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‫ﺻﻔﺤﻪ ‪ 11‬ـ ‪ Page 11‬ـ ﺷﻤﺎﺭﻩ ‪40‬‬                                                                                         ‫ﺳﺎﻝ‪2015‬ﻭﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰﺷﺪﻥﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥﭘﻨﺎﻩﺟﻮﺋﻰﻭﻣﻬﺎﺟﺮﺕ‬
‫ﺟﻤﻌﻪ ‪ 1‬ﺗﺎ ﭘﻨﺠﺸﻨﺒﻪ ‪ 7‬ژﺍﻧﻮﻳﻪ ‪2016‬‬

        ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ‪...‬‬

‫ﺗﻮﺍﻡ ﺑﺎ ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪ ﺩﺍﺩ ﺗﺎ ﺟﺎﻳﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ‬  ‫ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻓﺮﻭﺵ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻧﺒﺎﺭﺷﺪﻩ ﺩﺭ‬         ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻟﺖ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ‬         ‫ﻛﻪ ‪ 22‬ﺩﺳﺎﻣﺒﺮ ﻣﻨﺘﺸﺮ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺭﻗﺎﻣﻰ‬      ‫ﺑﺎ ﻫﺪﻑ ﺗﻘﻮﻳﺖ ﻳﻚ ﺟﻨﺎﺡ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ‬        ‫ﺣﻨﻴﻒ ﺣﻴﺪﺭﻧﮋﺍﺩ‪ -‬ﺳﺎﻝ ‪2015‬‬
‫ﺍﻓﺖ ﻗﻴﻤﺖ ﺳﻬﺎﻡ ﺷﺮﻛﺖﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ‬           ‫ﭘﺎﺭﻛﻴﻨﮓ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭﺳﺎﺯﺍﻥ ﺍﺧﺘﺼﺎﺹ ﺩﺍﺩ‬           ‫ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎﻥ ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺳﭙﺮﻯ‬          ‫ﻣﺮﺑﻮﻁ ﺑﻪ ﻛﻞ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2015‬ﺭﺍ ﺍﻧﺘﺸﺎﺭ‬      ‫ﺟﻨﺎﺡ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺐ‬     ‫ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻟﻰ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺭﺳﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ‬
‫ﺯﻳﺎﻥ ﺳﻬﺎﻣﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ‪ ،‬ﺭﻭﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺗﻠﺨﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬        ‫ﻭ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ ﺗﺴﻬﻴﻼﺕ ﺧﺮﻳﺪ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭ ﺗﻼﺵ‬        ‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﺑﺮﺟﺎﻡ ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﺑﺴﺘﻪﻫﺎﻯ‬        ‫ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻣﻄﺎﺑﻖ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ‬           ‫ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2015‬ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮﺩ ﻧﺎﻛﺎﺭﺁﻣﺪ‬        ‫ﻫﺮ ‪ 122‬ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻥ ﺑﺮ ﺭﻭﻯ ﻛﺮﻩ ﺯﻣﻴﻦ‬
‫ﺳﻬﺎﻣﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﻗﻢ ﺯﺩ‪.‬ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻟﻰ ﻛﻪ‬         ‫ﺩﺍﺷﺖ ﺑﺎﺯﺍﺭ ﺍﺗﻮﻣﺒﻴﻞ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻚ‬     ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺣﺴﻦ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺗﺎ‬           ‫ﺗﺎ ﺩﺳﺎﻣﺒﺮ ‪972٫500 2015‬‬              ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﻤﺪﺍﺭﺍﻧﻰ ﺷﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻓﺎﻗﺪ ﺩﻭﺭﻧﮕﺮﻯ‬      ‫ﻳﻚ ﻧﻔﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻻﻳﻞ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺤﻞ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﻣﺎﻩ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﻧﮕﺎﻩ ﺳﻬﺎﻣﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ‬          ‫ﺗﻘﺎﺿﺎ ﺍﺯ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﻛﻨﺪ؛ ﺍﻣﺎ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵﻫﺎ‬     ‫ﻛﻨﻮﻥ ﺍﺛﺮﻯ ﺑﺮ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﺯ‬    ‫ﻧﻔﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺭﻳﺎﻯ ﻣﺪﻳﺘﺮﺍﻧﻪ ﻋﺒﻮﺭ ﻭ ﺩﺭ‬     ‫ﻻﺯﻡ ﻭ ﻗﺎﻃﻌﻴﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢﮔﻴﺮﻯ‬            ‫ﺯﻧﺪﮔﻰﺍﺵ ﻓﺮﺍﺭ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﻳﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻧﻘﻄﻪ‬
‫ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﺟﻠﺴﻪ ﻧﺸﺴﺖ ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﺣﻜﺎﻡ‬            ‫ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﻗﻒ ﻧﺎﻡﻧﻮﻳﺴﻰﻫﺎ‪،‬‬          ‫ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻡ ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖﺭﻛﻮﺩ‬      ‫ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﭘﻨﺎﻫﻨﺪﮔﻰ ﺑﻮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪.‬‬    ‫ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﻭ ﺣﺎﺻﻞ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻫﻤﻪ‪:‬‬         ‫ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﺵ ﻣﺤﻞ ﺍﻣﻨﻰ ﺭﺍ‬
‫ﺁژﺍﻧﺲ ﺑﻴﻦﺍﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺧﺼﻮﺹ ﭘﺮﻭﻧﺪﻩ‬          ‫ﺩﻭﺑﺎﺭﻩ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺑﻪ ﻓﺮﻭﺵ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭﺳﺎﺯﺍﻥ‬          ‫ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺁﻧﻘﺪﺭ ﭘﺎ ﺑﺮﺟﺎﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎﻧﻚ‬     ‫‪ 800٫000‬ﻧﻔﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ ﺑﺎ ﻋﺒﻮﺭ‬    ‫ﻣﺮگ ﻭ ﻛﺸﺘﻪ ﺷﺪﻥ ﺻﺪﻫﺎ ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻥ‪،‬‬      ‫ﺟﺴﺘﺠﻮ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺴﺘﺠﻮﻯ‬
‫ﻫﺴﺘﻪﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ‬          ‫ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸﺖ‪.‬ﻓﺮﻭﺵ ﻗﺴﻄﻰ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭﺳﺎﺯﺍﻥ‬             ‫ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺩﺭ ﺁﺧﺮﻳﻦ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﺧﻮﺩ‬         ‫ﺍﺯ ﻣﺴﻴﺮﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﺑﻰ ﻛﻮﺗﺎﻩ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ‬      ‫ﻭﻳﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺷﻬﺮﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺯﻳﺮﺳﺎﺧﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ‪،‬‬      ‫ﭘﻨﺎﻫﻨﺪﮔﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻘﻄﻪ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺟﻬﺎﻥ‬
‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﺸﺴﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺭﺍﺳﺘﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺷﺪﻥ‬           ‫ﺑﺎﻋﺚ ﺷﺪ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻠﻪﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﻛﻪ‬              ‫ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺳﺎﻳﻪ ﺍﻧﺪﺍﺧﺘﻪ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‬    ‫ﺍﺯ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻮﻧﺎﻥ ﺭﺳﺎﻧﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﺯ ﻫﺮ‬  ‫ﺁﻭﺍﺭﮔﻰ‪ ،‬ﻣﻬﺎﺟﺮﺕ ﻭ ﻓﺮﺍﺭ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥﻫﺎ‬
‫ﻓﺼﻞ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﭘﺮﻭﻧﺪﻩ ﺍﺗﻤﻰ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻣﻴﺪ‪،‬‬          ‫ﺑﺎﺑﺖ ﺧﺮﻳﺪ ﻭ ﻓﺮﻭﺵ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺎﺯﺍﺭ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ‬          ‫ﺭﺍ ﺗﺎﻳﻴﺪ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﺎﻧﻚ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﺩﺭ‬     ‫ﺩﻭ ﻧﻔﺮﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭﻳﺎﻯ ﻣﺪﻳﺘﺮﺍﻧﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺭﺩ‬     ‫ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻥ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻟﻴﺴﺖ ﻛﻪ‬                ‫ﻧﻘﻞ ﻣﻜﺎﻥ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬
‫ﺍﻣﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺧﺒﺮ ﻣﻬﻢ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻧﺘﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮ‬       ‫ﻣﻰﮔﺮﻓﺖ‪ ،‬ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻒ ﺷﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ‬            ‫ﺟﺪﻳﺪﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﺧﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺮﺑﻮﻁ ﺑﻪ‬       ‫ﻛﺮﺩﻩ‪ ،‬ﻳﻚ ﻧﻔﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ‪ 20 ،‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ‬     ‫ﻛﺎﻧﻮﻥﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﻣﺜﻞ ﻟﻴﺒﻰ‪،‬‬      ‫ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺷﺶ ﻣﺎﻩ ﺍﻭﻝ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪2015‬‬
‫ﺷﮕﻔﺖﺍﻧﮕﻴﺰﻯ ﺑﺮ ﺭﻭﻧﺪ ﺣﺮﻛﺖ ﺑﻮﺭﺱ‬            ‫ﻣﺸﺘﺮﻳﺎﻥ ﺑﺎﺯﺍﺭ ﻣﻨﺘﻈﺮﻧﺪ ﺩﻭﺑﺎﺭﻩ ﻃﺮﺣﻰ‬       ‫ﺷﺎﺧﺺﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﻤﺪﻩ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺳﻪ ﻣﺎﻫﻪ‬         ‫ﺍﻓﻐﺎﻥ ﻭ ‪ 7‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﺁﻥ ﺍﺯ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ‬      ‫ﺳﻮﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﻭ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺵ‬         ‫ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﺭﻭﺯ ‪ 4٫600‬ﻧﻔﺮ ﺍﺯ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺧﻮﺩ‬
‫ﺑﮕﺬﺍﺭﺩ ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﺭﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻧﺘﺸﺎﺭ‬         ‫ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ ﺗﺴﻬﻴﻼﺕ ‪ 25‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ‬           ‫ﺍﻭﻝ ﺳﺎﻝ‪) 94‬ﻣﺮﺑﻮﻁ ﺑﻪ ﻓﺼﻞ ﺑﻬﺎﺭ( ﺑﻮﺩ‬    ‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ 34٫000 .‬ﻧﻔﺮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﺯ ﻃﺮﻳﻖ‬                                              ‫ﻓﺮﺍﺭ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺗﺼﺎﻭﻳﺮ ﻣﻨﺘﺸﺮ ﺷﺪﻩ‬
‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺧﺒﺮ‪ ،‬ﺑﻮﺭﺱ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ﺳﻴﺮ ﻧﺰﻭﻟﻰ ﺩﺭ‬        ‫ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﺍﺟﺮﺍ ﺷﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ‬     ‫ﻫﻴﭻ ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩﺍﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺮﺥ ﺭﺷﺪ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺳﻪ‬    ‫ﻣﺮﺯ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻠﻐﺎﺭﺳﺘﺎﻥ‬            ‫ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻡﮔﺮﺍﻫﺎ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﺷﻨﺪ‪.‬‬     ‫ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2015‬ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ ﻛﻪ‬
                                        ‫ﺧﺮﻳﺪ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻡ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻃﺒﻖ ﺁﺧﺮﻳﻦ‬                                             ‫ﺭﻓﺘﻪ ﺗﺎ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻧﺠﺎ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻘﺎﺻﺪﻯ‬    ‫ﻧﮕﺎﻫﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺑﻌﺎﺩ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ ﭘﻨﺎﻩﺟﻮﺋﻰ‬        ‫ﭘﻨﺎﻩﺟﻮﺋﻰ ﺷﻜﻞ ﮔﺮﻭﻫﻰ ﻭ ﻫﻤﮕﺎﻧﻰ‬
                    ‫ﭘﻴﺶ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ‪.‬‬           ‫ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﻭﺯﺍﺭﺕ ﺻﻨﻌﺖ‪ ،‬ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭ‬           ‫ﻣﺎﻫﻪ ﺍﺑﺘﺪﺍﻯ ﺍﻣﺴﺎﻝ ﻧﺸﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬     ‫ﺩﺭ ﻏﺮﺏ ﻭ ﺷﻤﺎﻝ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ ﺑﺮﺳﺎﻧﻨﺪ‪.‬‬        ‫ﺩﺭ ﺟﻬﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺯﺑﺎﻥ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﻭ ﺍﺭﻗﺎﻡ‪ .‬ﺁﻣﺎﺭ‬   ‫ﺑﻪ ﺧﻮﺩ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﻭ ﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺩﻩﻫﺎ‪،‬‬
‫ﻳﻜﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻭﺍﺭﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ‬            ‫ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻃﻰ ﺁﺑﺎﻥ ﺍﻣﺴﺎﻝ ‪ 55‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻭ‬         ‫ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﺑﺎﻧﻚ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﺩﺭ‬          ‫ﻣﻬﺎﺟﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺷﻤﺎﻝ ﺁﻓﺮﻳﻘﺎ ﺧﻮﺩ‬      ‫ﻭ ﺍﺭﻗﺎﻣﻰ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺸﺖ ﻫﺮ ﻋﺪ ِﺩ ﺁﻥ‪،‬‬         ‫ﺯﻧﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻛﻮﺩﻛﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﺭ ﭼﺸﻢﮔﻴﺮﻯ‬
‫ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﺗﻮﺍﻓﻖ ﻫﺴﺘﻪﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﺎ ﻏﺮﺏ‬         ‫‪ 493‬ﺩﺳﺘﮕﺎﻩ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﻛﻪ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺁﺑﺎﻥ ‪93‬‬      ‫ﺳﻪ ﻣﺎﻫﻪ ﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻣﺴﺎﻝ ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ ﺻﺎﺩﺭﺍﺕ‬       ‫ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ ﺭﺳﺎﻧﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﻧﻴﺰ ‪150٫000‬‬   ‫ﺳﺮﻧﻮﺷﺖ ﻳﻚ ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻳﻚ ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺩﻩ‬         ‫ﺑﺎﻻ ﺭﻓﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻣﻬﺎﺟﺮﺕ ﻭ ﭘﻨﺎﻩﺟﻮﺋﻰ‬
‫ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﻣﺴﺎﻟﻪﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻭ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‬             ‫ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ‪ 42/3‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ‪.‬‬          ‫ﻧﻔﺖ )ﻧﻔﺖ ﺧﺎﻡ ﻭ ﺧﺎﻟﺺ ﺻﺎﺩﺭﺍﺕ‬                                                                                    ‫ﺩﺭ ﻫﻢ ﺗﻨﻴﺪﻩ ﺷﺪﻩ ﻭ ﻣﺮﺩﻣﻰﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﻫﻤﻪ ﻣﺸﻜﻼﺕ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ‬          ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻓﺖ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﻧﺸﺎﻥﺩﻫﻨﺪﻩ ﺗﺸﺪﻳﺪ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ‬      ‫ﻓﺮﺁﻭﺭﺩﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻔﺘﻰ( ﺑﺎ ‪ 0.4‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ‬                                                                 ‫ﺧﻮﺍﺑﻴﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪:‬‬
‫ﺁﻥ ﻣﺮﺗﺒﻂ ﻣﻰﻛﺮﺩ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺟﺎﺭﻯ‬           ‫ﺩﺭ ﺻﻨﻌﺖ ﺧﻮﺩﺭﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺎﻫﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺍﺳﺖ‬        ‫ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻭ ‪ 422‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ‬
‫ﺑﻮﺩﻥ ﺭﻭﻧﺪ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﻫﺴﺘﻪﺍﻯ‪ ،‬ﭘﻴﺪﺍ‬                                                  ‫ﺑﺸﻜﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺯ ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﺿﻤﻦ‬           ‫ﻧﻔﺮ ﺑﻮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ‪ 20٫000‬ﻧﻔﺮ ﻛﻤﺘﺮ‬      ‫ﻛﻤﻴﺴﺎﺭﻳﺎﻯ ﻋﺎﻟﻰ ﺍﻣﻮﺭ ﭘﻨﺎﻫﻨﺪﮔﻰ‬                            ‫‪©Reuters‬‬
                                        ‫ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﻣﺎﻩ‪ ،‬ﺗﺰﺭﻳﻖ ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﺑﺎ‬     ‫ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺪﺕ ﺑﺎ‬  ‫ﺍﺯ ﺳﺎﻝ ﻗﺒﻞﺗﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻛﻤﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺁﻣﺎ ِﺭ‬     ‫ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻣﻠﻞ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺩﺭ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺷﻰ ﻛﻪ‬
‫ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﺭﺍﻫﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﻣﻮﺛﺮ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﻞ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ‬                ‫ﻫﺪﻑ ﺭﻓﻊ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ‪.‬‬          ‫ﺭﺷﺪ ‪ 2.6‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ ﺑﻪ ‪ 3‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻭ ‪93‬‬       ‫ﻣﺎﻫﻴﺎﻧﻪﻯ ﺛﺒﺖ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﻋﺒﻮﺭ‬       ‫‪ 18‬ﺩﺳﺎﻣﺒﺮ ‪ 2015‬ﻣﻨﺘﺸﺮ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪،‬‬       ‫ﺣﺎﻝ ﻓﺮﺍﺭ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﺍﺯ ﻗﺎﺭﻩﺍﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻗﺎﺭﻩ‬
‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻓﺮﺍﻣﻮﺷﻰ ﺳﭙﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ‪.‬‬                                                ‫ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﺑﺸﻜﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺯ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﻳﺎﻓﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬   ‫ﺍﺯ ﺩﺭﻳﺎﻯ ﻣﺪﻳﺘﺮﺍﻧﻪ ﻣﺮﺑﻮﻁ ﺑﻪ ژﺍﻧﻮﻳﻪ‬   ‫ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ ﭘﻨﺎﻩﺟﻮﻳﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺷﺶ ﻣﺎﻩ‬                  ‫ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻛﻮچ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬
‫ﺣﺴﻦ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﺨﺴﺖ‬            ‫ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻳﺎﺩﺁﻭﺭﻯ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻤﺰﻣﺎﻥ ﺑﺎ‬           ‫ﺩﺭ ﺑﺨﺶ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺎﺯﻩﺗﺮﻳﻦ‬             ‫‪ 2015‬ﺍﺳﺖ‪ 5٫500 2015 :‬ﻧﻔﺮ‪.‬‬           ‫ﺍﻭﻝ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2015‬ﻣﻰﻧﻮﻳﺴﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻟﻰ‬
‫ﺭﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ‬              ‫ﺭﻭﻧﻤﺎﻳﻰ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻳﺎﺯﺩﻫﻢ ﺍﺯ ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ‬        ‫ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﺑﺎﻧﻚ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻮﺍﺯ ﺗﺎﺳﻴﺲ‬       ‫ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺁﻣﺎﺭ‪ ،‬ﻣﺮﺑﻮﻁ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺎﻩ ﺍﻛﺘﺒﺮ‬    ‫ﻛﻪ ﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﺁﻭﺍﺭﮔﺎﻥ ﻭ ﭘﻨﺎﻩﺟﻮﻳﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ‬       ‫ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2015‬ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ‬
‫»ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻫﻢ ﭼﺮﺥ ﺳﺎﻧﺘﺮﻳﻔﻴﻮژ ﺑﭽﺮﺧﺪ ﻭ‬         ‫ﺍﺯ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﺩﺍﻧﺎﻥ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ‬    ‫ﻭﺍﺣﺪﻫﺎﻯ ﺻﻨﻌﺘﻰ ﺍﺷﺎﺭﻩ ﻭ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ‬           ‫‪ 2015‬ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ 221٫000 :‬ﻧﻔﺮ‪.‬‬         ‫ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 19٫5 2104‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻧﻔﺮ‬        ‫ﺩﺍﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺭﺍﺩﻩ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻻﺯﻡ ﺩﺭ ﺑﻴﻦ‬
‫ﻫﻢ ﭼﺮﺥ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ«‪ ،‬ﺑﺎ ﮔﺬﺷﺖ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ‬          ‫ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﺑﺎﺯﺍﺭ ﻭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺭﺍ ﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻰ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ‬     ‫ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﮔﺬﺍﺭﻯ‬         ‫ﻣﻄﺎﺑﻖ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﺣﺪﻭﺩﺍ ‪4000‬‬          ‫ﺑﻮﺩﻩ‪ ،‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﻗﻢ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺩﺭ ﺷﺶ ﻣﺎﻩ ﺍﻭﻝ‬      ‫ﻗﺪﺭﺕﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﻞ ﻭ‬
‫‪ 850‬ﺭﻭﺯ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﺭﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ‬           ‫ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ ﺍﺑﻮﺍﻟﻘﺎﺳﻢ ﺣﻜﻴﻤﻰﭘﻮﺭ‪،‬‬   ‫ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﻫﺎﻯ ﺻﻨﻌﺘﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻓﺼﻞ ﺑﻬﺎﺭ‬         ‫ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻥ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻨﮕﺎﻡ ﻋﺒﻮﺭ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺭﻳﺎ‬     ‫ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 20٫2 2015‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻧﻔﺮ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ‬        ‫ﻓﺼﻞ ﻣﻨﺎﺯﻋﺎﺕ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﻭ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ‬
‫ﺧﻮﺩ ﻧﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﻧﺘﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﭼﺮﺥ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺭﺍ‬       ‫ﻋﻀﻮ ﻫﻴﺌﺖ ﻋﻠﻤﻰ ﺩﺍﻧﺸﮕﺎﻩ ﻋﻼﻣﻪ ﺑﺴﺘﻪ‬         ‫ﺍﻣﺴﺎﻝ ﺑﻪ ‪ 198‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﺎﺭﺩ ﺭﻳﺎﻝ‬       ‫ﻏﺮﻕ ﺷﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺟﺎﻥ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ‬         ‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﭘﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ‪ ،‬ﺣﺪﺍﻛﺜﺮ ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ‬        ‫ﺩﺍﺩﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻨﮓﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻴﺎﺑﺘﻰ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ‬
‫ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺗﻮﺭﻣﻰ ﺑﻪ ﭼﺮﺧﺶ‬         ‫ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺍﺭﺯﻳﺎﺑﻰ ﻭ ﺗﻮﺭﻡ‬    ‫ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ‪23.7‬‬                                                ‫ﭘﻨﺎﻩﺟﻮﻳﺎﻥ ﺛﺒﺖ ﺷﺪﻩ‪ ،‬ﻣﺮﺑﻮﻁ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺎﻝ‬      ‫ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ‪ .‬ﻳﺎ ﺷﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﮔﻔﺖ‪ ،‬ﻣﻨﺎﺯﻋﺎﺕ‬
‫ﺑﻴﺎﻧﺪﺍﺯﺩ ﺑﻠﻜﻪ ﭼﺮﺥ ﺳﺎﻧﺘﺮﻳﻔﻴﻮژﻫﺎ ﻧﻴﺰ‬      ‫‪ 60‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ ﺩﺭ ﭘﻴﺎﻣﺪ ﺁﻥ ﺭﺍ ﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻰ‬         ‫ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺪﺕ ﻣﺸﺎﺑﻪ ﺳﺎﻝ‬                                  ‫ﺩﺍﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪.‬‬                                         ‫ﻭ ﺟﻨﮓﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻮﺟﻮﺩ ﺑﻪ ﻭﻳﮋﻩ ﺩﺭ‬
‫ﺍﺯ ﺣﺮﻛﺖ ﺑﺎﺯ ﺍﻳﺴﺘﺎﺩ‪ .‬ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﺷﻚ‬             ‫ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺣﺎﻻ ﻣﻰﺑﻴﻨﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ‬                                             ‫ﺑﺪﻳﻦ ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺐ ﻣﺸﺎﻫﺪﻩ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ‬                 ‫‪ 1992‬ﺑﻮﺩ )‪ 20‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻧﻔﺮ(‪.‬‬     ‫ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‪ ،‬ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻭ ﺍﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ ﻳﻚ‬
‫ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﭘﺴﺎﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢ ﻓﺮﺻﺘﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺑﻬﺒﻮﺩ‬         ‫ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺩﺭﺑﺎﺭﻩ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﻧﺮﺥ‬                        ‫ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺣﻜﺎﻳﺖ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪.‬‬       ‫ﻓﺮﺍﺭ‪ ،‬ﻣﻬﺎﺟﺮﺕ ﻭ ﺣﺮﻛﺖ ﭘﻨﺎﻩﺟﻮﻳﺎﻥ‬       ‫ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﺩﺭﺧﻮﺍﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ‬         ‫ﺳﻮ ﺣﺎﺻﻞ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﻠﻂ ﻭ‬
‫ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ‬            ‫ﺗﻮﺭﻡ ﻭ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﺮﺥ ﺩﺭ ﺁﺳﺘﺎﻧﻪ ﺗﻚ‬  ‫ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﺟﻮﺍﺯ ﺗﺎﺳﻴﺲ ﻭﺍﺣﺪﻫﺎﻯ‬            ‫ﺑﻪ ﺳﻤﺖ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ‪ ،‬ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻧﻰ‬         ‫ﭘﻨﺎﻫﻨﺪﮔﻰ ﺛﺒﺖ ﺷﺪﻩ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺩﺭ ﻧﻴﻤﻪ‬         ‫ﻧﺎﻛﺎﺭﺁﻣﺪﻯ ﻣﺪﻳﺮﻳﺘﻰ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﻤﺪﺭﺍﻥ‬
‫ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﺩﺍﻧﺎﻥ‬          ‫ﺭﻗﻤﻰ ﺷﺪﻥ‪ ،‬ﺍﻣﺎ ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻛﻢﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪ‬         ‫ﺻﻨﻌﺘﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺪﺕ ﺑﺎ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ‪6.4‬‬         ‫ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻧﻮﺳﺎﻥﻫﺎﻯ‬             ‫ﺍﻭﻝ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 993٫600 2105‬ﻣﻮﺭﺩ‬            ‫ﻭ ﺭﻫﺒﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪﻩ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ‪ ،‬ﻭ‬
‫ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺍﺳﺘﻔﺎﺩﻩ ﺩﺭﺳﺖ ﻭ ﻛﺎﺭﺁﻣﺪ‬           ‫ﻫﻢﭼﻨﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺍﺻﻼ‬            ‫ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ ﺑﻪ ‪ 3‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻭ ‪ 225‬ﻓﻘﺮﻩ‬           ‫ﻛ ّﻤﻰ‪ ،‬ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎﻥ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﻭ ﺩﺭ‬      ‫ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﻛﻪ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻛﻞ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪2014‬‬          ‫ﻫﻢﭘﻴﻤﺎﻧﺎﻥ ﻏﺮﺑﻰﺍﺵ ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‬
‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺭﻭﺣﺎﻧﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻓﺮﺻﺖ ﺩﭼﺎﺭ‬            ‫ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺍﺣﺴﺎﺳﻰ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﻧﺪ ﻭ ﻗﻴﻤﺖ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ‬          ‫ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻪ‬         ‫ﭼﺸﻢﺍﻧﺪﺍﺯ ﻛﻮﺗﺎﻩ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﻗﻄﻌﻰ ﺑﺮ ﺁﻥ‬                                          ‫ﺣﺎﺻﻞ ﻛﺎﺭﺷﻜﻨﻰﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﻭ ﭼﻴﻦ‬
‫ﺗﺮﺩﻳﺪ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻭ ﻫﺸﺪﺍﺭﻫﺎﻳﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻄﺮﺡ‬         ‫ﺍﻗﻼﻡ ﻣﻬﻢ ﻣﺼﺮﻓﻰ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺗﺎ ‪ 55‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ‬           ‫ﻣﺎﻫﻪ ﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻣﺴﺎﻝ ﺗﻌﺪﺍﺩ ﭘﺮﻭﺍﻧﻪ ﻫﺎﻯ‬                                                   ‫‪ ٪78‬ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬       ‫ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺗﺠﺮﺑﻪ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2015‬ﻧﺸﺎﻥ‬
‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺭﺷﻴﺪﻯ‪،‬‬           ‫ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﻣﻬﺮ ﺩﺭ‬       ‫ﺳﺎﺧﺘﻤﺎﻧﻰ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ‬                           ‫ﺩﻳﺪﻩ ﻧﻤﻰﺷﻮﺩ‪.‬‬       ‫ﺗﻌﺪﺍﺩ ﺁﻭﺍﺭﮔﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ )ﺩﺭ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ‬         ‫ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻧﻈﻢ ﻛﻨﻮﻧﻰ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﻭ‬
‫ﺭﻳﻴﺲ ﺍﻧﺠﻤﻦ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﺩﺍﻧﺎﻥ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‬            ‫ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺷﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻗﻮﻝ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮﺍﻥ ﻧﻮﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‬         ‫ﺷﻬﺮﻯ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺪﺕ ﻣﺸﺎﺑﻪ ﺳﺎﻝ‬           ‫ﺗﺎ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺟﻨﮓ‬          ‫ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺧﻮﺩ( ﻧﻴﺰ ‪ 34‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ‬       ‫ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺖ ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻣﻠﻞ ﻛﺎﺭﺍﺋﻰ‬
‫ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻳﺎﺯﺩﻫﻢ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻧﺪ‬       ‫ﺑﺎ ﺍﺭﻗﺎﻡ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﺩﺳﺘﻤﺰﺩﻫﺎ‪ ،‬ﻋﻤﻼ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻥ‬       ‫ﻗﺒﻞ ‪ 17.8‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪ ﻛﺎﻫﺶ ﻳﺎﻓﺘﻪ ﻭ ﺑﻪ‬        ‫ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﻭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻭ ﺍﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﻭ‬       ‫ﻧﻔﺮ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﺷﺪﻩ ﻛﻪ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺎﻝ‬         ‫ﻻﺯﻡ ﺩﺭ ﻛﻨﺘﺮﻝ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ‬
‫ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻪ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﮔﺬﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﺧﺎﺭﺟﻰ‬           ‫ﺗﺎﻣﻴﻦ ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺯﻧﺪﮔﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﻧﺪ‬                                           ‫ﻳﻤﻦ ﻭ ﻟﻴﺒﻰ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺣﻠﻰ ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﻧﺸﺪﻩ‬        ‫‪ 2014‬ﺩﻭ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻧﻔﺮ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ‬
‫ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﻓﺮﺍﻫﻢ ﻭ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬         ‫ﻭ ﺣﺪﺍﻛﺜﺮ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺧﺮﻳﺪ ﺣﻘﻮﻕﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ‬              ‫‪ 270‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﻓﻘﺮﻩ ﺑﺎﻟﻎ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬     ‫ﻭ ﺗﺎ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺳﻼﻡ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻏﺎﻟﺐ‬       ‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺮﻳﺐ ﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻰ‬                                     ‫ﺭﺍ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ‪.‬‬
‫ﺁﻧﺎﻥ ﻓﻀﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻭ ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ ﺍﻣﻨﻰ‬          ‫‪ 10‬ﺭﻭﺯ ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﻣﺎﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ‬         ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺁﻣﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﻫﻨﺪﻩ ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ‬          ‫)ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ( ﻭ‬         ‫ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺗﺎ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪2015‬‬           ‫ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2015‬ﺟﻨﮓ‪ ،‬ﺍﺻﻠﻰ‬
‫ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﻛﻨﺪ ﺗﺎ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﮔﺬﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ‬       ‫ﻣﻰﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺪ ﻛﺎﻻﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺧﺪﻣﺎﺕ ﻣﺼﺮﻓﻰ‬            ‫ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ‬     ‫ﻳﺎ ﺍﺳﻼﻡ ﺳﻴﺎﺳ ِﻰ ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﺑﻪ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ‬        ‫ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻥ ﺁﻭﺍﺭﮔﺎﻥ ﻭ ﭘﻨﺎﻩﺟﻮﻳﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺮﺯ ‪60‬‬  ‫ﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻣﻬﺎﺟﺮﺕ ﻭ ﻓﺮﺍﺭ ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﺍﺯ‬
‫ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﮔﺬﺍﺭﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻣﺸﺘﺎﻕ ﺷﻮﻧﺪ‪.‬‬        ‫ﺣﺴﺎﺱ ﻭ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺑﺎ ﮔﺮﺍﻧﻰﻫﺎﻯ ‪30‬‬         ‫ﮔﻔﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﭘﺎﻳﺪﺍﺭ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬       ‫ﻧﺮﺳﻴﺪﻩ ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‪ ،‬ﺑﻮﻛﻮ‬       ‫ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ ﻧﻔﺮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎﻻﺗﺮﻳﻦ‬    ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪﻫﺎﻳﺸﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺍﺻﻠﻰ ﻛﺸﺘﺎﺭ ﻭ‬
‫ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦﺑﺤﺚﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩﻛﺮﺩﻥﺳﻴﺴﺘﻢ‬                 ‫ﺗﺎ ‪ 55‬ﺩﺭﺻﺪﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻭﺳﺎﻝ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ‬        ‫ﺩﺍﻣﻨﻪ ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻧﻰﻫﺎ ﻧﺴﺒﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ‬         ‫ﺣﺮﺍﻡ‪ ،‬ﺍﻟﺸﺒﺎﺏ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﻨﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺸﺘﺎﺭ‬      ‫ﻣﻴﺰﺍﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺗﺎ ﻛﻨﻮﻥ ﺛﺒﺖ ﺷﺪﻩ‪ ،‬ﺑﺮﺳﺪ‪.‬‬     ‫ﻣﺮگ ﻭ ﻣﻴﺮ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻥﻫﺎ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ‬
‫ﻣﺎﻓﻴﺎﻳﻰ ﻭﺍﺭﺩﺍﺕ ﻛﺎﻻﺕ ﻭ ﺭﺍﻧﺖ ﻭ ﻓﺴﺎﺩ‬                                               ‫ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺗﺎ ﺁﻧﺠﺎ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺩﻩ ﺷﺪﻩ ﻛﻪ ‪205‬‬       ‫ﻭ ﺗﺮﻭﺭ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪ ﺩﻫﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻣﻬﺎﺟﺮﺕ‪،‬‬          ‫ﺩﺭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ‪ ،‬ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻫﻤﺴﺎﻳﻪ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺩﺭ‬     ‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﺳﻼﻡ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻭ ﺗﺮﻭﺭﻳﺴ ِﻢ‬
‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﺯ ﺟﻤﻠﻪ ﻣﻮﺍﺭﺩﻯ ﺍﺳﺖ‬                                 ‫ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬         ‫ﻧﻔﺮ ﺍﺯ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺩﺭ ﻧﺎﻣﻪﺍﻯ‬      ‫ﻓﺮﺍﺭ ﻭ ﭘﻨﺎﻩﺟﻮﺋﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ‬     ‫ﺷﺶ ﻣﺎﻩ ﺍﻭﻝ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2015‬ﺩﺭ ﺩﻓﺘﺮ‬          ‫ﺁﺷﻜﺎ ِﺭ ﮔﺮﻭﻩ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‪،‬‬
‫ﻛﻪ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﺩﺍﻧﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻣﺸﻜﻼﺕ ﺑﺮ‬        ‫ﺣﺪﺍﻗﻞ ﺩﺳﺘﻤﺰﺩ ‪ 712‬ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻧﻰ‬            ‫ﺑﻪ ﺭﺋﻴﺲﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭ‪ ،‬ﺣﻞ ﻣﺸﻜﻞ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ‬           ‫ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﺗﺠﺮﺑﻪ ﺗﻠﺦ ﻭ ﺩﺭﺩﻧﺎﻙ ﺳﺎﻝ‬        ‫ﻛﻤﻴﺴﺎﺭﻳﺎﻯ ﻋﺎﻟﻰ ﭘﻨﺎﻫﻨﺪﮔﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ‬       ‫ﺩﺧﺎﻟﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‬
‫ﺳﺮ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺑﻬﺒﻮﺩ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‬        ‫ﺍﻣﺴﺎﻝ ﻣﺸﻤﻮﻻﻥ ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻥ ﻛﺎﺭ ﻭ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ‬          ‫ﺑﻰﺳﺎﺑﻘﻪ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ‪،‬‬         ‫‪ 2015‬ﻣﻰﺁﻣﻮﺯﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ‬             ‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻋﺎ ‪ 43٫600‬ﺩﺭﺧﻮﺍﺳﺖ‬           ‫ﺩﺭ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻭ‬
                                        ‫ﺩﺭﻳﺎﻓﺘﻰ ﻳﻚ ﺗﺎ ﻳﻚ ﻭ ﻧﻴﻢ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮﻥ‬           ‫ﺍﺷﺘﻐﺎﻝﺯﺍﻳﻰ ﻭ ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ‬         ‫ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﻴﺮ ﻣﺴﺌﻮﻻﻧﻪ‬          ‫ﭘﻨﺎﻫﻨﺪﮔﻰ ﺛﺒﺖ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ‬         ‫ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﻭ ﻳﻤﻦ ﻭ ﺩﻓﺎﻉ ﺍﺯ ﺷﻴﻌﻴﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ‬
  ‫ﺩﺭ ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﭘﺴﺎﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢ ﺑﻴﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬        ‫ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺎﻋﺚ ﺑﺮﻭﺯ ﭼﺎﻟﺶﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﺪﻯ‬            ‫ﻛﺎﻻﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺸﺎﺑﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺧﻮﺍﺳﺘﺎﺭ ﺷﺪﻧﺪ‪.‬‬        ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﻭ ﺑﻰ ﻋﻤﻠﻰ ﺁﻧﻬﺎ ﻭ‬       ‫ﻧﻴﻤﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﻌﺪﺍﺩ‪ ،‬ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ‪25٫700‬‬       ‫ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﺳﻨﻰﻫﺎ ﺍﺯ ﻳﻚ ﺳﻮ ﻭ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ‬
‫ﻫﻤﻪ ﺍﻳﻨﻬﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻟﻴﺴﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺑﺮﺭﺳﻰ‬         ‫ﻣﻌﻴﺸﺘﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻗﺸﺎﺭ ﻛﻢ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪ‬              ‫ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﺎﻣﻪ ﻛﻪ ﺷﺸﻢ ﺩﻯ‬      ‫ﺩﺭ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﻋﺪﻡ ﺍﺑﺘﻜﺎﺭﻋﻤﻞ ﻭ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪ‬       ‫ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﻣﺮﺑﻮﻁ ﺑﻪ ﭘﻨﺎﻩﺟﻮﻳﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ‬      ‫ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﻭ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺍﺯ‬
‫ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮﺩ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻳﺎﺯﺩﻫﻢ‬              ‫ﻭ ﮔﺮﻭﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮﻯ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺷﺪﻩ‬               ‫ﻣﺎﻩ ﻣﻨﺘﺸﺮ ﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭﺧﻮﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ‬          ‫ﻧﺎﻛﺎﺭﺁﻣﺪﻯ ﺷﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺖ ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ‬        ‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﻌﺪ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺍﻓﻐﺎﻥﻫﺎ ﺑﺎ ‪12٫100‬‬     ‫ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺧﻠﻴﺞ ﻓﺎﺭﺱ ﺍﺯ‬
‫ﻛﺎﻣﻼ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ‬              ‫ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺮﺍﻥ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﻨﺪ‬          ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺍﺷﺘﻐﺎﻝﺯﺍﻳﻰ ﻭ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ‬       ‫ﻣﻠﻞ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ‪ ،‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺝ ﺗﺮﻭﺭ ﻭ ﻛﺸﺘﺎﺭ‬      ‫ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﻭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻴﺎﻥ ﺑﺎ ‪ 4٫300‬ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ‬   ‫ﺳﻠﻔﻰﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ‬
‫ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻧﺎﺷﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺯﻳﺮ ﺳﺎﺧﺖﻫﺎﻯ‬               ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻛﻢ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪ ﻣﺠﺒﻮﺭ ﺷﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ‬         ‫ﺍﺯ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪﺍﺕ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﻭ ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺍﺯ‬                                                                                 ‫ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻋﻮﺍﻣﻞ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺵ‬
‫ﻧﺎﻣﻨﺎﺳﺐ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ‪ ،‬ﻗﻮﺍﻧﻴﻦ ﻭ‬               ‫ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﻣﻌﻴﺸﺘﻰ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ‬        ‫ﻭﺭﻭﺩ ﻛﺎﻻﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺸﺎﺑﻪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻥ‬                                                                                    ‫ﻭ ﻃﻮﻻﻧﻰ ﺷﺪﻥ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﻭ‬
‫ﻣﻘﺮﺭﺍﺕ ﻭ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻤﺎﺗﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ‬             ‫ﺍﺯ ﺍﻗﻼﻡ ﺳﺒﺪ ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪ ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺭ ﺭﺍ ﺣﺬﻑ‬         ‫ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﺁﻥﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ‬
‫ﺍﺛﺮ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﺎﻛﺎﺭﺁﻣﺪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺭﻭﻯ‬                                                  ‫ﺩﺍﺭﺩ‪ ،‬ﺗﻼﺵ ﻛﻨﺪ ﻭ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬                                                                                   ‫‪©Reuters‬‬
‫ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ ﻭ ﺷﻌﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ ﺭﺍﻫﻜﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ‬                ‫ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﺍﻭﻟﻮﻳﺖﺑﻨﺪﻯ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬      ‫ﺑﺮﻭﻥﺭﻓﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﻋﻤﻴﻖ ﻭ ﺑﻰﺳﺎﺑﻘﻪ‬
‫ﻣﺮﺩﻡﭘﺴﻨﺪ ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ ﺗﺴﻬﻴﻼﺕ ﻧﻪ‬          ‫ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺵ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺎﺯﮔﻰ‬             ‫ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻡ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺪ‪.‬‬     ‫ﭘﻨﺎﻫﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﺳﻮﺭﻯ‪ ،‬ﻣﺮﺯ ﻳﻮﻧﺎﻥ‪ 21 ،‬ﺍﻭﺕ ‪2015‬‬
‫ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺑﻴﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ‬     ‫ﻣﻨﺘﺸﺮ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻡ ‪ 24‬ﻣﺎﻫﻪ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ‬      ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻳﺎﺯﺩﻫﻢ ﻣﺪﻋﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻣﺎﺗﻰ‬
‫ﻣﺪﺍﻭﺍ ﻧﻤﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﺑﻠﻜﻪ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺑﺮ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻡ ﺁﻥ‬     ‫ﺑﻮﺭﺱ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺧﺒﺮ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻮﺭﺱ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ‬        ‫ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﺭﺍ‬   ‫ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﻝ ‪ 2016‬ﺑﻪ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻧﻘﺎﻁ ﺟﻬﺎﻥ‪،‬‬      ‫ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺩﺧﺎﻟﺖ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪ‪.‬‬
                                        ‫ﺩﺭ ﺁﺧﺮﻳﻦ ﻣﺎﻩ ﭘﺎﻳﻴﺰ ﺗﺤﺖ ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮ ﻋﻮﺍﻣﻞ‬      ‫ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻬﺮﻣﺎﻩ ﺭﻭﻧﻤﺎﻳﻰ ﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﺟﻬﺖ‬
     ‫ﻭ ﻣﺸﻜﻼﺕ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﻣﻰﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺪ‪.‬‬          ‫ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻔﻰ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺣﺮﻛﺖ ﻧﺰﻭﻟﻰ ﻭ‬      ‫ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ‬     ‫ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﻭ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﺑﻴﻦﺍﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ ﻣﻬﺎﺟﺮﺕ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺟﻤﻠﻪ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺵ‬
                                                                                ‫ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺍﻣﺎ ﺑﺎ ﮔﺬﺷﺖ ﻣﺪﺗﻰ ﺍﺯ‬
                                                                                ‫ﺍﻗﺪﺍﻣﺎﺕ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ‬            ‫ﻧﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ‪ ،‬ﺑﻠﻜﻪ ﻣﻘﺮﺵ ﺩﺭ ژﻧﻮ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺩﺭ ﮔﺰﺍﺭﺷﻰ ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ‪.‬‬
                                                                                ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﺍﻫﻜﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ‬
                                                                                ‫ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ‪ ،‬ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﺭﻭﻧﻖ ﻭ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ‬
                                                                                ‫ﺍﺯ ﺭﻛﻮﺩ ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬
                                                                                ‫ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﺧﻮﺩ‬
                                                                                ‫ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﻭﻳﮋﻩﺍﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻨﻌﺖ ﺍﺗﻮﻣﺒﻴﻞ‬
                                                                                ‫ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﺗﻮﺟﻬﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻧﻴﺰ‬
                                                                                ‫ﺍﻧﺘﻘﺎﺩﺍﺕ ﺯﻳﺎﺩﻯ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﺮﺍﻩ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ‬
                                                                                ‫ﻭ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻛﺎﺭﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺻﻨﻌﺘﮕﺮﺍﻥ‬
                                                                                ‫ﻣﻌﺘﻘﺪ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﺠﻢ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ‬
                                                                                ‫ﺍﺯ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺨﺶﻫﺎﻯ‬
                                                                                ‫ﻣﻮﺛﺮﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺻﻨﻌﺖ ﺗﻌﻠﻖ ﮔﻴﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﺩﻭﻟﺖ‬
                                                                                ‫‪ 2500‬ﻣﻴﻠﻴﺎﺭﺩ ﺗﻮﻣﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﺑﺎﻧﻜﻰ‬
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