻤﺪ ﺟﻮﺍﺩ ﻇﺮﻳﻒ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﺭﺍﺑﻄﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ‬
‫ﻟﺸﻜﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻭ ﺟﻨﺎﺡ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺷﺪ ﺁﻥ ﻫﻢ‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎﻥ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺗﻼﺵ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‬ ‫ﺩﻓﺎﻉ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻣﻨﺘﻘﺪﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎﺩ ﺍﻧﺘﻘﺎﺩ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻧﺎﺩﻳﺪﻩ ﻧﮕﺮﻓﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻥ ﺁﺧﺮﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﻓﺰﻭﺩ »ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﻭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺻﺮﻓﺎ‬ ‫ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ‪ ،‬ﻧﺘﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻄﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺍﺯ ﻃﻴﻒ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪﺭﻭ‪ ،‬ﻣﺎﻧﻊ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﺩ ﻭ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻈﻬﺮ‬ ‫ﻛﻨﻔﺮﺍﻧﺲ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ ﻣﻮﻧﻴﺦ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ‬ ‫ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﻭ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﺭﺍﻫﺒﺮﺩﻯ ﻭ ﺍﺭﺗﻘﺎ‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢ ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﻭ ﻣﺘﺤﺪﻳﻨﺶ‬
‫ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻫﻢ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺗﻨﺪﺭﻭﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎﻥ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺷﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ‬ ‫»ﻣﺮﺩﻣﺴﺎﻻﺭﻯ ﺩﻳﻨﻰ« ﻗﻠﻤﺪﺍﺩ ﻣﻰﻧﻤﺎﻳﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﭼﺸﻤﺎﻥ ﺑﻬﺖﺯﺩﻩ ﺣﺎﺿﺮﻳﻦ‪ ،‬ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺩﻓﺎﻉ‬ ‫ﺗﺮﺍﺯ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﺎﻥ ﻧﻜﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻴﻦ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﻭﻳﮋﻩ ﺁﻧﻜﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻛﻬﻮﻟﺖ ﻭ ﺑﻴﻤﺎﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺗﻌﺪﺍﺩ ﻭﺍﺟﺪﺍﻥ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﻣﻮﺷﻪ ﻳﻌﻠﻮﻥ‪ ،‬ﺩﺳﺖ ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺑﺰﺭگ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻴﺖﻫﺎﺋﻰ‬ ‫ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺣﻔﻆ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻣﺮﺗﺒﻂ‬
‫ﺭﺃﻯﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺷﺮﻛﺖ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﻛﻨﻮﻧﻰ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‪ ،‬ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻫﻔﺘﻢ ﺍﺳﻔﻨﺪ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ‪ 54‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻭ ‪915‬‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺎﻡ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ‪ ،‬ﺗﺮﻛﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳﺘﻮﺭ ﻛﺎﺭ ﻣﺎ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﺍﺳﻢ ﺍﻋﻄﺎء ﻧﺸﺎﻥ‬
‫ﺧﺎﻣﻨﻪﺍﻯ‪ ،‬ﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﭘﻨﺠﻢ‬ ‫ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻧﻔﺮ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﺷﺪﻩ ﻭ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺑﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺑﻦ ﻓﻴﺼﻞ ﺍﻝ ﺳﻌﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﻓﺸﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﭘﻮﺷﻴﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﺣﺴﻴﻦ ﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻣﺸﺘﺮﻙ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﻩ ﻛﻨﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﺍﺗﻤﻰ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺗﺎﺋﻴﺪ‬
‫ﺻﻨﺪﻭﻕ ﺭﺍﻯ ﻣﺠﺎﺯﻯ‬ ‫ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎﻥ ﻭﻇﻴﻔﻪ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺑﻌﺪﻯ‬ ‫‪ 161‬ﻧﺎﻣﺰﺩ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ‪ 88‬ﻧﻔﺮ ﺑﺮ ﻛﺮﺳﻰ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺍﻋﺮﺍﺏ ﻭ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﻳﻴﻞ‬ ‫ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ‪ -‬ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‪ -‬ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺣﻠﺐ ﺭﺍ ﭘﻴﺎﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﮔﻔﺖ‪:‬‬
‫ﻭ ﺍﺳﺎﺳﺎ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺩﺭﺑﺎﺭﻩ ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻉ‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎﻥ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺑﺰﻧﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﺑﻠﻨﺪﭘﺮﻭﺍﺯﻯﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻗﺎﻃﻊ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﻩ ﻛﻨﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﺻﻠﺢ ﺩﺭ ژﻧﻮ‬ ‫»ﺍﮔﺮ ﺳﺮﺑﺎﺯﺍﻥ ﺭﺷﻴﺪ ﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺑﻐﺪﺍﺩ‪ ،‬ﺳﺎﻣﺮﺍ‪،‬‬
‫ﮔﺮﻭﻫﻰ ﻫﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻴﺎﻫﻮﻯ‬ ‫»ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ« ﺩﺭ ﻧﻈﺎﻡ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﻦ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ‪ 6‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻭ ‪ 229‬ﻛﺎﻧﺪﻳﺪﺍ ‪290‬‬ ‫ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‪ ،‬ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻜﺪﻳﮕﺮ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﻭ ﮔﻔﺖ »ﺍﻳﻦ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﻓﻠﻮﺟﻪ‪ ،‬ﺗﻜﺮﻳﺖ ﻭ ﺭﻣﺎﺩﻯ ﺍﻳﺴﺘﺎﺩﮔﻰ‬
‫ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺻﺪﺍﻯ ﺿﻌﻴﻔﻰ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﺣﺴﺎﺱ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻫﻢ ﺯﻣﺎﻥ‪ ،‬ﻳﻚ ﻣﻘﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻌﺎﺩﻻﺕ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻰﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ ﻭ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﺍﮔﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻣﺸﻖ ﻭ‬
‫ﺧﻮﺍﺳﺖ ﻟﻐﻮ ﻧﻈﺎﺭﺕ ﺍﺳﺘﺼﻮﺍﺑﻰ ﻭ ﺍﺳﺘﻘﺮﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﺑﺎﻻﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻧﻔﺮ ﺭﺍﻫﻰ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﻤﺎﻥ ﺑﻬﺎﺭﺳﺘﺎﻥ ﺷﻮﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﺭﻭﻳﺘﺮﺯ ﮔﻔﺖ ﺩﻭ‬ ‫ﺣﻠﺐ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻠﺖ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﻛﻤﻚ ﻧﻤﻰﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ‬
‫ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳﻜﻮﻻﺭ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺒﻨﺎﻯ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﻴﻪ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ ﻓﺮﺍﺧﻮﺍﻥ ﻣﺠﺎﺯﻯ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺭﺍﻯ ﺩﺍﺩﻥ‬ ‫ﺭﻓﺘﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻻﻳﻞ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻭ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﻳﻴﻞ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖﻳﺎﺑﻰ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪«.‬‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺘﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻧﻴﻢ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ‬
‫ﺣﻘﻮﻕ ﺑﺸﺮ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻡ ﺑﻪ ﺭﺍﻩﺍﻧﺪﺍﺯﻯ ﺻﻨﺪﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻓﻬﺮﺳﺖ ‪ 16‬ﻧﻔﺮﻩ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺎﻳﺘﺨﺖ ﻭ ﺷﻬﺮﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺰﺭگ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ ﺗﻮﺍﻓﻖ »ﺩﺭ ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻪﻫﺎ« ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺑﻰ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﻩ ﻛﻨﻴﻢ‪ «.‬ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﺭﺍﻯ ﻣﺠﺎﺯﻯ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﺗﺎ ﺑﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﺧﻮﺩﺷﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ﻛﻪ ﻓﺎﻗﺪ ﻧﺎﻡ ﺁﻳﺖﺍﷲ ﺟﻨﺘﻰ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻛﻮﭼﻚ ﻭ ﺭﻭﺳﺘﺎﻫﺎ ﺍﺯ ﻫﻢ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﻭﺕ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺷﻮﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﻭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺎﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺧﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‪ ،‬ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺖ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻰ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ‬
‫ﺑﻪ ﺭﺍﻯ ﺩﻫﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺪﻫﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﻤﺪ ﻳﺰﺩﻯ ﻭ ﻣﺼﺒﺎﺡ ﻳﺰﺩﻯ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﮔﺮﭼﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻭﺭ ﻫﻢ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﺗﻼﺵﻫﺎﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺗﺮﻣﻴﻢ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ‬ ‫»ﺳﭙﺎﻩ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺍﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ ﻣﺪﺍﻓﻌﺎﻥ ﺣﺮﻡ« ﻃﻰ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺰﻳﻦ ﺷﺮﻛﺖ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺭﺍﺳﺘﺎ ﺍﺭﺯﻳﺎﺑﻰ ﻛﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺣﺪﺱﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﺯﺩ‪ ،‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ ﺍﻏﻠﺐ ﻣﻮﺍﺭﺩ‬ ‫ﺩﻭ ﺟﺎﻧﺒﻪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮ ﺍﺛﺮ ﺣﻤﻠﻪ ﻛﻤﺎﻧﺪﻭﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪ ﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﻤﺒﺎﺭﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺩﻭ ﺳﺎﻝ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻤﺎً ﺩﺭ ﺟﻨﮓ‬
‫ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻣﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺩﺭ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﻫﻢ ﺳﺎﺑﻘﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳﻪ ﻧﻔﺮ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﻧﺎﻣﺰﺩﻫﺎﻯ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦﺭﻓﺘﺎﺭﻫﺎﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﺎﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻰﻧﺎﭘﺬﻳﺮﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺮﺍﻳﻴﻠﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺸﺘﻰ »ﻣﺎﻭﻯ ﻣﺮﻣﺮﻩ« ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺣﻠﺐ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻩﻫﺎ ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻧﻔﺮ ﺍﺭ ﺳﺎﻛﻨﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺩﺭ ﮔﻴﺮ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﻭ ﺗﻠﻔﺎﺕ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ‬
‫ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻳﺎﺯﺩﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻭﺭﻩ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﺎﺩ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻜﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﮔﺮﻭﻩﻫﺎ ﻭ ﮔﺮﺍﻳﺶﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2010‬ﺭﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺗﻴﺮﮔﻰ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺷﻬﺮ ﺭﺍ ﺭﺍﻫﻰ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‬
‫ﺭﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 92‬ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻡ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺗﻨﺪﺭﻭﻯ ﻭ ﺍﻓﺮﺍﻁ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﻗﻊ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺍﻣﺎ ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻨﺪ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻛﺮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻌﺎﺩﻻﺕ ﻧﻘﺸﻰ‬ ‫ﻣﻼﺣﻈﻪﺍﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﺘﺤﻤﻞ ﺷﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﻛﻤﭙﻴﻨﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﭼﻪ ﺑﺴﺎ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺎﺳﺦ ﺑﻪ ﺭﺩ‬ ‫ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﻣﻮﺍﺿﻊ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﻭﺗﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺭﺍﺑﻄﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻓﺰﻭﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻧﺪﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﺁﻧﭽﻨﺎﻥ ﻛﻪ ﻗﺮﺑﺎﻧﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺟﻨﮓ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪﺣﻀﻮﺭﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥﺑﻪ»ﺳﭙﺎﻩﺑﻴﻦﺍﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ‬
‫ﻣﺸﺎﺑﻬﻰ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺻﻼﺣﻴﺖ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﭼﻬﺮﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺐ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺍﺗﺨﺎﺫ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺁﺭﺍﻳﺶﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻋﻴﻦ ﺣﺎﻝ‪ ،‬ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺍﻧﺮژﻯ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ‪،‬‬ ‫‪ 5‬ﺳﺎﻟﻪ ﻫﺮﮔﺰ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﻧﮕﺮﻓﺘﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﺪﺍﻓﻌﺎﻥ ﺣﺮﻡ« ﻭ »ﻣﺴﺘﺸﺎﺭﺍﻥ« ﺳﭙﺎﻫﻰ‬
‫ﻧﺎﻣﺰﺩﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﺍﻯﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﻣﺠﺎﺯﻯ‬ ‫ﻭ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪﺭﻭ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺷﺮﻛﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻗﺎﺑﺖﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺗﻔﺎﻭﺕﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﻫﻢ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻳﻮﻭﺍﻝ ﺍﺷﺘﺎﻳﻨﻴﺘﺰ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ ﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﺍﺳﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﭘﮋﻭﻫﺶﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﻧﻤﻰ ﺷﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﮔﺮﻭﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﺗﺤﺖ‬
‫ﻃﻴﻔﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﺭﺩ ﺻﻼﺣﻴﺖ ﺷﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﺭﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﻫﻢ ﺍﻛﻨﻮﻥ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎﻧﺶ ﺭﺍ »ﻫﻢﻣﺮﺯ ﺷﺪﻥ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺁﺧﺮﻳﻦ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺻﺤﺒﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﺎ‬ ‫ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺷﺎﻣﻞ‬
‫ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎﻥ ﺷﻜﻞ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏﺍﷲ ﻟﺒﻨﺎﻥ ﺑﺎ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻳﻰ ﺑﻴﻦ ‪ 5‬ﺗﺎ ‪10‬‬
‫ﺯﻧﺪﺍﻧﻴﺎﻥ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﻤﺎﻧﻌﺖ ﺍﺯ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ ﺍﻓﺮﺍﺩﻯ ﻫﻤﭽﻮﻥ ﺣﺴﻦ‬ ‫ﺩﺳﺘﻪﺑﻨﺪﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﺗﺎﺯﻩﺍﻯ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻋﺮﺻﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ« ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﺪ ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺴﺎﻟﻪ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫‪ 500‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻛﺸﺘﻪ ﺩﺭ ‪ 5‬ﺳﺎﻝ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻧﻔﺮ‪» ،‬ﮔﺮﺩﺍﻥ ﺍﺑﻮﺍﻟﻔﻀﻞ ﻋﺒﺎﺱ« ﺑﺎ‬
‫ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪﻧﺪ ﻧﺒﻮﺩ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻯ ﺭﻭﺷﻦ‬ ‫ﺧﻤﻴﻨﻰ ﻭ ﻣﺤﻤﺪ ﻣﻮﺳﻮﻯ ﺑﺠﻨﻮﺭﺩﻯ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﺧﻄﺮﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﺍﺗﺐ ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻥﻛﻨﻨﺪﻩﺗﺮ‬ ‫ﻣﻰ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ 400 .‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻧﻔﺮ ﻗﺮﺑﺎﻧﻰ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ‬ ‫ﺣﺪﻭﺩ‪ 3000‬ﺷﻴﻌﻰ ﻋﺮﺍﻗﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻃﺮﺍﻑ‬
‫ﺍﻳﻦﺣﺮﻛﺖ‪ ،‬ﻛﻤﭙﻴﻦﺻﻨﺪﻭﻕﺭﺍﻯﻣﺠﺎﺯﻯ‬ ‫ﺗﻔﺎﻭﺕﻫﺎ ﻧﺎﺷﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻓﺮﺍﻫﻢ ﺷﺪﻥ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﻫﻢﻣﺮﺯ ﺷﺪﻥ ﺑﺎ ﺩﺍﻋﺶ« ﻧﺎﻡ ﻣﻰﺑﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯﻫﺎ ﻭ ‪ 70‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻧﻔﺮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﺸﻖ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﺮ ﺷﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﺣﺰﺏﺍﷲ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‬
‫ﺭﺍ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺷﺒﻴﻪ ﻛﺎﺭﺯﺍﺭﻯ ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎﺗﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﻋﺮﺻﻪ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ‬ ‫ﭘﻴﻮﺳﺘﻦ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪﻯ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﻳﻮﻭﺍﻝ ﺍﺷﺘﺎﻳﻨﻴﺘﺰ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﺪ »ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﺛﺮ ﻛﻤﺒﻮﺩ ﺁﺏ‪ ،‬ﻣﻮﺍﺩ ﻏﺬﺍﺋﻰ ﻭ ﺩﺍﺭﻭ ﺟﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻟﮕﻮﻯ ﺷﺒﻪ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻴﺎﻥ‬
‫ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻰﻓﻌﺎﻻﻥﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰﻭﻣﺪﻧﻰﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﺣﻠﻘﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﺑﻪ ﻫﺎﺷﻤﻰ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﻭ ﺍﺟﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﻗﺒﺮﺱ ﻫﻢ ﺷﺪﻳﺪﺍ ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻥ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺩﺍﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ‬ ‫ﻟﺒﻨﺎﻥ ﺗﺠﻬﻴﺰ ﺷﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪» ،‬ﮔﺮﺩﺍﻥ ﻓﺎﻃﻤﻴﻮﻥ«‬
‫ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺐ ﺩﻳﺪﻩ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺭﻓﺴﻨﺠﺎﻧﻰ ﻣﺴﺎﻟﻪﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺟﺎﻡ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺗﺤﻘﻖ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻜﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰﺩﺭﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪﻭﻫﺠﻮﻡﺍﺵﺑﻪ ﺁﺏﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻧﻬﺎﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻛﻤﻴﺴﺎﺭﻳﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻣﺮﻛﺐ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻓﻐﺎﻥﻫﺎ ﻛﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﺷﻤﺎﺭ‬
‫ﺩﻭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺭﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻔﺘﻢ ﺍﺳﻔﻨﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻣﻬﻨﺪﺳﻰ ﭘﻴﺸﺎﭘﻴﺶ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺗﺤﻮﻻﺕ ﺍﺧﻴﺮ ﺗﺎ ﭼﻪ ﺍﻧﺪﺍﺯﻩ ﺑﺮ ﺭﻓﺘﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻟﻰ ﭘﻨﺎﻫﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻣﻠﻞ ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺍﺧﻴﺮﺍً ﺑﻪ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ‪ 2500‬ﺗﻦ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ‬
‫ﺭﻗﺎﺑﺖ ﺍﺻﻠﻰ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺩﻭ ﺟﻨﺎﺡ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﻧﮕﻬﺒﺎﻥ ﻧﺎﻡ ﻣﻰﺑﺮﻧﺪ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻣﻮﺍﻓﻘﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎﻥ ﻣﺸﺎﺭﻛﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻣﺪﻳﺘﺮﺍﻧﻪ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪ ،‬ﻳﻚ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻭ ‪ 900‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﻳﺎﻓﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﮔﺮﻭﻩ ﭘﺎﻛﺴﺘﺎﻧﻰﻫﺎﻯ ﺷﻴﻌﻪ ﻣﻮﺳﻮﻡ‬
‫ﺷﺎﻣﻞ ﺍﺻﻮﻝﮔﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ ﺑﺎ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﻧﺎﻣﺰﺩﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻃﻴﻒﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺐ ﻭ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪﺭﻭ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺭﺍ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻫﻔﺘﻪﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺰ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ‪ 5‬ﺳﺎﻝ ﻣﺠﺮﻭﺡ ﺷﺪﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ »ﺯﻳﻨﺒﻴﻮﻥ«‪ ،‬ﻭ »ﻟﻮﺍء ﺫﻭﺍﻟﻔﻘﺎﺭ« ﻣﺮﻛﺐ‬
‫ﻭ ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻑ ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺒﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪﺭﻭﻫﺎﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺐ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺭﺩ ﺻﻼﺣﻴﺖﻫﺎ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺷﻤﺎﺭﺵ ﺁﺭﺍء ﺗﺎ ﺣﺪﻭﺩﻯ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﻭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪﻯ ﺭﺟﺐ‬ ‫ﺍﺣﺘﺴﺎﺏ ﻛﺸﺘﻪﺷﺪﮔﺎﻥ‪ 11.5 ،‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ‬ ‫ﺍﺯﺩﻳﮕﺮﮔﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯﺷﻴﻌﻪﻋﺮﺍﻗﻰﻧﻴﺰﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ‪.‬‬
‫ﭼﻬﺎﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ﭘﻴﺶ ﻧﻬﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻭﺭﻩ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪﻧﺪ ﺑﺎ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻛﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺠﺮﺑﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺁﻣﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﻃﻴﺐ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﻛﻞ ﺟﻤﻌﻴﺖ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺗﺸﻜﻴﻞ ﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻭﻟﻴﻦ ﺭﻭﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺎﻩ ﻓﻮﺭﻳﻪ‬
‫ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﺭﻓﺘﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ ﺩﺷﻤﻦ ﻣﺸﺘﺮﻙ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺎﻡ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﻫﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﭘﮋﻭﻫﺶﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‬ ‫ﺣﺪﺍﻗﻞ ‪» 40‬ﻣﺴﺘﺸﺎﺭ« ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﺷﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺍﻍ ﺣﻮﺍﺩﺙ ‪ 88‬ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﺗﺎﺯﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺮﻓﻨﺪ ﺭﺍ ﺧﻨﺜﻰ ﻛﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺩﺳﺘﻪ ﻃﺒﻘﻪ ﺑﻨﺪﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﮔﺮﭼﻪ ﺑﻌﻴﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺮ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﺧﺴﺎﺭﺕﻫﺎﻯ ﻭﺍﺭﺩ ﺷﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﺣﻠﺐ ﺟﺎﻥ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ‬
‫ﺁﻥ ﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺒﺎﻥ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺁﻳﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺩﺭ ﭘﻴﺎﻣﺪ ﺟﻨﮓ ‪ 5‬ﺳﺎﻟﻪ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺩﻧﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻟﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻠﻔﺎﺕ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﻴﺮ‬
‫ﻋﺮﺻﻪ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺷﺮﻭﻃﻰ ﺗﻌﻴﻴﻦ ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺗﺤﺮ ﻳﻢ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ ﮔﺎ ﻥ ﻓﻌﺎ ﻝ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻛﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺷﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﻭﻟﻰ ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﻯﺍﺵ‬ ‫‪ 255‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﺎﺭﺩ ﺩﻻﺭ ﺑﺮﺁﻭﺭﺩ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺗﺤﺖ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‬
‫ﺗﻀﻤﻴﻦ ﺳﻼﻣﺖ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‪ ،‬ﺭﻓﻊ ﺣﺼﺮ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﻏﻴﺮﻓﻌﺎﻝ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﻭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻪ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ‪ 5‬ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 45‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺎﻛﻨﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ .‬ﺗﻠﻔﺎﺗﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺵ‬
‫ﺭﻫﺒﺮﺍﻥ ﺟﻨﺒﺶ ﺳﺒﺰ ﻭ ﺁﺯﺍﺩﻯ ﺯﻧﺪﺍﻧﻴﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺭﺍﻯ ﺩﻫﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﺛﺎﺑﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺒﺎﺩﻝ ﺍﻃﻼﻋﺎﺕ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻭ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﻣﺠﺒﻮﺭ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺮﻙ ﺷﻬﺮ ﻭ ﻛﺎﺷﺎﻧﻪﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯﻫﺎ ﻭ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ‬
‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺟﻤﻠﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺷﺮﻁﻫﺎ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻧﻬﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻭﺭﻩ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﺷﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﻛﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺻﺤﻨﻪﻯ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﻨﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ‬
‫ﺍﻃﻼﺡﻃﻠﺒﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﺩﻭﺭﻩ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺍﺣﺖ‬ ‫ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‪ ،‬ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ ﻭ ﮔﺮﻭﻩﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺮﻭﻩ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻭ ﺩﺳﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﺪﺕﻫﺎ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺁﻏﺎﺯ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﺳﺮﭘﻨﺎﻫﻰ‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﻣﻼﺣﻈﻪﺍﻯ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺷﺮﻛﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺭﺍ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢ‬ ‫ﺗﻘﺴﻴﻢ ﻛﺮﺩ؛ ﻳﻜﻰ ﻛﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻫﺮ‬ ‫ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺮﺯ ‪ 4‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻧﻔﺮ ﮔﺬﺭ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺩﺭ ﻧﻈﺮ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻨﻈﺮ ﺻﺮﻓﺎ‬
‫ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﺷﺮﻛﺖ‬ ‫ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻄﻰ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ‪ ،‬ﻣﺠﻠﺲ‬ ‫ﺟﻨﮓ ﻧﻔﺖ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﺁﻭﺍﺭﮔﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‪،‬ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯﺯﻣﻴﻨﻰﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‬
‫ﻣﻌﻨﺎﻳﻰ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ ﺍﻛﺜﺮﻳﺖ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‪ ،‬ﺭﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﺗﺠﺮﺑﻪ ﻋﻤﺎﻳﺎﺗﻰ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﺴﻪ ﺑﺎ‬
‫ﭼﻬﺎﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺑﻌﺪ‪ ،‬ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﺁﻧﻜﻪ ﺁﻥ ﺷﺮﻭﻁ‬ ‫ﻗﻬﺮ ﺑﺎ ﺻﻨﺪﻭﻕ ﺭﺍﻯ ﺻﺪﺍﻳﻰ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻴﺶ‬ ‫ﻳﺎ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎﻥ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﻭ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﻣﻨﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻭ‬ ‫‪ 6.6‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻧﻔﺮ ﺗﺨﻤﻴﻦ ﺯﺩﻩ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻰ ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﻭ‬
‫ﺗﺎﻣﻴﻦ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪﺭﻭ ﺣﺴﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﻫﺮ ﻧﺪﺍﻳﻰ ﻃﻨﻴﻦﺍﻧﺪﺍﺯ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﻫﺮﭼﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺷﻬﺮ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺎﻯ ﺻﻨﺪﻭﻕﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﺍﻯ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻧﻴﺎﻯ ﻧﻔﺖ ﻫﻢ‬ ‫ﻣﺘﺤﺪﻳﻨﺶ ﺩﺭ ﺧﻠﻴﺞ ﻓﺎﺭﺱ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺒﺎﻥ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﺍﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺍﻫﺪﺍﻑ ﻭ ﺍﻧﮕﻴﺰﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﮔﺮﻭﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺷﻮﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﻛﻨﺎﺭ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺧﺼﻮﺹ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻴﺪﻩ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺟﻨﮕﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻧﻴﺎﺑﺘﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ‬
‫ﺑﺮ ﺳﺮ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﺗﻼﺵ ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺒﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺷﺮﻛﺖ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻋﺎﻣﻞ ﺗﻌﻴﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺎﻯ ﺑﺸﻜﻪ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﻧﻤﻰﺷﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ‬ ‫ﻣﺪﺍﺧﻠﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‬
‫ﻭ ﻃﻴﻒ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪﺭﻭ ﺑﺮ ﺁﻥ ﻣﺘﻤﺮﻛﺰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺗﺎ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ ﺑﺎ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢﻛﻨﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﻛﻨﻨﺪﻩ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻭ ﺁﻥ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﻭﺯﻫﺎ ﻛﻪ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺻﺪﺩ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﻔﻆ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺖ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ‬
‫ﻓﺮﺳﺘﺎﺩﻥ ﭼﻬﺮﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻌﺪﻭﺩ ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺐ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻧﮕﻴﺰﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﻗﻮﻣﻰ ﻭ ﻣﺤﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶﺻﺎﺩﺭﺍﺕﻧﻔﺖﺑﻪﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎﺋﻰ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺻﺤﻨﻪﺍﻯ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺻﺎﻓﻰ ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﻧﮕﻬﺒﺎﻥ ﮔﺬﺭ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﻭﺕ ﺑﻮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﻭ ﻣﺘﺤﺪﻳﻨﺶ‬ ‫ﺟﺪﻳﺪﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻧﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻰ ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ‬
‫ﻭ ﭼﻬﺮﻩﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪﺭﻭ ﻭ ﺍﺻﻮﻝﮔﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺟﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﻣﺎ ﻃﻴﻒﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ‬ ‫ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﻣﻠﻰ ﻭ ﺳﺮﺍﺳﺮﻯ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺗﻼﺵﻫﺎﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺍﺧﻼﻝ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺩﻫﺪ‪ ،‬ﺑﻠﻜﻪ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻋﻴﻦ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺠﻬﻴﺰﺍﺕ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ‬
‫ﻣﻌﺘﺪﻝ ﺷﻨﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﻧﺪ ﻛﻤﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺐ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺻﻨﺪﻭﻕ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﻧﻴﻤﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻛﺮﺳﻰﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ‬ ‫ﻓﺮﻭﺵ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺵ ﺩﺍﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻋﺚﺩﮔﺮﮔﻮﻧﻰﻫﺎﻯﺧﻄﺮﻧﺎﻛﻰﺩﺭﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﻴﺸﺮﻓﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﺎ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺠﺮﺑﻪ ﺟﻨﮕﻰ ﺍﻧﺪﻛﻰ‬
‫ﺭﺍﻯ ﻗﻬﺮ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﺷﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻥ ﻧﺎﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻧﻰ ﻣﻰﺭﺳﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﺭﻭﻳﺘﺮﺯ ﻣﻰﻧﻮﻳﺴﺪ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻥ ﺣﻤﻠﻪ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ‬
‫ﺍﺻﻮﻝﮔﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ ﺗﻨﺪﺭﻭ ﺑﻜﺎﻫﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺣﺪﻭﺩ ‪ 300‬ﺍﺳﺘﺎﺩ ﺩﺍﻧﺸﮕﺎﻩ ﺑﻪ ﺣﺴﻦ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﻧﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺷﻬﺮﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺰﺭگ ﻭ ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ‬ ‫ﺷﺮﻛﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﻴﻤﻪ ﺍﺯ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ ﻧﻔﺖﻛﺶﻫﺎﺋﻰ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ‪ 1990‬ﺑﻪ ﻛﻮﻳﺖ‪ ،‬ﺑﺨﺸﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ‬
‫ﺁﻧﻬﺎﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﻨﺪﻛﻪﺩﻭﻟﺖﺣﺴﻦﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻌﺪﻭﺩ ﺻﺪﺍﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻒ‬ ‫ﻓﻬﺮﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺑﻠﻜﻪ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺍﻧﺘﻘﺎﻝ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﻨﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻨﺎﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻣﺜﻞ ﻟﺒﻨﺎﻥ‪ ،‬ﺑﺤﺮﻳﻦ‪ ،‬ﻋﺮﺍﻕ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻣﺮﺯﻯ ﻣﺸﺘﺮﻙ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﻫﺠﻮﻡ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻭ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺳﭙﺮﻯ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺯ ﻋﻤﺮ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺭﺋﻴﺲ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻭﻇﻴﻔﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﻤﺮﻛﺰ ﺑﺮ ﺭﻗﺎﺑﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﻮﻣﻰ ﻭ ﻣﺤﻠﻰ ﻭ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﻭ ﺑﺤﺮﻳﻦ ﻣﻤﺎﻧﻌﺖ‬ ‫ﻳﻤﻦ ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2011‬ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﺮﺍﻗﻰ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ ﻭ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ‬
‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﻛﺸﻤﻜﺶﻫﺎﻯ ﺯﻳﺎﺩﻯ ﺑﺎ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ‬ ‫ﻭ ﻣﺴﻮﻭﻟﻴﺖ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏﺑﺮﺍﺳﺎﺱﺷﻌﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰﺷﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺷﺮﻛﺖ ﺑﻴﻤﻪ ﻧﺮﻭژﻯ ﮔﺎﺭﺩ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ‬ ‫ﺟﻨﮕﻰ ﻧﻴﺎﺑﺘﻰ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺎ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ‬ ‫ﻣﺴﻠﺢ ﺭﻳﺎﺽ ﻋﻤ ًﻼ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺖ ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﻧﻬﻢ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﺍﮔﺮ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺍﺳﺘﻨﺪ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺭﺩ ﺻﻼﺣﻴﺖﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩﻩ ﺷﻬﺮﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺭﻭﺳﺘﺎﻫﺎﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺑﺤﺮﻳﻦ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺸﺘﻰﻫﺎﺋﻰ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﻐﺪﺍﺩ ﻋﻘﺐ ﻧﺸﺴﺘﻨﺪ‬
‫ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺗﻨﺪﺭﻭﻫﺎ ﻭ‬ ‫ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺩﻩ‪ ،‬ﺍﺻﻼ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﻨﺎﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻪ ﺁﺧﺮﻳﻦ ﺑﻨﺪﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻭﻟﻴﻦ ﺑﺎﺭ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺭﻳﺎﺽ‬ ‫ﻭ ﻣﻨﺘﻈﺮ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﻳﻰ ﻣﺎﻧﺪﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﺻﻮﻝﮔﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ ﺍﻓﺮﺍﻃﻰ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﺑﻤﺎﻧﺪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﮔﺰﻳﻨﺶ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺷﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﺗﻮﻗﻒ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﺍﺟﺎﺯﻩ‬ ‫ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭﻯ ﻫﻢ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻭﺭﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﺷﺪﺕ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﺍﻋﺘﺮﺍﺿﺎﺕ‬
‫ﺑﺎ ﺳﻨﮓﺍﻧﺪﺍﺯﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﻣﺎﻧﻊ ﺍﺟﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﻧﻜﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﺮ ﺷﺪﺕ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺑﺤﺮﻳﻦ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﻈﻮﺭ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺍﺯ‬
‫ﺑﺮﺟﺎﻡ ﻭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻣﺎﺕ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﻋﺘﺪﺍﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺩﺳﺘﻪﺍﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢﻛﻨﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﻫﻢ‬ ‫ﺭﺃﻯﺩﻫﻨﺪﮔﺎﻧﻰﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻭﺭﻭﺩ ﺑﻪ ﺁﺏﻫﺎﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﻧﻤﻰﺩﻫﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺍﻓﺰﻭﺩ ﻭ ﺗﻌﺎﺩﻝ ﺷﻜﻨﻨﺪﻩﻯ ﻛﻨﻮﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﻗﻠﻴﺖ ﺳﻨﻰ ﻭ ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺩﻩ ﺁﻝ‬
‫ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪﻧﺪ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺭﺯﺵ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺘﻦ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺯﻯ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮ ﻫﻢ ﺑﺰﻧﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻄﻰ‪ ،‬ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻢ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺯﺩ‪ .‬ﺑﺎ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺧﻠﻴﻔﻪ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﭘﺎﻧﺰﺩﻩ ﻣﺎﺭﺱ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪،2011‬‬
‫ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺷﻮﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺭﻭﺡ ﻭ ﺍﻫﺪﺍﻑ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻰ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺩﻭ ﻣﺠﻠﺴﻰ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻯ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﻭ ﭘﺎﻧﺼﺪ‬
‫ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪﻧﺪ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺗﻌﺪﺍﺩ ﻃﻴﻒ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﭘﺎﻳﻰﺭﻓﺮﺍﻧﺪﻭﻡ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ‪.‬ﺍﻳﻦﺩﺳﺘﻪﺗﻼﺵ‬ ‫ﻃﻴﻒﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺐ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺯﻭﺩﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻔﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﺟﻪﺑﻪﺣﻀﻮﺭﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪﺩﺭﭘﻴﻤﺎﻥﺁﺗﻼﻧﺘﻴﻚ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻯ ﺍﻣﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﺎﻣﻪ ﭘﺎﻳﺘﺨﺖ ﺁﻥ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ‬
‫ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪﻯﺍﺻﻮﻝﮔﺮﺍﻯﻣﺠﻠﺲﻫﻤﭽﻮﻥﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ ﺗﺎ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﭼﺎﺭﭼﻮﺏ ﻣﺪﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪﺭﻭﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﺳﺘﻪ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﺳﻔﻨﺪﻣﺎﻩ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭ ﺷﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﻳﻜﻰ‪ ،‬ﻣﺠﻠﺴﻰ‬ ‫ﺷﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﻳﺎ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ ﻭ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﺍﻋﺰﺍﻡ ﺷﺪﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎ ﻛﻪ ﺗﺪﺭﻳﺠﺎً ﺷﻤﺎﺭ‬
‫ﻻﺭﻳﺠﺎﻧﻰﺭﺋﻴﺲﻓﻌﻠﻰﻣﺠﻠﺲﻛﻪ ﺩﺭﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ ﻭ ﻋﺪﻡ ﻣﺸﺎﺭﻛﺖﺷﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺒﺎﻥ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺳﺮﻧﻮﺷﺖ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩﻯ ﺭژﻳﻢ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﺑﺎ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺑﻪ ‪ 5000‬ﻧﻔﺮ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﻳﺎﻓﺖ ﻫﺮﮔﺰ ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﺩﻭﺭﻩ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻞ ﻭﺍﺭﺩ ﮔﻮﺩ ﺭﻗﺎﺑﺖ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺘﻦ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺍﻋﺘﻤﺎﺩ ﺑﻪ ﺳﻴﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﺭﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 88‬ﻋﺮﺻﻪ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ ﻭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﭼﻮﻥ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﻭ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ‪ ،‬ﻋﻤﻼ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺟﺪﻯ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮ ﻧﺒﻮﺩﻩ‬
‫ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﺍﺻﻮﻝﮔﺮﺍﻳﻰ ﻫﻤﭽﻮﻥ ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺭﻭﺷﻰ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺷﺪﺕ ﺗﻨﮓ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻠﺴﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺳﺮﻧﻮﺷﺖ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﻣﻨﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻭﺳﻴﻊﺗﺮ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻭ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻯ ﺫﺧﻴﺮﻩ ﻭ ﻳﺎ‬
‫ﻣﻄﻬﺮﻯ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﻩﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻭﺭﻩ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻪ ﺭﻓﺮﺍﻧﺪﻭﻡ‬ ‫ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪﺭﻭﻫﺎ‪ ،‬ﺣﺎﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻭ ﺍﺻﻮﻝﮔﺮﺍﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺁﻥ ﻭﺍﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻫﻤﻪﻯ ﺍﻳﻨﻬﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﭘﺸﺘﻴﺒﺎﻧﻰ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﮔﺎﻫﻰ ﺻﺪﺍﻯ ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺒﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﻫﺪﻑ ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮﺍﺕ ﺍﺳﺎﺳﻰ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻣﻌﺘﺪﻝ ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻑ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﻭ ﺍﻣﻴﺪ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺭﻭﻯ ﺩﺍﺩﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﻃﻰ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻧﻪ ﭼﻨﺪﺍﻥ ﻣﻮﻓﻖ‬
‫ﻫﻢ ﺷﺪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﺐ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺩﻣﻮﻛﺮﺍﺗﻴﻚ ﻓﺮﺍﻫﻢ ﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩ ﺗﺎﺋﻴﺪ ﺻﻼﺣﻴﺖ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ‪ 25‬ﻣﺎﻩ ﻣﺎﺭﺱ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2015‬ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺍﺯ ﮔﺮﻭﻩ‬ ‫ﺷﺪﻩﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ‪ ،‬ﻓﻀﺎ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﻣﻌﺎﺩﻻﺕ ﻋﺎﺩﻯ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺎﻧﻪ ﺩﻓﺎﻉ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻣﻨﺼﻮﺭ ﻫﺎﺩﻯ ﺭﻳﻴﺲ‬
‫ﻧﻔﻊ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﺩﻫﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢﻛﻨﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﺛﺎﺑﺖ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻧﺎﻡ ﺑﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﺑﺮﺧﻰ‬ ‫ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭ ﭘﻴﺸﻴﻦ ﻳﻤﻦ ﻭ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﺣﻮﺛﻰﻫﺎ ﺁﻏﺎﺯ‬
‫ﺍﺯ ﺍﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﺯﻳﺮ ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻋﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﺨﺶ ﻛﺴﺎﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﺷﺪ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺤﻨﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ‬
‫ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻭﺯﻧﻪ ﻫﺎﺷﻤﻰ‬ ‫ﺗﺎﺯﻩﺍﻯ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﺷﺪﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺎ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺩﺧﺎﻟﺖ‬
‫ﺭﻓﺴﻨﺠﺎﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺩﻩﻧﻴﺮﻭﻯﻫﻮﺍﻳﻰﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ‪،‬‬
‫ﻭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﻀﻮ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩﻳﻪ ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﻯﻫﺎﻯ‬
‫ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﻫﻔﺘﻢ ﺍﺳﻔﻨﺪ ﻣﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﺧﻠﻴﺞ ﻓﺎﺭﺱ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻳﻤﻦ‪ ،‬ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻯ‬
‫ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﻭﻃﻠﺒﺎﻥ ﺗﺎﺋﻴﺪ ﺻﻼﺣﻴﺖ‬ ‫ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻰ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺗﺎ ﻛﻨﻮﻥ ﻣﺸﺎﺭﻛﺖ‬
‫ﺷﺪﻩ‪ ،‬ﻓﻘﻬﺎﻳﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻉ‬
‫ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺑﻔﺮﺳﺘﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺪﺕ ﻫﺸﺖ ﺳﺎﻝ‬ ‫ﻣﺪﺍﺧﻠﻪ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻳﻤﻦ ﺍﺯ ﻟﺤﺎﻅ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‬
‫ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺎﺭﺕ ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮﺩ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺗﺎ ﻛﻨﻮﻥ ﻣﻮﻓﻘﻴﺖ ﺁﻧﭽﻨﺎﻧﻰ ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﻧﻴﺎﺯ ﺗﻌﻴﻴﻦ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺑﭙﺮﺩﺍﺯﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺷﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻛﻢ ﺗﺠﺮﺑﮕﻰ‬
‫ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺟﻨﺒﻪﻯ ﻧﻈﺎﺭﺗﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ‬
‫ﻣﺠﻠﺲﺩﺭﻫﻤﻪﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪﻧﻤﺎﻳﺸﻰ‬
‫ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ‬
‫ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺎﻧﻮﻥ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ‬
‫ﺗﻌﻴﻴﻦ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺑﻌﺪﻯ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‬
‫ﻭ ﻣﺴﺄﻟﻪﻯ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻈﺎﻡ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﺻﻔﺤﻪ ‪17‬‬