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‫ﺟﻤﻌﻪ ‪ 18‬ﺗﺎ ﭘﻨﺠﺸﻨﺒﻪ‪ 24‬ﺍﺭﺩﻳﺒﻬﺸﺖ ﻣﺎﻩ ‪1394‬ﺧﻮﺭﺷﻴﺪﻯ‬

‫ﺩﻣﻮﻛﺮﺍﺕﻫﺎ ﺑﺮﮔﻪﺍﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺭﺍ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﻛﻴﻬﺎﻥ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ‪:‬‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺳﺮﺍﺳﺮﻯ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺑﻌﺪ‬
‫ﺍﻭ ﺛﺒﺖ ﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﻃﻰ ﻣﺴﻴﺮﻯ ﻃﻮﻻﻧﻰ ﺳﺮﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﺑﺎ‬
‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯ ﺑﻼﻣﻨﺎﺯﻉ‬ ‫ﺧﺒﺮﻯ ﺧﻮﺵ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ‬
‫ﺩﻓﺘﺮ ﺷﻜﺴﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺰﺭگ ﻟﻴﺒﺮﺍﻝ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺭﺳﻴﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺑﻨﺎ ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﺩﻣﻮﻛﺮﺍﺕﻫﺎ ﺑﺎ ﻧﺎﻡ ﭼﺎﻟﺮﺯ ﻛﻨﺪﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺧﺖ ﻫﺎﻯ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺑﻴﻨﻰ ﻧﺸﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﺩﻳﻮﻳﺪ ﻛﺎﻣﺮﻭﻥ‪ :‬ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺑﻰ ﻧﻴﺎﺯ ﺍﺯ ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻑ‬ ‫ﺟﻬﺎﺕ ﮔﻮﻧﺎﮔﻮﻧﻰ ﺩﺍﺭﺍﻯ ﺍﻫﻤﻴﺖ ﺑﻮﺩ‪:‬‬
‫ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﻳﺎﺑﺪ‪ .‬ﺷﺨﺼﻴﺖ ﻛﻠﻴﺪﻯ‬
‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻛﻪ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﺑﻪ ‪ 30‬ﺳﺎﻝ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﻭ ﻣﻠﻰﮔﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ‬ ‫‪ (1‬ﺍﻭﻟﻴﻦ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ‬
‫ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺎﻩ ﻣﻄﻤﺌﻨﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‬ ‫ﺭﻓﺮﺍﻧﺪﻭﻡ ﺍﺳﺘﻘﻼﻝ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ‬
‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﻧﺘﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺍﺳﺘﻦ ﻣﻮﺝ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻫﻤﻴﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺑﺮﺳﻨﺪ«‪ .‬ﻧﻜﺘﻪﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺟﻚ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺣﻮﺯﻩﺍﻯ ﻫﻢﭼﻮﻥ ﻛﺴﺘﻞ ﭘﻮﻳﻨﺖ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫‪ (5‬ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ ﺷﻬﺮﺩﺍﺭﻯﻫﺎ‬
‫ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ ﻣﻠﻰﮔﺮﺍﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺩﺍﮔﻼﺱ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﻭﻭ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺍﻣﻮﺭ ﺧﺎﺭﺟﻪ ﻛﺎﺑﻴﻨﻪ ﺗﻮﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻥ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ‪ 80‬ﺭﺍﻯ )‪2/0‬‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻣﺎﻧﺪﻥ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩﻯ‬
‫ﺍﻟﻜﺴﺎﻧﺪﺭ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﺴﺖ ﻭ ﻣﺴﺌﻮﻝ‬ ‫ﺑﻠﺮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﺁﻥ ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﻭ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺩﺭﺻﺪ( ﺑﺪﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﻣﻤﻜﻦ ﺍﺯ ﺯﻣﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺩﻥ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ‪ 236‬ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺷﻨﺎﺧﺘﻪ‬
‫ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺖ ﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺳﺘﺎﺩ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪» :‬ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻧﻰ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺗﺎﺳﻴﺲ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺩﺭ ‪ 1859‬ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﺩﺭ ‪ 324‬ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﺷﻬﺮ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﺍﺯ ﺟﻬﺎﺕ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻭ ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ‬
‫ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺷﺎﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﻫﻢﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺍﻣﻮﺭ ﺧﺎﺭﺟﻪ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺳﺨﺘﻰ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺨﻰ ﺍﻫﻤﻴﺖ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻴﺎﻥ ﺷﻨﺎﺧﺘﻪﺗﺮ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﻧﺼﻴﺐ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﺑﻴﻨﻪ ﺳﺎﻳﻪ ﺟﺎﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺎﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﭘﺎﺭﻟﻤﺎﻧﻰ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺣﺰﺏ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ‬
‫ﺟﻮﺭﺝ ﮔﻠﻮﻭﻯ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﺗﻨﺪﺭﻭﻳﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﻠﻚ‪ ،‬ﺩﺍﻧﺸﺠﻮﻯ ‪ 20‬ﺳﺎﻟﻪﺍﻯ ﺩﺍﺩ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﻛﺮﺩ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﺧﻮﺍﺳﺖ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﻠﻰﮔﺮﺍﻯ‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ ﺧﻮﺩﺵ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2012‬ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺣﺎﻻ ﺟﻮﺍﻥﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻋﻀﻮ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺦ ﭘﺎﺭﻟﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺁﻥ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺸﺎﻧﻪ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﺍﻳﺴﺘﺎﺩﻧﺪ ﻭ ﺳﺮﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ‬
‫»ﺑﻬﺎﺭ ﺑﺮﺩﻓﻮﺭﺩ« ﻧﺎﻣﻴﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺣﺎﻻ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻓﻰ ﺩﺍﻧﺴﺘﻪ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺁﻥ ﺣﻤﻠﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﺑﺎ ﺭﺍﻯ ﻧﻪ ﭼﻨﺪﺍﻥ ﻣﺤﻜﻤﻰ‬
‫ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﻛﺎﻧﺪﻳﺪﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﻣﻰﺭﻭﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻛﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺷﻬﺮﺩﺍﺭﻯﻫﺎ ﻭ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺭﺍ ﺯﻧﺪﻩ ﻧﮕﺎﻩ‬
‫ﺟﻮﺍﻥ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﺭﺍ ﻣﺸﺎﻫﺪﻩ ﻛﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺟﻴﻢ ﻣﻮﺭﻓﻰ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺭﻟﻤﺎﻥ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ ﺍﺗﻔﺎﻕ ﺍﻓﺘﺎﺩ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﺯ ﻓﺮﺩﺍﻯ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺣﺰﺏ‬
‫)ﻧﻤﻮﺩﺍﺭ ﺷﻤﺎﺭﻩ ‪ 3‬ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﺁﺭﺍء ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻧﺘﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ‬ ‫ﺷﻬﺮﻭﻧﺪﺍﻥ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻠﻰﮔﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺍﺳﺘﻌﻔﺎﻯ‬
‫ﻋﻤﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﺩﺭ ‪ 70‬ﺳﺎﻝ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﻞ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ ﻛﺎﻧﺪﻳﺪﺍﻫﺎﻯ ﺣﺰﺏ‬ ‫ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﻰ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﻜﺲ ﺳﺎﻟﻤﻮﻧﺪ ﺍﺯ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺣﺰﺏ‪،‬‬
‫ﻣﻠﻰﮔﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﺷﺎﻧﺴﻰ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻟﺰﺍﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻳﻚ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﻣﻨﺤﺼﺮ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﻜﻮﻻ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﻭﺟﻦ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳﻤﺖ ﺭﺍ‬
‫ﺭﺍ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ(‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻭ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺎﻩ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﻋﻬﺪﻩ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ‪ .‬ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ‬
‫‪ 20‬ﺳﺎﻝ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺧﺘﻼﻑ‬ ‫ﻧﺸﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻫﻢﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﺑﺎ ﻓﺮﺻﺖ ﻛﺎﺭ‬
‫ﻧﺸﺎﻧﻪﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺩﺭﺱﻫﺎ‬ ‫‪ 4000‬ﺭﺍﻯ ﻭﺍﮔﺬﺍﺭ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻭ ﺣﺎﻻ ﺍﻭ ﻧﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﻛﻤﭙﻴﻨﻰ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﻓﺮﺍﻧﺪﻭﻡ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﺩﺭﺧﻮﺍﺳﺖ ﺍﺳﺘﻌﻔﺎ ﺍﺯ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺞ ﺷﮕﻔﺖﺍﻧﮕﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﻓﺮﺻﺖ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺨﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺣﺰﺏ‬
‫ﺑﺎﺯﺍﺭ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ )‪ (FTSE‬ﺑﺎ ﺭﺷﺪ ‪5/1‬‬ ‫ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺣﺰﺑﻰﺍﺵ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻣﻠﻰﮔﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﺩﺍﺩ ﺗﺎ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻧﺪ‬
‫ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺯ ﺟﻤﻌﻪ ﺑﻪ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺭﺍ‬
‫ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺧﻮﺵﺁﻣﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺎﻣﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2014‬ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﺩﺍﺭ ﺩﻭ‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ ﺑﻪ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺩﻳﻮﻳﺪ‬
‫ﮔﻔﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ ﺧﺒﺮﻫﺎﻯ ﺧﻮﺑﻰ‬ ‫ﺩﺳﺖ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻛﺎﻣﺮﻭﻥ ﺍﻭﻟﻴﻦ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻓﻰ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺑﺒﺮﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻫﻤﺴﺎﻳﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎﻳﻰ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺍﻛﺜﺮ ﻛﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺣﻮﺯﻩﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺟﻨﮓ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺩﻭﻡ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﻗﻊ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ‬
‫ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ‪ ،‬ﭼﺮﺍﻛﻪ ﺩﻳﻮﺩ ﻛﺎﻣﺮﻭﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻭﻟﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﺷﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺰﺭگﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺣﺰﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﻛﺜﺮﻳﺖ ﺁﺭﺍء ﺭﺍ ﭼﻨﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎ ﺗﻤﺎﻳﻠﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬
‫ﺳﺨﻨﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻳﺪﺍﺭ ﺑﺎ ﻣﻠﻜﻪ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﮔﺬﺍﺭ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺳﻤﺖ ﺍﺳﺘﻘﻼﻝ ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺷﺐ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺑﺰﺭگ ﺣﺰﺏ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎﻯ ﻛﺒﻴﺮ ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺘﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﻭ ﻗﺒﻮﻝ ﻣﺴﺌﻮﻟﻴﺖ ﺗﺸﻜﻴﻞ‬ ‫ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺎﻩ ﺍﺩ ﺑﺎﻝ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻛﺎﺑﻴﻨﻪ‬ ‫ﻟﻴﺒﺮﺍﻝ ﺩﻣﻮﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ‬
‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﻣﺠﺪﺩﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﻳﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺧﺘﻼﻑ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﺑﻪ ‪ 400‬ﺭﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﻧﺎﻳﺠﻞ ﻓﺎﺭﺍژ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺍﺳﺘﻘﻼﻝ ﺭﻓﺘﻪ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺎﻩ ﻗﺒﻠﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻧﻴﺎﺯﻣﻨﺪ ﻧﺒﺎﺷﺪ‪) .‬ﻧﻤﻮﺩﺍﺭ ﺷﻤﺎﺭﻩ ‪1‬‬ ‫ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻭﺭﻩ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ‬
‫ﺭﻓﺮﺍﻧﺪﻭﻡ ﻋﻀﻮﻳﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩﻳﻪ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻛﺎﻧﺪﻳﺪﺍ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ ﺩﺍﻧﺴﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﺁﺭﺍء ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ ﻋﻤﺪﻩ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﻗﺪ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﺭﻟﻤﺎﻥ ﺳﺮﺍﺳﺮﻯ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺗﺎﻛﻴﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ‪) .‬ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺁﮔﺎﻫﻰ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﺴﺎﺏ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﭘﺎﺭﻟﻤﺎﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﺷﮕﻔﺘﻰ ﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬
‫ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﻴﺪ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﻛﻴﻬﺎﻥ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻭﺭﻩ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ‬ ‫‪ 70‬ﺳﺎﻝ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ(‬ ‫‪ (2‬ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎﻯ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺣﺰﺑﻰ‬
‫ﺯﻳﺮ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎﻯ ﻛﺒﻴﺮ« ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﻧﻬﺎﻳﻰ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺑﺮ ﺧﻼﻑ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﺳﻨﺘﻰ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺩﻭ‬
‫ﺟﺴﺘﺠﻮﻯ ﻧﻘﺶ ﮔﻤﺸﺪﻩ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺑﻮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﻧﻈﺮﺳﻨﺠﻰﻫﺎ ﻛﻪ ﺭﻗﺎﺑﺖ ﺷﺎﻧﻪ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ ﻭ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﺗﻘﺴﻴﻢ‬
‫ﻭﻳﻨﺲ ﻛﻴﺒﻞ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺑﺎﺯﺭﮔﺎﻧﻰ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‬ ‫ﺷﺎﻧﻪ ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ ﺍﺻﻠﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﺩ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻟﻴﺒﺮﺍﻝ‬
‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﻌﻪ ﻓﺮﻣﺎﻳﻴﺪ(‬ ‫ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻓﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 1997‬ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﺧﺘﻼﻓﻰ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﺯﻳﺎﺩ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺭﺳﻴﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻮﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﺑﺎ ﻓﺮﺍﺯ ﻭ ﻧﺸﻴﺐ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺷﺮﻳﻚ‬
‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻟﻴﺒﺮﺍﻝ ﺩﻣﻮﻛﺮﺍﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﻳﻚ ﺑﺎﺯﻧﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻭﺭﻩ‬
‫ﺭﺍﻯ ﻫﺮ ﺷﻬﺮﻭﻧﺪ ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﭘﺎﺭﻟﻤﺎﻥ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ ﺟﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺖ ﻭ ‪ 3‬ﺣﺰﺏ ﺍﺯ ‪ 7‬ﺣﺰﺏ ﺍﺻﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﻫﻢﭼﻮﻥ ﺣﺰﺏ‬
‫ﺳﺮﻧﻮﺷﺖ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮﮔﺬﺍﺭ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺗﻴﺎﻧﺎ ﻣﺎﺗﻴﺎﺱ ﺍﺯ ﺣﺰﺏ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺴﺖ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺒﺰ ﻭ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺍﺳﺘﻘﻼﻝ ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ‬
‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﺍﻳﻠﻨﻴﮓ )ﺩﺭ ﻏﺮﺏ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ ﻭﺍﮔﺬﺍﺭ ﻛﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﻣﺎﺗﻴﺎﺱ‬ ‫ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻳﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ‬
‫ﻟﻨﺪﻥ( ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ‪ 274‬ﺭﺍﻯ ﻓﺮﺻﺖ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺳﺨﻨﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺞ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﻠﻰﮔﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﭼﻬﺮﻩ‬
‫ﺩﻭﺑﺎﺭﻩ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﺩﺍﺩ ﺿﻤﻦ ﺗﺸﻜﺮ ﺍﺯ ﻛﻴﺒﻞ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺍﺩ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﺒﻨﺪ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﺩﺍﺩ‪ .‬ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ‬
‫ﺩﻭﺭﻩ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﻰ ﺍﻭ ﺭﺍ ﻓﺮﺍﻣﻮﺵ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﺪﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ ﻛﻮﭼﻚ ﺟﺎﻳﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ‬
‫ﮔﺮﻓﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫‪ 1983‬ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻩ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻘﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﻧﺪﺍﺭﻧﺪ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻫﻤﻪ ﻧﻮﻳﺪ ﻳﻚ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ‬
‫ﺩﺭﺱ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﻧﻘﺶ‬ ‫ﻧﺸﺪﻧﻰ ﺗﻮﺻﻴﻒ ﻛﺮﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﺍﺳﺘﻌﻔﺎ ﺩﺍﺩ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﻋﻀﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺭﻧﮓ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺭﺍ‬
‫ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺩﺭ ﭘﻴﺸﺒﺮﺩ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺣﺰﺑﻰ‬ ‫ﺩﻧﻰ ﺍﻟﻜﺴﺎﻧﺪﺭ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺧﺰﺍﻧﻪﺩﺍﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺑﻖ ﻭ ﻛﻨﻮﻧﻰ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﻫﻢﭼﻮﻥ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ‬
‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻛﺎﺭﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﻥ ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻻﻳﻞ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻓﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻧﺘﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﻳﺪ ﺑﻼﻧﻜﺖ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻛﺎﺑﻴﻨﻪ ﺗﻮﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺷﺮﻛﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ‬
‫ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﺭﺍ ﺷﺨﺼﻴﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﻠﻰﮔﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﻠﺮ ﺻﺤﺒﺖ ﺍﺯ ﻟﺰﻭﻡ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸﺖ ﺣﺰﺏ‬
‫ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺍﺩ ﻣﻠﻴﺒﻨﺪ ﺩﺍﻧﺴﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﻫﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﺍﻳﺴﺘﺎﺩﮔﻰ ﻛﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺧﺘﻼﻑ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﺍﺯ ﭼﭗﺭﻭﻯ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﻗﻊ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺗﻘﺴﻴﻢ ﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﻃﻮﺭ ﻛﻪ ﺷﺨﺼﻴﺖ ﻧﻴﻜﻮﻻ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﻭﺟﻦ‬ ‫ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﺑﻪ ‪ 10‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﺭﺍﻯ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺎﻩ ﺧﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻣﻰﺭﺳﺪ ﺩﻭﺭﻩﺍﻯ‬
‫ﺭﺍ ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻋﻮﺍﻣﻞ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ ﻗﺎﻃﻊ‬ ‫ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﺍﺯ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ »ﺑﻠﺮﻳﺴﺖ«ﻫﺎ‬ ‫‪ (3‬ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺞ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﭘﺎﺭﻟﻤﺎﻥ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ‬
‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﻠﻰﮔﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺩﺍﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻛﺴﺐ ﺍﻛﺜﺮﻳﺖ ﺁﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ‬
‫ﻣﻮﺿﻮﻋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻳﻮﻳﺪ ﻛﺎﻣﺮﻭﻥ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﺩ ﺩﻭﺍﻯ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺍﻧﺮژﻯ ﻛﺎﺑﻴﻨﻪ ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻓﻰ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﺭﺍ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﺑﺎﺷﻴﻢ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺍﺳﺘﻘﻼﻝ ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ‬
‫ﺧﻮﺑﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻫﺪﺍﻳﺖ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺧﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 1997‬ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺯﻧﮓ ﻫﺸﺪﺍﺭ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ‬
‫ﺑﻬﺮﻩ ﺑﺮﺩﻩ ﻭ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻟﻴﺒﺮﺍﻝ ﺩﻣﻮﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺟﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﺰﺭگ )ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ ﻭ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ( ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺍﻭﻟﻴﻦ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻓﻰ ﺩﺭ ‪70‬‬ ‫ﺻﺪﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ‪ .‬ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻭﻟﻴﻦ ﺑﺎﺭ ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﺳﺎﻝ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺦ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺣﺎﻝ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺧﺘﻼﻑ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ‪3000‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸﺘﻨﺪ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺗﻔﺎﻕ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻧﺘﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﻚ ﻛﻠﮓ ﺭﻫﺒﺮ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻟﻴﺒﺮﺍﻝ‬ ‫ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺦ ﻣﻌﺎﺻﺮ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺣﺰﺑﻰ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ‬
‫ﺑﺎ ﺧﻴﺎﻟﻰ ﺭﺍﺣﺖ ﺩﻭﻟﺘﻰ ﻳﻜﺪﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺭﺍﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺎﻧﺪﻳﺪﺍﻯ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﻭ ﺍﻋﻀﺎﻯ ﺟﺪﺍ ﺷﺪﻩﺍﺵ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺭﻟﻤﺎﻥ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺭﺍﻩ ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﻛﻨﺪ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻮﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﻛﻪ ﺣﺰﺑﺶ ‪ 49‬ﺻﻨﺪﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ ﺩﻭﮔﺎﻧﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻳﻚ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬
‫ﺗﺸﻜﻴﻞ ﺩﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻭﺭﻩ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﮔﺬﺍﺭ ﻛﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﻭ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﻠﻰﮔﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﺭﺥ‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻭﻯ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ‪ 1‬ﺻﻨﺪﻟﻰ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺭﻟﻤﺎﻥ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ‪،‬‬ ‫ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺭﻭﺯ‬
‫ﺑﺎ ﻳﻚ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﻠﻰﮔﺮﺍﻯ ﻗﺪﺭﺗﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰﺍﺵ ﮔﻔﺖ‪» :‬ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺎ‬ ‫ﺗﺼﺎﺣﺐ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻧﺎﻣﺰﺩ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﺰﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺘﻌﻔﺎﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬
‫ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﻪ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ‬ ‫ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪ ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻑ ﺑﺎ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﻧﺪﺍﺩ«‪.‬‬ ‫ﭘﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻋﻀﻮ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻛﻠﮓ ﻛﻪ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺑﺎ ﺭﺍﻯ ﺗﺎﻛﺘﻴﻜﻰ ﺍﻋﻀﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺳﺮﺍﺳﺮﻯ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪.‬‬
‫ﻭﻋﺪﻩ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻣﻮﺭ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻫﺸﺪﺍﺭﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﻛﺮﺳﻰ ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺎﺭﻟﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺑﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺣﻴﻦ ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﺭﻟﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺨﺸﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩ‬
‫ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺣﺎﻻ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ‬ ‫ﭘﻴﺮﺍﻣﻮﻥ ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻑ ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﻭ‬ ‫ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺐ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺍﺳﺘﻘﻼﻝ ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ‬ ‫ﺭﺍﻩ ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ ﺭﺍﺳﺖ ﺍﻓﺮﺍﻃﻰ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﻨﺪ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺑﺎ ﺗﺎﻛﻴﺪ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺑﺎﺯﻫﻢ‬ ‫ﺑﻮﺩ‪ :‬ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪ ﻛﺎﺭ‪ ،331 :‬ﺣﺰﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﻋﺪﻡ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺍﺳﺘﻘﻼﻝ‬
‫ﺑﺮ ﻭﻋﺪﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﭘﻴﺸﻴﻦ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺗﺎﻛﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺑﺎ ﺣﺰﺑﻰ ﻫﻢﭼﻮﻥ‬
‫ﺟﺒﻬﻪ ﻣﻠﻰ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ‬
‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺗﻤﺎﻳﻠﻰ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ‬
‫ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻳﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻧﻰﻫﺎ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻳﻜﻰ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﻭ‬
‫ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﺍﺳﺖ ﺍﻓﺮﺍﻃﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﻠﻨﺪﻣﺪﺕ ﻭ ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ‬
‫ﻭ ﺿﺪ ﻣﻬﺎﺟﺮ ﻫﻢﭼﻮﻥ ﺍﺳﺘﻘﻼﻝ‬
‫ﭘﺎﺩﺷﺎﻫﻰ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﺑﻪ ‪4‬‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻧﺪﮔﺎﺭ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩﻩ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﺭﺍﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻧﺪ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ‬
‫ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺘﻨﺪ ‪ 1‬ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﺭﺍ ﺭﺍﻫﻰ ﭘﺎﺭﻟﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫‪ (4‬ﻧﻈﺮﺳﻨﺠﻰﻫﺎ‬
‫ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺞ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﻧﻈﺮﺳﻨﺠﻰﻫﺎ ﻳﻚ‬
‫ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺭﻗﺎﺑﺖ ﺷﺎﻧﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺷﺎﻧﻪ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺩﻭ ﺣﺰﺏ‬
‫ﻭ ﻧﻜﺘﻪ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬
‫ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺷﺪﻥ ﻧﻘﺶ ﺯﻧﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻧﻈﺎﻡ‬
‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻝ‬

‫ﻧﻤﻮﺩﺍﺭﭼﻬﺎﺭ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﺩﺍﺭ ﺳﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﺩﺍﺭ ﻳﻚ‬

‫ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺳﻪ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﻠﻰﮔﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﻣﻠﻰﮔﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ‪ ،232:‬ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﻠﻰ ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ‪:‬‬ ‫ﻣﻠﺤﻖ ﮔﺸﺖ‪ .‬ﻓﺎﺭﺍژ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺼﺎﺣﺒﻪﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻛﻠﻴﺪﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺟﻤﻠﻪ ﻭﺯﺭﺍﻯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻓﻰ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ ﻭ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﺩ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﺳﻜﺎﺗﻠﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻣﻠﻰ ﮔﺮﺍﻯ ﻭﻟﺰ ﻭ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺳﺒﺰ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭﺍﻥ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺧﻮﺭﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ«‪.‬‬ ‫‪ ،56‬ﺣﺰﺏ ﻟﻴﺒﺮﺍﻝ ﺩﻣﻮﻛﺮﺍﺕ‪ ،8 :‬ﺣﺰﺏ‬ ‫ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺍﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﻭ ﺑﺎ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ ﻗﺎﻃﻊ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻜﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻧﻈﺮﺳﻨﺠﻰﻫﺎ ﻫﺮ‬
‫ﺭﺍ ﺯﻧﺎﻥ ﺑﺮﻋﻬﺪﻩ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻳﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‬ ‫ﺳﻤﻴﻮﻥ ﻫﺎﮔﺰ ﻛﻪ ﭘﻴﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻭﺣﺪﺕﮔﺮﺍﻯ ﺩﻣﻮﻛﺮﺍﺗﻴﻚ )ﺍﻳﺮﻟﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﺩﺍﺩ ﺑﺎ ﺗﺎﻛﻴﺪ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ »ﺣﺰﺏ‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎﺭ ﺟﺎﻳﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‬ ‫ﺗﻚ ﺭﺍﻯ ﺷﻬﺮﻭﻧﺪﺍﻥ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬
‫ﺗﻌﺪﺍﺩ ﺯﻧﺎﻥ ﻣﻨﺘﺨﺐ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺩﻭ ﺑﺎﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻟﻴﺒﺮﺍﻝ‬ ‫ﺷﻤﺎﻟﻰ(‪ ،8:‬ﻭ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺍﺳﺘﻘﻼﻝ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ‪:‬‬ ‫ﺍﻭ ﺑﺎ ‪ 4‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﺭﺍﻯ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ‪ 1‬ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻛﺎﺑﻴﻨﻪ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﺣﺰﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ ﺭﻧﮕﺎﺭﻧﮓ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻫﻤﻴﺖ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ‬
‫ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﻛﻢ )‪ 6‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ( ﺍﻣﺎ‬ ‫ﺩﻣﻮﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻭ ﺳﻴﺴﺘﻢ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ‬ ‫ﻟﻴﺒﺮﺍﻝ ﺩﻣﻮﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﺩﺭ ﺗﻌﺪﺍﺩ ﺯﻳﺎﺩﻯ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭ ﻣﻰﻛﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻳﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‬
‫ﺁﻧﻘﺪﺭ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﻳﺎﻓﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺗﺎ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻥ‬ ‫‪ 32‬ﺳﺎﻝ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﻰ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺎﺭﻟﻤﺎﻥ‬ ‫‪ 1‬ﻛﺮﺳﻰ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﻛﻨﺪ« ﺍﺿﺎﻓﻪ ﻛﺮﺩ‪» :‬ﺭﻭﺯ‬ ‫ﺣﻮﺯﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﻧﺘﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺣﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﻫﺮ ﺩﻭ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻋﻤﺪﻩ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺮﺍﻍ‬
‫ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻭﺍﺭ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﺳﻨﺘﻰ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ‪ ،‬ﭘﻨﺞﺷﻨﺒﻪ ﺷﺐ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺎﻩ‬ ‫ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻦ ﮔﻔﺘﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫‪ 5‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻉ ﺁﺭﺍء ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﻛﻤﭙﻴﻦ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺑﺎﺭﺍﻙ ﺍﻭﺑﺎﻣﺎ ﺭﻓﺘﻨﺪ‬
‫ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮﻯ ﺟﻨﺴﻴﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺎﻧﺪﻳﺪﺍﻯ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ‬ ‫ﺷﻜﺴﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺰﺭگ‬ ‫ﻣﺎ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺷﻤﺎ ﺭﺍ ﻗﺒﻮﻝ ﺩﺍﺭﻳﻢ ﺍﻣﺎ‬ ‫ﺁﻭﺭﺩ ﻭ ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻥ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺗﺎ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺠﺮﺑﻪ ﻣﻮﻓﻖ ﺁﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻔﻊ ﺧﻮﺩ‬
‫ﺩﺍﺩ ﺗﺎ ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻋﻪ ﺷﻜﺴﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻟﻴﺒﺮﺍﻝ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﻴﻢ ﺍﺟﺎﺯﻩ ﺩﻫﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺋﺘﻼﻑ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﻌﺎﻧﻪ ‪ 500‬ﭘﻮﻧﺪﻯ ﻛﺎﻧﺪﻳﺪﺍﻫﺎﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ‬
‫ﮔﺎﻡ ﺑﺮﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺣﺰﺏ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮ ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﺻﻨﺪﻟﻰﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬

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